OddsFilter

Defensores de Vilelas vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#241.2:1.419:00Today1.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.24PINX3.00B36522.50DAFMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets40Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 12:55 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.152.852.506.8%
BetVictor3.002.902.389.8%
1xBet3.102.962.2310.9%
Betfair2.902.902.3811.0%
Betano3.002.752.4211.0%
William Hill3.102.752.3012.1%
Marathonbet3.022.962.2112.1%
Bet3652.623.002.4512.3%
Pinnacle3.242.642.2912.4%
Best of all books3.243.002.504.2%
Average3.012.862.3510.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Defensores de VilelasGimnasia Chivilcoy
Last 10#24Table position#61.19Points per game1.505Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4536Defence rating6442Form rating580H2H rating059Goals model4148Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:43 UTC

Defensores de Vilelas

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

19 SepABoca Unidos3-3D
13 SepHIndependiente De Chivilcoy2-0W
7 SepAAtletico Escobar1-2L
23 AugHEl Linqueño0-0D
16 AugAGimnasia Concepción0-2L
12 AugHTucuman Central4-3W
8 AugASportivo Las Parejas0-0D
3 AugHSarmiento Resistencia4-1W
12 JulABartolomé Mitre0-1L
4 JulHSarmiento de La Banda3-0W

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

4 OctHOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-2L
27 SepAOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-2L
20 SepADouglas Haig0-0D
11 SepHSol de América2-0W
6 SepABartolomé Mitre1-0W
30 AugHSarmiento de La Banda1-0W
23 AugADefensores de Belgrano VR1-0W
16 AugHSan Martin Formosa1-1D
12 AugA9 de Julio Rafaela0-1L
1 AugHSportivo Belgrano0-0D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Defensores de Vilelas and Gimnasia Chivilcoy on record.

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 04:40 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Defensores de Vilelas sit 24th with 19 points from 16 games, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th with 27 points from 18.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931
2Douglas Haig1894522:15+731
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230
4San Martin Formosa1693425:19+630
5Alvarado1676319:7+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626
10Sol de América1682619:14+526
11Juventud Antoniana1674519:11+825
12Cipolletti1674519:15+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225
149 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124
16Villa Mitre1658314:8+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423
18Atenas1665512:13-123
19Huracan Las Heras1665511:13-223
20Atletico Escobar1864821:29-822
21Fundacion Amigos1649317:14+321
22Deportivo Rincon1654713:16-319
23San Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419
24Defensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719
26El Linqueño1854914:21-719
27Costa Brava1646612:13-118
28Sol de Mayo1646615:18-318
29Boca Unidos1653819:25-618
30Germinal de Rawson164667:14-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017
32Tucuman Central1652914:19-517
33Gimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617
34Guillermo Brown1645713:20-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115
36Santamarina162779:17-813
37Circulo Deportivo162778:16-813

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.01X32%2.86238%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 20:1010 Oct 13:211 3.01X 2.862 2.35
12.60 → 3.01 +15.8%X2.88 → 2.86 -0.7%22.60 → 2.35 -9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.301.606.0%
BetVictor2.401.508.3%
Pinnacle2.471.459.5%
Betano2.251.5210.2%
1xBet2.351.4710.6%
Marathonbet2.351.4710.6%
Best of all books2.471.603.0%
Average2.351.509.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.001.737.8%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
William Hill2.001.708.8%
1xBet2.011.698.9%
Marathonbet2.011.6610.0%
Best of all books2.011.737.6%
Average2.001.708.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Defensores de Vilelas 35%Draw 35%Gimnasia Chivilcoy 30%

The statistical model rates Defensores de Vilelas at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.01 | 2.86 | 2.35, which imply roughly 33.2% for a Defensores de Vilelas win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Defensores de Vilelas are 24th (19 pts, 21-26 goals), Gimnasia Chivilcoy 6th (27 pts, 17-12).

Over their last five matches, Defensores de Vilelas averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Defensores de Vilelas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.012.862.35

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.321.33

Draw no bet

12
2.041.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.001.70

1st half

1X2
3.741.923.09

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.216.201.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.066.78
1.51.462.48
2.52.351.50
3.54.431.16
4.59.501.05
5.520.51.01
6.521.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.82
11.105.20
1.251.283.14
1.751.622.10
21.781.87
2.252.101.61
2.752.861.33
33.721.20
3.254.101.16
3.755.191.13
47.001.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.891.38
-0.252.511.46
02.081.67
+0.251.721.99
+0.51.522.44
+0.751.362.82
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.451.07
-1.254.971.13
-15.401.11
-0.753.511.25
+11.203.89
+1.251.164.51
+1.51.134.98
+2.51.0210.5