Mercedes vs 
Leones de Rosario• Primera C, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:26 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 2.76 | 2.20 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 2.62 | 2.25 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 2.76 | 2.18 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 2.62 | 2.23 | 12.6% |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 20.3% |
| Best of all books | 3.42 | 2.76 | 2.25 | 9.9% |
| Average | 3.34 | 2.67 | 2.19 | 13.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC
Mercedes
4W 2D 4L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against
| 12 Oct | H | Lugano | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Oct | A | Deportivo Paraguayo | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Sep | H | Puerto Nuevo | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Leandro N. Alem | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Deportivo Español | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Juventud Unida | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sacachispas | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Claypole | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Argentino Rosario | 0-2 | L |
Leones de Rosario
6W 2D 2L · goals 11:5 · per match 1.1 for, 0.5 against
| 12 Oct | H | Fénix | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Oct | A | Sportivo Barracas | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Lujan | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | General Lamadrid | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Lugano | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | Yupanqui | 1-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Atletico Atlas | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Aug | H | Deportivo Muñiz | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Canuelas | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Defensores de Cambaceres | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Mercedes and Leones de Rosario on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 1.33 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 1.36 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 1.36 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.88 | 1.44 | 4.2% |
| Average | 2.72 | 1.37 | 9.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 1.57 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 1.55 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 1.53 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 1.44 | 19.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.30 | 1.57 | 7.2% |
| Average | 2.21 | 1.53 | 10.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mercedes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leones de Rosario at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.35 | 2.67 | 2.19, which imply roughly 29.9% for a Mercedes win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Mercedes averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Leones de Rosario averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.34 | 2.67 | 2.19 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 1.23 | 1.36 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.28 | 1.48 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.21 | 1.53 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.39 | 1.81 | 2.97 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.91 | 2.04 | 2.71 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.50 | 16.5 | 37.5 |
| HT X | 7.20 | 3.85 | 5.25 |
| HT 2 | 42.5 | 17.5 | 3.73 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | 5.40 | 1.89 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.10 | 5.53 |
| 1.5 | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| 2.5 | 2.72 | 1.37 |
| 3.5 | 5.27 | 1.11 |
| 4.5 | 10.3 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.12 | 4.76 |
| 1 | 1.17 | 4.05 |
| 1.25 | 1.38 | 2.69 |
| 1.75 | 1.73 | 1.86 |
| 2 | 2.10 | 1.61 |
| 2.25 | 2.43 | 1.45 |
| 2.75 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 3 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 3.25 | 4.68 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 9.10 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 3.38 | 1.28 |
| -0.25 | 2.80 | 1.37 |
| 0 | 2.34 | 1.52 |
| +0.25 | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| +0.5 | 1.60 | 2.24 |
| +0.75 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 6.93 | 1.06 |
| -0.75 | 4.30 | 1.17 |
| +1 | 1.22 | 3.69 |
| +1.25 | 1.17 | 4.22 |
| +1.5 | 1.14 | 4.65 |
| +1.75 | 1.12 | 6.40 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 11.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.80 | 1.91 |