Kerkennah vs AS Agareb• Ligue 2, Tunisia

#251.0:2.00-0FT11/101.0:2.5#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05BTNX3.02MAR23.661XBMargin at best9.2%Books6Markets34Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 11:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.04	3.00	3.65	9.8%
1xBet	1.98	3.02	3.66	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Betano	2.02	3.00	3.50	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.96	3.02	3.56	12.2%
BetVictor	1.91	2.70	3.25	20.2%
Best of all books	2.04	3.02	3.66	9.5%
Average	1.99	2.96	3.54	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KerkennahAS Agareb

Last 10#25Table position#210.25Points per game0.754Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 52.550Attack rating5056Defence rating440Form rating10071H2H rating2932Goals model6857Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 14:51 UTC

Kerkennah

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	AS Agareb	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	EM Mahdia	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	M'saken	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Ksour Essef	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Kalaâ Sport	5-0	W
11 May	A	EM Mahdia	3-1	W
1 May	H	CS Hammam-Lif	0-0	D
27 Apr	H	ES Hammam-Sousse	2-1	W
18 Apr	A	Menzel Bourguiba	4-0	W
13 Apr	H	US Tataouine	0-0	D

AS Agareb

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Sporting Ben Arous	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Stade Soussien	2-2	D
11 May	A	Sfax Railways	1-2	L
1 May	H	M'saken	1-0	W
27 Apr	A	Bouselem	1-1	D
21 Apr	H	BS Bouhajla	1-0	W
13 Apr	A	Sporting Ben Arous	1-0	W
5 Apr	H	EM Mahdia	0-0	D
29 Mar	A	CS Hammam-Lif	0-1	L
23 Mar	H	Stade Gabesien	1-4	L

Head to head

3Kerkennah wins

0draws

1AS Agareb wins

4 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Kerkennah

28 Feb 2026Ligue 2	Ligue 2	AS Agareb1-0Kerkennah
25 Oct 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Kerkennah3-1AS Agareb
15 Mar 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	AS Agareb0-3Kerkennah
24 Nov 2024Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Kerkennah3-1AS Agareb

Ligue 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Kerkennah sit 25th with 1 points from 4 games, while AS Agareb are 21st with 3 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Mégrine	4	3	1	0	8:4	+4	10
2	AS Kasserine	3	3	0	0	6:1	+5	9
3	EM Mahdia	4	2	2	0	7:5	+2	8
4	M'saken	4	2	2	0	6:4	+2	8
5	Ksour Essef	3	2	1	0	2:0	+2	7
6	CS Chebba	4	2	1	1	4:3	+1	7
7	US Tataouine	4	2	1	1	5:6	-1	7
8	Redeyef	3	2	0	1	6:1	+5	6
9	Korba	3	2	0	1	4:1	+3	6
10	Sfax Railways	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
11	JS Kairouanaise	3	2	0	1	2:1	+1	6
12	Jendouba Sport	3	2	0	1	2:1	+1	6
13	Bouchamma	3	2	0	1	3:4	-1	6
14	AS Soliman	4	1	2	1	8:6	+2	5
15	Sporting Ben Arous	4	1	2	1	6:4	+2	5
16	BS Bouhajla	4	1	2	1	2:4	-2	5
17	Ariana	3	1	1	1	3:2	+1	4
18	Stade Soussien	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4
19	Olympique du Kef	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
20	Kalaâ Sport	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3
21	AS Agareb	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3
22	Stade Gabesien	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
23	Béni-Khalled	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
24	AS Gabes	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
25	Kerkennah	4	0	1	3	2:5	-3	1
26	Moknine	3	0	1	2	0:4	-4	1
27	EGS Gafsa	3	0	0	3	3:8	-5	0
28	CO Medenine	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.99X30%2.96225%3.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.56	1.42	9.5%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
Best of all books	2.56	1.50	5.7%
Average	2.46	1.47	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.62	9.8%
BetVictor	1.87	1.50	20.1%
Best of all books	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Average	2.01	1.59	12.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kerkennah 35%Draw 35%AS Agareb 30%

The statistical model rated Kerkennah at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and AS Agareb at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 2.96 | 3.54, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Kerkennah win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Kerkennah are 25th (1 pts, 2-5 goals), AS Agareb 21st (3 pts, 3-6).

Over their last five matches, Kerkennah averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; AS Agareb averaged 1 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Kerkennah or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.99	2.96	3.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.63	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	1.88	4.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	6.33	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.45	2.33
2.5	2.46	1.47
3.5	4.70	1.12

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.30
1.25	1.29	3.08
1.75	1.60	2.11
2	1.81	1.78
2.25	2.16	1.58
2.75	2.95	1.31
3	3.90	1.18
3.25	4.30	1.14
4	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.10	1.28
-0.75	2.33	1.49
-0.5	2.01	1.70
-0.25	1.68	1.91
0	1.43	2.56
+0.25	1.30	3.03

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.5	4.05	1.16
-1.25	3.58	1.21
+0.5	1.24	3.47
+0.75	1.12	4.65
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.90

Next Ligue 2 matches

19 Oct	Kalaâ Sport – Moknine
19 Oct	Stade Gabesien – Redeyef

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

18 Oct	Mégrine 2-0 Stade Soussien
18 Oct	M'saken 2-1 AS Gabes
18 Oct	US Tataouine 1-0 Kerkennah
18 Oct	Sfax Railways 2-2 AS Soliman
11 Oct	Sporting Ben Arous 2-2 US Tataouine
11 Oct	JS Kairouanaise 0-1 Ksour Essef