Lucchese vs 
Sestri Levante• Coppa Italia Serie D, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 11.2% |
| Average | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 09:00 UTC
Lucchese
3W 4D 3L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against
| 1 Nov | A | Terranuova Traiana | 2-3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Sasso Marconi Zola | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Ternana | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | A | Seravezza | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Grassina | 6-3 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Robur Siena | 3-2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Rondinella | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Progresso | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Seravezza | 0-5 | L |
Sestri Levante
2W 4D 4L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against
| 1 Nov | A | Ligorna | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Saluzzo | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Sanremese | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Celle Varazze | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Pistoiese | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Borgosesia | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Biellese | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Lascaris | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Fezzanese | 0-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Alessandria | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 6: 2W 2D 2L for Lucchese
| 17 May 2025Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs | Lucchese1-0Sestri Levante |
| 10 May 2025Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs | Sestri Levante2-1Lucchese |
| 23 Feb 2025Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Sestri Levante1-1Lucchese |
| 11 Oct 2024Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Lucchese0-0Sestri Levante |
| 14 Jan 2024Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Lucchese1-3Sestri Levante |
| 9 Sep 2023Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Sestri Levante0-1Lucchese |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lucchese at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sestri Levante at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50, which imply roughly 26.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Lucchese averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sestri Levante averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sestri Levante and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.22 | 4.00 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 2.25 | 5.50 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.88 | 17.0 | 34.0 |
| HT X | 4.75 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| HT 2 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 6.50 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 9.50 | 2.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| -0.5 | 1.82 | 1.98 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |