Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia• Cup, Bulgaria

3.0:1.012:00Tomorrow0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50BVCX4.00B36521.73WHMargin at best5.0%Books6Markets50Rating9 · 91Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	4.20	4.00	1.70	7.6%
BetVictor	4.50	3.60	1.67	9.9%
1xBet	4.45	3.54	1.67	10.6%
William Hill	4.40	3.30	1.73	10.8%
Marathonbet	4.35	3.54	1.65	11.8%
Pinnacle	4.11	3.43	1.69	12.7%
Best of all books	4.50	4.00	1.73	5.0%
Average	4.33	3.57	1.68	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSeptemvri Sofia

Last 109Form pts · last 513.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating09H2H rating910Goals model09Overall rating91

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

5W 4D 1L · goals 10:6 · per match 1.0 for, 0.6 against

10 Oct	A	Rilski Sportist	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Natsional Sofia	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Marek	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Yantra 2019	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Nesebar	1-1	D
7 Sep	A	Sportist Svoge	0-0	D
3 Sep	H	Dobrudzha	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Montana	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Spartak Pleven	1-0	W

Septemvri Sofia

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	H	Dunav Ruse	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Botev Plovdiv	0-3	L
14 Sep	A	Ludogorets	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Botev Vratsa	2-3	L
28 Aug	A	Slavia Sofia	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	CSKA 1948	1-0	W
17 Aug	A	Spartak Varna	1-0	W
9 Aug	H	CSKA Sofia	0-3	L
1 Aug	A	Levski Sofia	0-3	L
26 Jul	A	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1-2	L

Head to head

0Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa wins

0draws

3Septemvri Sofia wins

3 meetings · goals 0:6 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

21 May 2021Second League	Second League	Septemvri Sofia3-0Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
12 Dec 2020Second League	Second League	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-2Septemvri Sofia
29 Nov 2019Second League	Second League	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-1Septemvri Sofia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.34X25%3.57254%1.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.54 → 4.34 -4.4%X3.64 → 3.57 -1.9%21.65 → 1.68 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.82	7.9%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
BetVictor	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.84	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Best of all books	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0%Draw 50%Septemvri Sofia 50%

The statistical model rates Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Septemvri Sofia at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.34 | 3.57 | 1.68, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Septemvri Sofia averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Septemvri Sofia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.34	3.57	1.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.08	1.16	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.32	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
4.98	2.20	2.23

2nd half

1	X	2
4.48	2.49	2.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.25	17.5	20.0
HT X	10.9	5.75	4.55
HT 2	38.5	16.5	2.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.73	11.9	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.80
1.5	1.24	3.39
2.5	1.86	1.84
3.5	3.06	1.30
4.5	5.87	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.31	2.93
2	1.41	2.55
2.25	1.63	2.08
2.75	2.07	1.64
3	2.45	1.45
3.25	2.74	1.36
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	4.12	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.43	1.46
+0.5	2.05	1.67
+0.75	1.82	1.87
+1	1.62	2.16
+1.25	1.42	2.53
+1.5	1.33	2.83

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.02
-1	8.60	1.01
-0.25	3.72	1.20
0	3.19	1.27
+1.75	1.23	3.42
+2	1.12	4.75
+2.25	1.09	5.38
+2.5	1.08	5.50
+3	1.02	7.90
+3.5	1.01	8.50