Tesla vs Pinheirense• Paraense A3, Brazil

#72.0:1.419:00Today1.4:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX3.30WH23.321XBMargin at best9.9%Books6Markets40Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.99	3.28	3.32	10.9%
Betano	2.02	3.25	3.25	11.0%
Bet365	2.00	3.30	3.25	11.1%
BetVictor	2.00	3.30	3.25	11.1%
William Hill	2.00	3.30	3.25	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.28	3.24	12.1%
Best of all books	2.02	3.30	3.32	9.9%
Average	2.00	3.29	3.26	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TeslaPinheirense

Last 10#7Table position#61.25Points per game1.507Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.059Attack rating4142Defence rating5847Form rating5350H2H rating5055Goals model4551Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 15:10 UTC

Tesla

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:23 · per match 1.7 for, 2.3 against

3 Oct	A	Pedreira	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Pedreira	4-1	W
23 Sep	A	Paraense SC	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Pinheirense	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Paraense SC	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Pinheirense	1-1	D
8 Nov	A	Atletico Paraense	0-7	L
3 Nov	H	Atletico Paraense	1-5	L
20 Oct	H	Sport Belem	2-3	L
8 Oct	A	Tiradentes PA	3-0	W

Pinheirense

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Vénus	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Vénus	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Tesla	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	Paraense SC	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Tesla	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Paraense SC	0-0	D
22 Jun	A	Paragominas	1-3	L
19 Jun	H	Urumajó	2-2	D
11 Jun	H	Paragominas	1-1	D
7 Jun	A	Urumajó	0-2	L

Head to head

0Tesla wins

2draws

0Pinheirense wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Tesla

20 Sep 2026Paraense A3	Paraense A3	Tesla2-2Pinheirense
11 Sep 2026Paraense A3	Paraense A3	Pinheirense1-1Tesla

Paraense A3 tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Paraense A3 table, Tesla sit 7th with 5 points from 4 games, while Pinheirense are 6th with 6 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gavião	4	3	1	0	6:2	+4	10
2	Sport Belem	4	3	0	1	11:4	+7	9
3	Pedreira	4	3	0	1	10:3	+7	9
4	Belenense	4	2	1	1	14:9	+5	7
5	Vénus	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
6	Pinheirense	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
7	Tesla	4	1	2	1	6:5	+1	5
8	Parauapebas	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Paraense SC	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
10	Altamira	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1
11	ESMAC	4	0	1	3	4:14	-10	1
12	CA Vila Rica	4	0	1	3	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X27%3.29228%3.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Betano	1.88	1.75	10.3%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.73	1.96	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tesla 45%Draw 45%Pinheirense 10%

The statistical model rates Tesla at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pinheirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.29 | 3.26, which imply roughly 50% for a Tesla win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Paraense A3 table: Tesla are 7th (5 pts, 6-5 goals), Pinheirense 6th (6 pts, 4-3).

Over their last five matches, Tesla averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Pinheirense averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tesla or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.29	3.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.66	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.60	2.10	3.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	9.40	2.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.65
1.5	1.26	3.20
2.5	1.89	1.79
3.5	3.20	1.26
4.5	6.40	1.08
5.5	11.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.42	2.49
2.25	1.65	2.04
2.75	2.13	1.59
3	2.56	1.40
3.25	2.88	1.32
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.92	1.31
-0.75	2.28	1.50
-0.5	1.93	1.70
-0.25	1.75	1.95
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.35	2.74

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.20	1.03
-1.5	3.78	1.19
-1.25	3.34	1.24
+0.75	1.16	4.10
+1	1.06	6.25
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.74	2.01
8	2.00	1.80