Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti• Primera Division, Nicaragua

#80.6:1.61-5FT15/101.8:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75PINX3.481XB22.481XBMargin at best5.4%Books9Markets41Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.68	3.48	2.48	6.4%
Betano	2.67	3.30	2.42	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.75	3.22	2.40	9.1%
Dafabet	2.60	3.25	2.45	10.0%
BetVictor	2.63	3.30	2.38	10.3%
William Hill	2.62	3.20	2.40	11.1%
Betfair	2.55	3.30	2.40	11.2%
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.30	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.54	3.30	2.35	12.2%
Best of all books	2.75	3.48	2.48	5.4%
Average	2.63	3.31	2.40	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MatagalpaWalter Ferretti

Last 10#8Table position#60.82Points per game1.173Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.825Attack rating7553Defence rating4755Form rating4571H2H rating2924Goals model7649Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 09:10 UTC

Matagalpa

3W 0D 7L · goals 6:22 · per match 0.6 for, 2.2 against

15 Oct	H	Walter Ferretti	1-5	L
11 Oct	H	Real Estelí	1-4	L
7 Sep	H	Diriangén	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	UNAN Managua	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Rancho Santana	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Jalapa	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	San Marcos	1-0	W
10 Aug	H	Managua	0-3	L
3 Aug	A	Walter Ferretti	1-4	L
26 Jul	A	Real Estelí	0-2	L

Walter Ferretti

4W 2D 4L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

15 Oct	A	Matagalpa	5-1	W
11 Oct	A	Diriangén	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Jalapa	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Managua	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	H&H Export	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	San Marcos	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	UNAN Managua	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Rancho Santana	3-1	W
8 Aug	A	Real Estelí	1-4	L
3 Aug	H	Matagalpa	4-1	W

Head to head

8Matagalpa wins

6draws

4Walter Ferretti wins

18 meetings · goals 22:15 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Matagalpa

3 Aug 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti4-1Matagalpa
18 Apr 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa4-0Walter Ferretti
18 Feb 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti0-3Matagalpa
6 Nov 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti1-2Matagalpa
31 Aug 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa2-2Walter Ferretti
8 Apr 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti0-0Matagalpa
9 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa0-1Walter Ferretti
10 Nov 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Matagalpa0-0Walter Ferretti
15 Sep 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti1-1Matagalpa
18 Mar 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti2-1Matagalpa

Primera Division tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 09:11 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Matagalpa sit 8th with 9 points from 11 games, while Walter Ferretti are 6th with 14 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Managua	12	10	2	0	37:12	+25	32
2	Diriangén	12	8	3	1	25:13	+12	27
3	Real Estelí	12	6	4	2	22:9	+13	22
4	UNAN Managua	12	6	3	3	14:11	+3	21
5	H&H Export	11	5	2	4	13:17	-4	17
6	Walter Ferretti	12	4	2	6	23:21	+2	14
7	San Marcos	12	3	2	7	12:19	-7	11
8	Matagalpa	11	3	0	8	6:25	-19	9
9	Jalapa	12	1	3	8	7:18	-11	6
10	Rancho Santana	12	1	3	8	9:23	-14	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.63X27%3.31238%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.63 +11.9%X3.40 → 3.31 -2.6%22.55 → 2.40 -5.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.99	5.5%
1xBet	1.80	1.96	6.6%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.99	4.3%
Average	1.79	1.95	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Average	1.61	2.14	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Matagalpa 35%Draw 35%Walter Ferretti 30%

The statistical model rated Matagalpa at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Walter Ferretti at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 3.31 | 2.40, which imply roughly 38% for a Matagalpa win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Matagalpa are 8th (9 pts, 6-25 goals), Walter Ferretti 6th (14 pts, 23-21).

Over their last five matches, Matagalpa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Walter Ferretti averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Matagalpa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.63	3.31	2.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.42	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.96	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	2.17	2.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.92	2.47	2.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.21	14.7	25.7
HT X	6.27	5.43	6.03
HT 2	25.3	14.3	3.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	11.9	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.90
1.5	1.22	3.54
2.5	1.79	1.94
3.5	2.84	1.34
4.5	4.83	1.13
5.5	9.10	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.27	3.26
2	1.34	2.86
2.25	1.57	2.27
2.75	1.97	1.75
3	2.30	1.52
3.25	2.58	1.41
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	4.56	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.70	1.42
-0.25	2.28	1.56
0	1.97	1.77
+0.25	1.66	2.04
+0.5	1.54	2.36
+0.75	1.36	2.79

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.02
-2	8.25	1.05
-1.5	5.20	1.10
-1.25	4.11	1.17
-1	4.33	1.14
-0.75	3.15	1.29
+1	1.18	3.84
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+2.5	1.01	10.0