Maringá vs Ferroviária• Serie C, Brazil

#41.0:0.41-1FTToday1.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09PINX3.07PIN23.541XBMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets66Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.09	3.07	3.46	9.3%
1xBet	2.01	3.04	3.54	10.9%
Bet365	2.05	3.00	3.40	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.04	3.44	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	2.88	3.40	12.9%
Best of all books	2.09	3.07	3.54	8.7%
Average	2.04	3.01	3.45	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaringáFerroviária

Last 10#4Table position#31.58Points per game1.588Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5867Defence rating3344Form rating5671H2H rating2947Goals model5354Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Maringá

5W 3D 2L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	H	Floresta	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Santa Cruz	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Botafogo PB	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Botafogo PB	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Santa Cruz	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Floresta	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Paysandu	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Barra	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Confiança	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Amazonas	0-3	L

Ferroviária

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Inter De Limeira	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Paysandu	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Brusque	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Brusque	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Paysandu	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inter De Limeira	3-3	D
29 Aug	H	Confiança	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Ypiranga-RS	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	Paysandu	4-0	W
8 Aug	A	Figueirense	2-2	D

Head to head

3Maringá wins

1draws

1Ferroviária wins

5 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Maringá

4 Apr 2026Serie C	Serie C	Maringá3-2Ferroviária
15 Jul 2023Serie D	Serie D	Ferroviária1-2Maringá
13 May 2023Serie D	Serie D	Maringá0-0Ferroviária
25 May 2019Serie D	Serie D	Ferroviária0-1Maringá
18 May 2019Serie D	Serie D	Maringá0-2Ferroviária

Serie C tableFirst stageupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Serie C table, Maringá sit 4th with 30 points from 19 games, while Ferroviária are 3rd with 30 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo PB	19	10	3	6	28:19	+9	33
2	Brusque	19	9	5	5	28:22	+6	32
3	Ferroviária	19	8	6	5	22:15	+7	30
4	Maringá	19	8	6	5	32:30	+2	30
5	Floresta	19	8	6	5	22:20	+2	30
6	Inter De Limeira	19	8	6	5	22:20	+2	30
7	Paysandu	19	9	2	8	26:27	-1	29
8	Santa Cruz	19	8	5	6	20:15	+5	29
9	Ypiranga-RS	19	8	5	6	27:24	+3	29
10	Guarani Campinas	19	7	7	5	34:24	+10	28
11	Figueirense	19	7	7	5	19:22	-3	28
12	Maranhão	19	7	6	6	19:18	+1	27
13	Amazonas	19	7	5	7	21:23	-2	26
14	Caxias	19	6	7	6	17:16	+1	25
15	Ituano	19	6	4	9	18:21	-3	22
16	Volta Redonda	19	6	3	10	13:25	-12	21
17	Barra	19	5	6	8	21:21	0	21
18	Anápolis	19	5	4	10	17:22	-5	19
19	AO Itabaiana	19	4	5	10	14:27	-13	17
20	Confiança	19	3	4	12	11:20	-9	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.07X30%2.99227%3.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.06 → 2.04 -1.0%X3.18 → 3.01 -5.3%23.35 → 3.45 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.21	1.63	6.6%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Best of all books	2.25	1.63	5.8%
Average	2.18	1.62	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.88	1.79	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maringá 45%Draw 45%Ferroviária 10%

The statistical model rated Maringá at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ferroviária at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 2.99 | 3.39, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Maringá win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C table: Maringá are 4th (30 pts, 32-30 goals), Ferroviária 3rd (30 pts, 22-15).

Over their last five matches, Maringá averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Ferroviária averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Maringá or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.01	3.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.61	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	1.98	4.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.27	3.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.30	14.8	36.7
HT X	5.03	4.47	7.47
HT 2	28.3	15.0	5.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	7.25	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.00
1.5	1.37	2.79
2.5	2.18	1.62
3.5	3.84	1.20
4.5	7.37	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.45
1	1.07	5.85
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.47
2	1.61	2.12
2.25	1.89	1.80
2.75	2.47	1.45
3	3.14	1.29
3.25	3.30	1.25
3.75	4.70	1.12
4	6.60	1.05
4.25	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.15	1.30
-0.75	2.41	1.49
-0.5	2.15	1.68
-0.25	1.76	1.97
0	1.49	2.47
+0.25	1.35	2.88

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.30	1.01
-2.5	7.27	1.05
-2.25	6.98	1.07
-2	6.55	1.07
-1.75	5.23	1.12
-1.5	3.70	1.23
-1.25	3.27	1.29
+0.5	1.30	3.34
+0.75	1.19	4.09
+1	1.07	6.58
+1.25	1.05	7.07
+1.5	1.03	7.70
+1.75	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.58
8.5	1.29	3.05
9.5	1.55	2.26
10.5	1.96	1.80
11.5	2.41	1.48
12.5	3.22	1.26
13.5	4.58	1.11
14.5	6.92	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.23
8	1.15	4.16
9	1.37	2.74
10	1.70	2.02
11	2.17	1.60
12	2.92	1.32
13	4.22	1.14
14	6.50	1.03