ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II• IFA Shield, India

2.3:0.31-0FTToday · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata3.3:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.511XBX3.50WH21.80WHMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets39Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 08:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	4.33	3.50	1.70	10.5%
1xBet	4.51	3.48	1.67	10.8%
William Hill	3.75	3.50	1.80	10.8%
Betano	4.20	3.45	1.72	10.9%
Bet365	3.80	3.40	1.80	11.3%
BetVictor	4.40	3.40	1.67	12.0%
Marathonbet	4.40	3.48	1.65	12.1%
Pinnacle	4.47	3.25	1.68	12.7%
Best of all books	4.51	3.50	1.80	6.3%
Average	4.23	3.43	1.71	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ATK Mohun BaganEast Bengal II

Last 109Form pts · last 5102.3Goals for · last 53.30.3Goals against · last 51.341Attack rating5980Defence rating2045Form rating5571H2H rating2973Goals model2762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 12:22 UTC

ATK Mohun Bagan

4W 6D 0L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

4 Oct	H	Minerva Punjab	0-0	D
29 Sep	H	NorthEast United	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Sreenidi Deccan	6-0	W
21 May	H	SC Delhi	2-1	W
17 May	H	East Bengal II	1-1	D
12 May	H	Inter Kashi	0-0	D
9 May	A	Goa	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	NorthEast United	1-0	W
12 Apr	H	Minerva Punjab	3-2	W
4 Apr	A	Jamshedpur	1-1	D

East Bengal II

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

5 Oct	H	NorthEast United	7-2	W
30 Sep	H	Minerva Punjab	0-1	L
24 Sep	A	Calcutta Customs	3-1	W
16 Sep	A	Al Hussein	2-2	D
12 Aug	H	Al Arabi	4-1	W
21 May	A	Inter Kashi	2-1	W
17 May	A	ATK Mohun Bagan	1-1	D
11 May	H	Minerva Punjab	0-0	D
5 May	A	Mumbai City	2-1	W
28 Apr	H	Odisha	3-0	W

Head to head

0ATK Mohun Bagan wins

3draws

0East Bengal II wins

3 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 3: 0W 3D 0L for ATK Mohun Bagan

17 May 2026Indian Super League	Indian Super League	ATK Mohun Bagan1-1East Bengal II
31 Oct 2025AIFF Super Cup	AIFF Super Cup	ATK Mohun Bagan0-0East Bengal II
18 Oct 2025IFA Shield	IFA Shield	East Bengal II1-1ATK Mohun Bagan

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.23X27%3.38252%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.84 → 4.23 +10.2%X3.38 → 3.43 +1.5%21.80 → 1.71 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Pinnacle	1.98	1.72	8.6%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.95	1.74	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan 45%Draw 45%East Bengal II 10%

The statistical model rated ATK Mohun Bagan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and East Bengal II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.23 | 3.38 | 1.72, which imply roughly 23.6% for a ATK Mohun Bagan win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, ATK Mohun Bagan averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; East Bengal II averaged 3.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : ATK Mohun Bagan or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.43	1.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.93	1.16	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
3.10	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
4.68	2.11	2.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.62	9.88	1.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.73
1.5	1.28	3.17
2.5	1.95	1.74
3.5	3.46	1.24
4.5	6.83	1.07
5.5	14.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.14	4.30
1.75	1.35	2.76
2	1.48	2.39
2.25	1.72	1.97
2.75	2.22	1.55
3	2.70	1.37
3.25	3.05	1.29
3.75	4.30	1.15
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.44	1.46
+0.5	2.00	1.72
+0.75	1.78	1.87
+1	1.53	2.26
+1.25	1.39	2.62
+1.5	1.31	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.80	1.01
-1.5	8.10	1.04
-1.25	4.55	1.13
-0.75	5.90	1.07
-0.25	3.69	1.21
0	3.28	1.27
+2	1.08	5.45
+2.5	1.05	6.40