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Real Estelí vs Jalapa• Primera Division, Nicaragua

#31.6:0.81-1FTToday · Estadio Independencia, Esteli0.8:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.22B365X7.601XB214.11XBMargin at best2.2%Books8Markets61Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 21:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.167.6014.16.5%
William Hill1.186.5012.08.5%
Betano1.215.9010.59.1%
Dafabet1.196.0011.09.8%
BetVictor1.185.7513.09.8%
Pinnacle1.196.0010.210.5%
Bet3651.225.758.5011.1%
Marathonbet1.146.2011.512.5%
Best of all books1.227.6014.12.2%
Average1.186.2111.39.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real EstelíJalapa
Last 10#3Table position#101.91Points per game0.458Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3369Defence rating3180Form rating2085H2H rating1590Goals model1076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 02:10 UTC

Real Estelí

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAMatagalpa4-1W
8 OctAUNAN Managua0-1L
11 SepAManagua1-1D
6 SepARancho Santana1-1D
3 SepHSan Marcos2-0W
30 AugAH&H Export5-0W
27 AugACD Marathon0-3L
23 AugHDiriangén0-2L
19 AugHCS Herediano0-2L
12 AugHAlianza3-1W

Jalapa

0W 2D 8L · goals 5:17 · per match 0.5 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHManagua0-1L
4 OctAWalter Ferretti2-2D
5 SepASan Marcos1-3L
2 SepHRancho Santana1-1D
30 AugADiriangén0-2L
23 AugHMatagalpa0-1L
17 AugAUNAN Managua1-2L
8 AugHH&H Export0-1L
30 JulHReal Estelí0-1L
26 JulAManagua0-3L

Head to head

19Real Estelí wins
7draws
9Jalapa wins

35 meetings · goals 73:33 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Real Estelí

30 Jul 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa0-1Real Estelí
7 May 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí3-1Jalapa
2 May 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa0-0Real Estelí
6 Mar 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí2-1Jalapa
1 Feb 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa2-2Real Estelí
19 Oct 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa1-1Real Estelí
27 Jul 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí4-2Jalapa
29 Mar 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa1-2Real Estelí
2 Feb 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí1-2Jalapa
13 Nov 2024Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionJalapa0-1Real Estelí

Primera Division tableAperturaupdated 15 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Real Estelí sit 3rd with 21 points from 11 games, while Jalapa are 10th with 5 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Managua12102037:12+2532
2Diriangén1283125:13+1227
3Real Estelí1163221:8+1321
4UNAN Managua1263314:11+321
5Walter Ferretti1242623:21+214
6H&H Export1042411:17-614
7San Marcos1232712:19-711
8Matagalpa113086:25-199
9Rancho Santana111379:21-126
10Jalapa111286:17-115

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.19X15%6.0528%11.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 01:3015 Oct 22:401 1.18X 6.212 11.3
11.22 → 1.18 -3.3%X5.50 → 6.21 +12.9%29.00 → 11.3 +26.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
Pinnacle1.432.598.5%
Betano1.442.558.7%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.572.750.1%
Average1.442.538.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor2.251.578.1%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.971.728.9%
Betano1.951.729.4%
Marathonbet1.971.699.9%
Best of all books2.251.751.6%
Average2.021.698.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Estelí 50%Draw 50%Jalapa 0%

The statistical model rated Real Estelí at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Jalapa at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 6.05 | 11.26, which imply roughly 84% for a Real Estelí win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Real Estelí are 3rd (21 pts, 21-8 goals), Jalapa 10th (5 pts, 6-17).

Over their last five matches, Real Estelí averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Jalapa averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Real Estelí.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.186.2111.3

Double chance

1XX212
1.034.201.08

Draw no bet

12
1.067.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.021.69

1st half

1X2
1.582.758.87

2nd half

1X2
1.413.398.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.6823.775.3
HT X3.938.9821.0
HT 219.024.319.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2118.84.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0121.0
1.51.144.67
2.51.442.53
3.52.091.67
4.53.251.26
5.55.851.11
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.5
1.751.174.10
21.184.00
2.251.332.91
2.751.512.30
31.711.98
3.251.881.83
3.752.341.49
42.841.34
4.253.051.29
55.251.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.361.50
-2.252.151.64
-21.931.78
-1.751.741.99
-1.51.612.19
-1.251.422.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.58.401.03
-46.551.07
-3.754.651.18
-3.53.931.20
-3.253.771.22
-33.331.27
-2.752.801.37
-11.283.26
-0.751.233.68
-0.51.253.80
-0.251.115.59
01.038.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
91.802.00