Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs
San Martin Formosa• Torneo Federal A, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:54 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.10 | 5.36 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 9.5% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.45 | 4.65 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.40 | 5.50 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 0.4% |
| Average | 1.62 | 3.51 | 5.21 | 9.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:03 UTC
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
5W 4D 1L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against
| 4 Oct | A | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Alvarado | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Cipolletti | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Atenas | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Argentino Monte Maíz | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Aug | H | Villa Mitre | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Huracan Las Heras | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | Juventud Antoniana | 0-0 | D |
San Martin Formosa
6W 3D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against
| 4 Oct | H | Atenas | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Atenas | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Bartolomé Mitre | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Sarmiento de La Banda | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Aug | H | Sportivo Belgrano | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Douglas Haig | 4-1 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | Sol de América | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Olimpo Bahia Blanca
| 19 Oct 2024Torneo Federal A | Torneo Federal A | San Martin Formosa1-2Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
| 12 Oct 2024Torneo Federal A | Torneo Federal A | Olimpo Bahia Blanca1-0San Martin Formosa |
Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC
In the Torneo Federal A table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st with 31 points from 16 games, while San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 31 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | +7 | 31 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 27 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | +6 | 26 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 26 |
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | +8 | 25 |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | +4 | 25 |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 25 |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 24 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | +6 | 23 |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 23 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 23 |
| 20 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 |
| 21 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 21 |
| 22 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 23 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
| 24 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 25 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 19 |
| 26 | El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 |
| 27 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 30 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 18 |
| 31 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 33 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 34 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 35 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 15 |
| 36 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.82 | 2.6% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.74 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Olimpo Bahia Blanca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and San Martin Formosa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.51 | 5.21, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Olimpo Bahia Blanca win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (31 pts, 13-4 goals), San Martin Formosa 4th (30 pts, 25-19).
Over their last five matches, Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Martin Formosa averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 3.51 | 5.21 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 2.03 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.24 | 3.63 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.73 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 2.14 | 5.19 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 9.50 | 2.75 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 9.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 3.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.99 | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 3.55 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 12.5 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 | 6.10 |
| 1 | 1.10 | 5.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.23 | 3.71 |
| 1.75 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| 2 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 2.75 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| 3 | 3.00 | 1.34 |
| 3.25 | 3.38 | 1.27 |
| 3.75 | 4.52 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 6.20 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.53 | 1.48 |
| -1.25 | 2.47 | 1.50 |
| -1 | 2.13 | 1.60 |
| -0.75 | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| -0.5 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| -0.25 | 1.44 | 2.64 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.75 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| -2.5 | 5.75 | 1.12 |
| -2.25 | 5.26 | 1.15 |
| -2 | 4.75 | 1.17 |
| -1.75 | 3.45 | 1.29 |
| 0 | 1.23 | 3.90 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 4.50 |
| +0.5 | 1.16 | 5.25 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 10.0 |