Municipal Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba• Nacional B, Bolivia

#22.8:1.23-3FTToday1.6:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX4.20B36525.061XBMargin at best10.2%Books3Markets49Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 17:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.49	4.15	5.06	11.0%
Bet365	1.50	4.20	4.75	11.5%
William Hill	1.50	3.80	5.00	13.0%
Best of all books	1.50	4.20	5.06	10.2%
Average	1.50	4.05	4.94	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Municipal TiquipayaSan Martin de Yacuiba

Last 10#2Table position#31.83Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 562.8Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.664Attack rating3657Defence rating4363Form rating3833H2H rating6798Goals model261Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 02:50 UTC

Municipal Tiquipaya

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	San Martin de Yacuiba	0-4	L
27 Sep	A	Virginia	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Universitario Beni	6-0	W
12 Sep	H	San Martin de Yacuiba	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	Universitario Beni	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	San Martin de Yacuiba	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Virginia	1-1	D
8 Nov	H	Primero Mayo	1-0	W
1 Nov	A	Primero Mayo	0-2	L
25 Oct	H	Ingenio	4-1	W

San Martin de Yacuiba

4W 0D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Municipal Tiquipaya	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Universitario Beni	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Virginia	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Municipal Tiquipaya	0-5	L
6 Sep	H	Virginia	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Municipal Tiquipaya	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Universitario Beni	1-0	W

Head to head

1Municipal Tiquipaya wins

0draws

2San Martin de Yacuiba wins

3 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Municipal Tiquipaya

11 Oct 2026Nacional B	Nacional B	San Martin de Yacuiba4-0Municipal Tiquipaya
12 Sep 2026Nacional B	Nacional B	Municipal Tiquipaya5-0San Martin de Yacuiba
30 Aug 2026Nacional B	Nacional B	San Martin de Yacuiba1-0Municipal Tiquipaya

Nacional B tableNacional B: Regular seasonupdated 18 Oct 02:50 UTC

In the Nacional B table, Municipal Tiquipaya sit 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while San Martin de Yacuiba are 3rd with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	EM Huanuni	6	4	2	0	13:4	+9	14
1	26 de Febrero	6	5	0	1	14:6	+8	15
1	Independiente CBBA	6	5	0	1	12:6	+6	15
1	Virginia	6	4	2	0	10:3	+7	14
1	CD IN San Juan FC	6	4	1	1	12:4	+8	13
1	Primero Mayo	6	4	0	2	11:10	+1	12
1	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	3	1	2	15:12	+3	10
2	Deportivo FATIC	6	3	1	2	13:7	+6	10
2	Chaco	6	3	0	3	19:15	+4	9
2	Mineros Potosi	6	3	1	2	20:8	+12	10
2	Municipal Tiquipaya	6	3	2	1	15:4	+11	11
2	Deportivo Tigres	6	2	2	2	9:5	+4	8
2	Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz	6	3	2	1	10:7	+3	11
2	Atletico Sucre	6	3	0	3	15:8	+7	9
3	Atletico Sucre	6	3	0	3	15:8	+7	9
3	Hiska Nacional	6	2	1	3	10:15	-5	7
3	Wilstermann Cooperativa	6	3	1	2	15:12	+3	10
3	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	3	0	3	6:8	-2	9
3	Club Universitario	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
3	Unión Tarija	6	3	0	3	9:7	+2	9
3	Unión Tarija	6	3	0	3	9:7	+2	9
4	Libertad	6	0	1	5	0:22	-22	1
4	Ingenieros	6	1	1	4	10:17	-7	4
4	Atletico Juniors	6	0	0	6	5:26	-21	0
4	Universitario Beni	6	0	0	6	3:19	-16	0
4	Universitario Tarija	6	1	1	4	5:17	-12	4
4	CD Guadalajara	6	0	2	4	5:11	-6	2
4	San Martin de Yacuiba	6	3	0	3	6:8	-2	9
5	Club Universitario	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
6	Hiska Nacional	6	2	1	3	10:15	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X22%4.05218%4.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.48 → 1.50 +1.4%X4.22 → 4.05 -4.0%25.06 → 4.94 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.59	8.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.43	2.58	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Average	1.50	2.33	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Municipal Tiquipaya 45%Draw 45%San Martin de Yacuiba 10%

The statistical model rated Municipal Tiquipaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and San Martin de Yacuiba at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.05 | 4.94, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Municipal Tiquipaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Nacional B table: Municipal Tiquipaya are 2nd (11 pts, 15-4 goals), San Martin de Yacuiba 3rd (9 pts, 6-8).

Over their last five matches, Municipal Tiquipaya averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; San Martin de Yacuiba averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Municipal Tiquipaya.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.05	4.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.28	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	4.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.52	4.93

2nd half

1	X	2
1.81	2.86	4.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.17	15.3	30.5
HT X	4.43	7.35	10.4
HT 2	17.3	15.3	7.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	19.0	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.43	2.58
3.5	2.08	1.65
4.5	3.28	1.25
5.5	6.00	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.51	2.31
3	1.65	2.06
3.25	1.88	1.83
3.75	2.34	1.50
4	2.80	1.36
4.25	3.04	1.29
4.75	3.92	1.18
5	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.60	1.40
-1.5	2.25	1.54
-1.25	2.03	1.67
-1	1.80	1.93
-0.75	1.61	2.13
-0.5	1.49	2.42

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.50	1.04
-3	6.55	1.05
-2.5	3.88	1.18
-2.25	3.50	1.22
-2	3.20	1.26
-0.25	1.34	2.87
0	1.18	3.84
+0.25	1.15	4.25
+1.5	1.02	9.20

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