Aurora vs
Independiente Petrolero• Copa de la División Profesional, Bolivia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:55 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 4.10 | 3.75 | 6.9% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.65 | 8.9% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 10.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.05 | 3.72 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.05 | 3.64 | 12.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.84 | 3.58 | 12.1% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.75 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.74 | 3.95 | 3.61 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 10:30 UTC
Aurora
4W 4D 2L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against
| 31 Oct | A | Oriente Petrolero | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Real Tomayapo | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Independiente Petrolero | 0-4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Real Oruro | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Nacional Potosí | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | ABB | 2-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Real Potosí | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Sep | H | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Sep | A | ABB | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Universitario de Vinto | 4-2 | W |
Independiente Petrolero
6W 2D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against
| 30 Oct | A | Real Potosí | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | ABB | 4-2 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Aurora | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Blooming | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Always Ready | 0-2 | L |
| 7 Oct | H | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Bolívar | 0-3 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Blooming | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 3-1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Real Tomayapo | 5-1 | W |
Head to head
14 meetings · goals 21:20 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Aurora
| 20 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional | Copa de la División Profesional | Independiente Petrolero4-0Aurora |
| 4 Aug 2026Primera División | Primera División | Independiente Petrolero1-1Aurora |
| 3 Nov 2025Primera División | Primera División | Aurora2-3Independiente Petrolero |
| 27 May 2025Primera División | Primera División | Independiente Petrolero2-4Aurora |
| 31 Oct 2024Primera División | Primera División | Aurora2-0Independiente Petrolero |
| 21 Jul 2024Primera División | Primera División | Independiente Petrolero2-1Aurora |
| 19 Apr 2024Primera División | Primera División | Aurora2-3Independiente Petrolero |
| 15 Apr 2024Primera División | Primera División | Independiente Petrolero0-1Aurora |
| 5 Aug 2023Primera División | Primera División | Independiente Petrolero1-1Aurora |
| 5 Mar 2023Primera División | Primera División | Aurora2-0Independiente Petrolero |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 4.6% |
| Betano | 1.34 | 2.90 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 2.92 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 2.92 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.34 | 3.40 | 4.0% |
| Average | 1.32 | 3.03 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.86 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.34 | 2.90 | 9.1% |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 2.90 | 9.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.79 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.89 | 8.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Aurora at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente Petrolero at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.95 | 3.60, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Aurora averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Independiente Petrolero averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Petrolero.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 3.95 | 3.60 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.92 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.40 | 2.72 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.89 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 2.57 | 3.80 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | 2.93 | 3.51 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.75 | 13.3 | 24.0 |
| HT X | 5.32 | 7.37 | 8.95 |
| HT 2 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 5.70 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 26.0 | 2.26 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 22.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.08 | 6.70 |
| 2.5 | 1.32 | 3.04 |
| 3.5 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 4.5 | 2.86 | 1.35 |
| 5.5 | 4.70 | 1.16 |
| 6.5 | 10.0 | 1.06 |
| 7.5 | 19.0 | 1.02 |
| 8.5 | 34.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.09 | 6.00 |
| 2 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.70 |
| 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.58 |
| 3 | 1.50 | 2.30 |
| 3.25 | 1.70 | 1.98 |
| 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.61 |
| 4 | 2.45 | 1.44 |
| 4.25 | 2.71 | 1.36 |
| 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 5 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.75 | 1.37 |
| -1.25 | 2.44 | 1.46 |
| -1 | 2.22 | 1.59 |
| -0.75 | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| -0.5 | 1.76 | 1.97 |
| -0.25 | 1.53 | 2.28 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.80 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 9.00 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 6.40 | 1.12 |
| -2.5 | 5.15 | 1.12 |
| -2.25 | 4.53 | 1.17 |
| -2 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| -1.75 | 3.34 | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1.35 | 2.83 |
| +0.25 | 1.28 | 3.23 |
| +0.5 | 1.27 | 3.55 |
| +0.75 | 1.19 | 4.35 |
| +1 | 1.07 | 6.63 |
| +1.25 | 1.10 | 6.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 7.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.13 | 4.33 |
| 7.5 | 1.34 | 2.85 |
| 8.5 | 1.64 | 2.11 |
| 9.5 | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| 10.5 | 2.69 | 1.38 |
| 11.5 | 3.76 | 1.18 |
| 12.5 | 5.65 | 1.06 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.02 | 6.98 |
| 7 | 1.17 | 3.89 |
| 8 | 1.43 | 2.54 |
| 9 | 1.84 | 1.92 |
| 10 | 2.41 | 1.48 |
| 11 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 12 | 5.24 | 1.08 |