Managua vs Matagalpa• Primera Division, Nicaragua

#12.8:1.201:00Tomorrow0.6:2.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.18B365X8.251XB215.0WHMargin at best3.5%Books6Markets59Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.12	8.25	18.5	6.8%
William Hill	1.15	6.50	15.0	9.0%
BetVictor	1.14	6.50	15.0	9.8%
Pinnacle	1.15	6.83	11.1	10.6%
Bet365	1.18	6.50	9.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.11	6.45	14.8	12.4%
Best of all books	1.18	8.25	15.0	3.5%
Average	1.14	6.84	13.9	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ManaguaMatagalpa

Last 10#1Table position#82.67Points per game0.8213Form pts · last 532.8Goals for · last 50.61.2Goals against · last 52.682Attack rating1868Defence rating3281Form rating1971H2H rating2990Goals model1076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 09:10 UTC

Managua

8W 2D 0L · goals 32:11 · per match 3.2 for, 1.1 against

15 Oct	H	San Marcos	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Jalapa	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Rancho Santana	6-1	W
11 Sep	H	Real Estelí	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Walter Ferretti	3-2	W
3 Sep	H	Diriangén	3-3	D
31 Aug	A	UNAN Managua	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	H&H Export	6-1	W
10 Aug	A	Matagalpa	3-0	W
1 Aug	A	San Marcos	4-1	W

Matagalpa

3W 0D 7L · goals 6:22 · per match 0.6 for, 2.2 against

15 Oct	H	Walter Ferretti	1-5	L
11 Oct	H	Real Estelí	1-4	L
7 Sep	H	Diriangén	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	UNAN Managua	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Rancho Santana	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Jalapa	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	San Marcos	1-0	W
10 Aug	H	Managua	0-3	L
3 Aug	A	Walter Ferretti	1-4	L
26 Jul	A	Real Estelí	0-2	L

Head to head

11Managua wins

3draws

5Matagalpa wins

19 meetings · goals 37:23 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Managua

10 Aug 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa0-3Managua
30 Apr 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Managua2-4Matagalpa
16 Apr 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa1-2Managua
16 Feb 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Managua1-1Matagalpa
2 Nov 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Managua3-0Matagalpa
24 Aug 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa1-2Managua
13 Apr 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa3-1Managua
16 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Managua1-0Matagalpa
1 Dec 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa1-5Managua
16 Nov 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Managua2-3Matagalpa

Primera Division tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 09:11 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Managua sit 1st with 32 points from 12 games, while Matagalpa are 8th with 9 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Managua	12	10	2	0	37:12	+25	32
2	Diriangén	12	8	3	1	25:13	+12	27
3	Real Estelí	12	6	4	2	22:9	+13	22
4	UNAN Managua	12	6	3	3	14:11	+3	21
5	H&H Export	11	5	2	4	13:17	-4	17
6	Walter Ferretti	12	4	2	6	23:21	+2	14
7	San Marcos	12	3	2	7	12:19	-7	11
8	Matagalpa	11	3	0	8	6:25	-19	9
9	Jalapa	12	1	3	8	7:18	-11	6
10	Rancho Santana	12	1	3	8	9:23	-14	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.14X13%6.8427%13.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.14 → 1.14 0.0%X7.11 → 6.84 -3.8%214.1 → 13.9 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.70	9.0%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.40	2.64	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.04	1.66	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.64	10.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.70	7.6%
Average	2.04	1.67	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Managua 50%Draw 50%Matagalpa 0%

The statistical model rates Managua at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Matagalpa at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 6.84 | 13.89, which imply roughly 87.7% for a Managua win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Managua are 1st (32 pts, 37-12 goals), Matagalpa 8th (9 pts, 6-25).

Over their last five matches, Managua averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Matagalpa averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Managua and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.14	6.84	13.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.73	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.05	8.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
1.53	2.82	9.90

2nd half

1	X	2
1.37	3.53	9.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.61	26.0	73.0
HT X	4.10	9.70	24.5
HT 2	18.5	27.5	21.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.19	19.6	4.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.11	6.00
2.5	1.40	2.64
3.5	2.06	1.69
4.5	3.28	1.25
5.5	6.00	1.11

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.0
2	1.12	4.65
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.47	2.38
3	1.60	2.12
3.25	1.84	1.86
3.75	2.31	1.53
4	2.74	1.36
4.25	2.97	1.30
4.75	3.82	1.19
5	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.63	1.42
-2.5	2.26	1.55
-2.25	2.00	1.74
-2	1.81	1.90
-1.75	1.61	2.11
-1.5	1.49	2.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.40	1.04
-4	6.40	1.05
-3.75	3.82	1.18
-3.5	3.78	1.19
-3.25	3.42	1.23
-3	3.14	1.27
-1.25	1.34	2.82
-1	1.19	3.76
-0.75	1.17	4.25
-0.25	1.06	6.73
0	1.04	7.93

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.90	1.90