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SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew• Torneo Promocional Amateur, Argentina

#11.0:1.43-4FTToday1.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.661XBX2.751XB22.221XBMargin at best8.7%Books2Markets26Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.662.752.228.7%
Pinnacle3.492.682.1512.5%
Best of all books3.662.752.228.7%
Average3.582.712.1910.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SAT MorenoDefensores Glew
Last 10#1Table position#22.36Points per game2.293Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.642Attack rating5830Defence rating7036Form rating6471H2H rating2919Goals model8143Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 09:31 UTC

SAT Moreno

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

11 OctADefensores Glew1-1D
5 OctHDeportivo Metalurgico2-2D
29 SepADeportivo Metalurgico1-1D
19 SepHBarrancas UMET0-1L
12 SepABarrancas UMET0-2L
7 SepAEstrella de Berisso3-1W
29 AugHDeportivo Metalurgico1-4L
24 AugHAtletico Pilar2-0W
19 AugAJuventud de Bernal3-0W
10 AugHNautico Hacoaj1-0W

Defensores Glew

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:4 · per match 2.2 for, 0.4 against

11 OctHSAT Moreno1-1D
4 OctHUribelarrea0-1L
30 SepAUribelarrea1-0W
19 SepHBuenos Aires City1-1D
14 SepABuenos Aires City3-0W
7 SepHNautico Hacoaj3-1W
30 AugAAtletico Pilar2-0W
22 AugAProvincial4-0W
17 AugHEstrella de Berisso4-0W
8 AugADeportivo Metalurgico3-0W

Head to head

3SAT Moreno wins
1draws
2Defensores Glew wins

6 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for SAT Moreno

2 Aug 2026Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurDefensores Glew2-0SAT Moreno
6 Jun 2026Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurSAT Moreno1-0Defensores Glew
11 Sep 2025Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurDefensores Glew2-4SAT Moreno
3 Sep 2025Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurSAT Moreno1-0Defensores Glew
29 Sep 2024Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurDefensores Glew1-1SAT Moreno
4 May 2024Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional AmateurSAT Moreno0-1Defensores Glew

Torneo Promocional Amateur tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 09:31 UTC

In the Torneo Promocional Amateur table, SAT Moreno sit 1st with 33 points from 14 games, while Defensores Glew are 2nd with 32 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SAT Moreno14110324:9+1533
2Defensores Glew14102237:8+2932
3Deportivo Metalurgico14102232:10+2232
4Barrancas UMET1694317:9+831
5Uribelarrea1685319:11+829
6Ezeiza1675418:17+126
7Buenos Aires City1674518:13+525
8Nautico Hacoaj1473424:11+1324
9Belgrano Zarate1657411:10+122
10Alumni Los Hornos1653817:20-318
11Control Orientado1653815:20-518
12Estrella de Berisso1443718:24-615
13Everton La Plata163587:14-714
14Las Mandarinas16421012:20-814
15Atletico Pilar1423911:24-139
16Juventud de Bernal14221010:41-318
17Provincial1421119:38-297

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.58X33%2.72241%2.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.201.608.0%
Pinnacle2.181.598.8%
Best of all books2.201.608.0%
Average2.191.608.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.031.795.1%
Best of all books2.031.795.1%
Average2.031.795.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SAT Moreno 10%Draw 45%Defensores Glew 45%

The statistical model rated SAT Moreno at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Defensores Glew at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 2.72 | 2.19, which imply roughly 36.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Promocional Amateur table: SAT Moreno are 1st (33 pts, 24-9 goals), Defensores Glew 2nd (32 pts, 37-8).

Over their last five matches, SAT Moreno averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Defensores Glew averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Defensores Glew.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.582.722.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.601.241.39

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.362.82
2.52.191.60
3.53.801.22
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.125.30
1.751.442.49
21.632.13
2.251.921.80
2.752.511.44
33.111.30
46.601.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.931.32
02.461.48
+0.251.881.83
+0.51.622.14
+0.751.432.52
+11.273.31
4 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.701.05
-0.53.411.24
+1.51.204.10
+2.51.038.90