Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine• Ligue 2, Tunisia

#161.5:1.013:30Today2.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09DAFX3.00B36523.50B365Margin at best9.8%Books6Markets41Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 01:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.09	3.00	3.50	9.8%
Bet365	2.05	3.00	3.50	10.7%
Betfair	2.05	3.00	3.50	10.7%
1xBet	2.06	2.98	3.48	10.8%
Betano	2.05	2.95	3.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.04	2.98	3.38	12.2%
Best of all books	2.09	3.00	3.50	9.8%
Average	2.06	2.98	3.48	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting Ben ArousMégrine

Last 10#16Table position#21.25Points per game2.508Form pts · last 5111.5Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5750Defence rating5033Form rating6720H2H rating8026Goals model7434Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 23:00 UTC

Sporting Ben Arous

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	BS Bouhajla	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	US Tataouine	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	AS Agareb	3-0	W
26 Sep	H	EM Mahdia	1-2	L
11 May	H	Menzel Bourguiba	6-0	W
1 May	A	US Tataouine	0-1	L
27 Apr	H	Mégrine	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	CS Chebba	0-1	L
13 Apr	H	AS Agareb	0-1	L
4 Apr	A	Sfax Railways	2-0	W

Mégrine

3W 6D 1L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Stade Soussien	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	AS Soliman	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Béni-Khalled	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	AS Gabes	2-1	W
11 May	A	Bouselem	2-2	D
1 May	H	BS Bouhajla	1-1	D
27 Apr	A	Sporting Ben Arous	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	EM Mahdia	0-0	D
13 Apr	A	CS Hammam-Lif	0-3	L
4 Apr	H	Kerkennah	1-1	D

Head to head

0Sporting Ben Arous wins

1draws

1Mégrine wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Sporting Ben Arous

27 Apr 2026Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Sporting Ben Arous1-1Mégrine
1 Dec 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Mégrine1-0Sporting Ben Arous

Ligue 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 25 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Sporting Ben Arous sit 16th with 5 points from 4 games, while Mégrine are 2nd with 10 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	AS Kasserine	4	4	0	0	7:1	+6	12
2	Mégrine	4	3	1	0	8:4	+4	10
3	Korba	4	3	0	1	6:2	+4	9
4	EM Mahdia	4	2	2	0	7:5	+2	8
5	M'saken	4	2	2	0	6:4	+2	8
6	Ksour Essef	4	2	2	0	2:0	+2	8
7	CS Chebba	4	2	1	1	4:3	+1	7
8	Jendouba Sport	4	2	1	1	3:2	+1	7
9	US Tataouine	4	2	1	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Bouchamma	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
11	Redeyef	4	2	0	2	6:2	+4	6
12	Kalaâ Sport	4	2	0	2	5:4	+1	6
13	Sfax Railways	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
14	JS Kairouanaise	4	2	0	2	2:2	0	6
15	AS Soliman	4	1	2	1	8:6	+2	5
16	Sporting Ben Arous	4	1	2	1	6:4	+2	5
17	Ariana	4	1	2	1	3:2	+1	5
18	Stade Gabesien	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
19	BS Bouhajla	4	1	2	1	2:4	-2	5
20	Stade Soussien	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4
21	Olympique du Kef	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
22	EGS Gafsa	4	1	0	3	6:8	-2	3
23	AS Agareb	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3
24	Béni-Khalled	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
25	AS Gabes	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
26	Kerkennah	4	0	1	3	2:5	-3	1
27	Moknine	4	0	1	3	0:7	-7	1
28	CO Medenine	4	0	0	4	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.06X30%2.99226%3.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Betano	2.18	1.55	10.4%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.22	1.57	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.87	5.6%
Average	1.90	1.78	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting Ben Arous 10%Draw 45%Mégrine 45%

The statistical model rates Sporting Ben Arous at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mégrine at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.06 | 2.99 | 3.45, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Sporting Ben Arous are 16th (5 pts, 6-4 goals), Mégrine 2nd (10 pts, 8-4).

Over their last five matches, Sporting Ben Arous averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mégrine averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Mégrine and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.06	2.99	3.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.61	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.77	1.95	4.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.24	3.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	13.5	38.5
HT X	4.91	4.47	7.43
HT 2	26.3	14.3	5.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	7.20	2.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.62
1.5	1.40	2.66
2.5	2.22	1.57
3.5	4.21	1.17
4.5	8.75	1.06
5.5	13.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.00
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.48	2.36
2	1.66	1.99
2.25	1.93	1.72
2.75	2.60	1.40
3	3.34	1.24
3.25	3.78	1.19
4	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.28	1.25
-0.75	2.44	1.44
-0.5	1.95	1.67
-0.25	1.77	1.92
0	1.47	2.41
+0.25	1.32	2.89

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.10	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	4.25	1.15
-1.25	3.76	1.19
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.88	1.90

Next Ligue 2 matches

26 Oct	EM Mahdia – US Tataouine
26 Oct	Stade Soussien – Sfax Railways
26 Oct	Kerkennah – BS Bouhajla
26 Oct	AS Soliman – CS Chebba
26 Oct	Bouchamma – Kalaâ Sport

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

19 Oct	Kalaâ Sport 3-0 Moknine
19 Oct	Stade Gabesien 1-0 Redeyef
19 Oct	Jendouba Sport 1-1 Bouchamma
19 Oct	AS Kasserine 1-0 JS Kairouanaise
18 Oct	US Tataouine 1-0 Kerkennah
18 Oct	Mégrine 2-0 Stade Soussien