Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts• FA Cup, Scotland

14:00Today

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43DAFX3.85DAF22.65DAFMargin at best4.9%Books7Markets46Rating27 · 74

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 15:52 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.43	3.85	2.65	4.9%
Betfair	2.40	3.70	2.55	7.9%
William Hill	2.40	3.40	2.62	9.2%
BetVictor	2.40	3.50	2.55	9.5%
Bet365	2.30	3.60	2.50	11.3%
1xBet	2.35	3.45	2.48	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.45	2.48	11.9%
Best of all books	2.43	3.85	2.65	4.9%
Average	2.38	3.56	2.55	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Edinburgh CityKelty Hearts

Last 102Form pts · last 590Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating020H2H rating800Goals model027Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Edinburgh City

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Elgin City	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	St. Mirren U21	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Spartans	1-3	L
3 Oct	A	Stranraer	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Formartine United	0-2	L
22 Sep	H	Dundee United II	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Kelty Hearts	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Stirling Albion	7-3	W
8 Sep	H	Queen of the South	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Clyde	2-3	L

Kelty Hearts

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Forfar Athletic	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	East Kilbride	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Stirling Albion	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Spartans	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Montrose	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Hearts U21	3-5	L
19 Sep	H	Edinburgh City	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Clyde	1-4	L
8 Sep	A	Cumbernauld Colts	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Annan Athletic	2-1	W

Head to head

4Edinburgh City wins

3draws

7Kelty Hearts wins

14 meetings · goals 23:29 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Edinburgh City

19 Sep 2026League Two	League Two	Kelty Hearts1-3Edinburgh City
30 Mar 2024League One	League One	Kelty Hearts3-1Edinburgh City
13 Feb 2024League One	League One	Kelty Hearts3-2Edinburgh City
3 Feb 2024League One	League One	Edinburgh City0-3Kelty Hearts
7 Oct 2023League One	League One	Edinburgh City1-4Kelty Hearts
19 Jul 2023League Cup	League Cup	Edinburgh City3-5Kelty Hearts
22 Apr 2023League One	League One	Edinburgh City2-2Kelty Hearts
4 Mar 2023League One	League One	Kelty Hearts1-2Edinburgh City
8 Oct 2022League One	League One	Edinburgh City2-0Kelty Hearts
30 Jul 2022League One	League One	Kelty Hearts0-2Edinburgh City

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X26%3.56236%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.61	2.18	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.51	2.36	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.32	9.3%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.53	2.36	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Edinburgh City 0%Draw 50%Kelty Hearts 50%

The statistical model rates Edinburgh City at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Kelty Hearts at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.56 | 2.55, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Edinburgh City averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Kelty Hearts averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kelty Hearts.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.56	2.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.50	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.91	2.29	3.09

2nd half

1	X	2
2.63	2.57	2.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.78	13.5	21.5
HT X	6.20	5.80	6.60
HT 2	20.5	13.5	4.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	15.3	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.5
1.5	1.17	4.39
2.5	1.61	2.18
3.5	2.53	1.45
4.5	4.48	1.16
5.5	8.88	1.05
6.5	18.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.19	3.74
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.43	2.51
2.75	1.74	1.91
3	1.96	1.69
3.25	2.23	1.55
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.68	1.20
4.25	4.20	1.18
5	7.50	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.75	1.37
-0.5	2.36	1.54
-0.25	2.05	1.66
0	1.79	1.91
+0.25	1.58	2.20
+0.5	1.46	2.56

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.03
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.90	1.13
-1.5	4.43	1.16
-1.25	4.03	1.19
-1	3.57	1.23
+0.75	1.32	2.98
+1	1.19	4.01
+1.25	1.19	4.35
+1.5	1.14	4.94
+1.75	1.10	6.80
+2	1.01	8.80
+2.5	1.02	9.55

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