OddsFilter
Live

Indonesia vs Thailand• FIFA Asean Cup, World

3.7:0.72-2FT05/10 · Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium, Jakarta2.3:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.821XB24.05PINMargin at best1.4%Books3Markets12Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.173.643.194.9%
Betfair2.003.303.2511.1%
William Hill2.003.403.0012.7%
Best of all books2.173.643.254.3%
Average2.063.453.159.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IndonesiaThailand
Last 108Form pts · last 573.7Goals for · last 52.30.7Goals against · last 50.761Attack rating3950Defence rating5054Form rating4625H2H rating750Goals model10044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 15:51 UTC

Indonesia

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

1 OctHBangladesh9-2W
28 SepAMalaysia0-0D
25 SepHSingapore2-0W
7 AugASingapore1-1D
3 AugHVietnam0-3L
31 JulATimor-Leste3-0W
27 JulHCambodia5-1W
9 JunHMozambique1-0W
5 JunHOman3-0W
30 MarHBulgaria0-1L

Thailand

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

2 OctHPhilippines1-2L
29 SepHVietnam2-0W
26 SepAPakistan4-0W
26 AugAVietnam2-2D
22 AugHVietnam0-2L
18 AugHSingapore1-2L
15 AugASingapore3-1W
8 AugHMyanmar2-0W
4 AugAPhilippines1-0W
1 AugHMalaysia2-0W

Head to head

1Indonesia wins
3draws
5Thailand wins

9 meetings · goals 11:23 · last 9: 1W 3D 5L for Indonesia

29 Dec 2022AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipIndonesia1-1Thailand
1 Jan 2022AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipThailand2-2Indonesia
29 Dec 2021AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipIndonesia0-4Thailand
3 Jun 2021World Cup - Qualification AsiaWorld Cup - Qualification AsiaThailand2-2Indonesia
10 Sep 2019World Cup - Qualification AsiaWorld Cup - Qualification AsiaIndonesia0-3Thailand
17 Nov 2018AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipThailand4-2Indonesia
17 Dec 2016AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipThailand2-0Indonesia
14 Dec 2016AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipIndonesia2-1Thailand
19 Nov 2016AFF ChampionshipAFF ChampionshipThailand4-2Indonesia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.86X28%3.28223%3.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 03:115 Oct 11:111 1.90X 3.342 3.71
12.06 → 1.90 -7.8%X3.45 → 3.34 -3.2%23.15 → 3.71 +17.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.951.806.8%
Best of all books1.951.806.8%
Average1.951.806.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.732.066.3%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
Best of all books1.732.066.3%
Average1.732.037.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Indonesia 10%Draw 45%Thailand 45%

The statistical model rated Indonesia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Thailand at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.28 | 3.90, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Indonesia averaged 3.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Thailand averaged 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Thailand and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Indonesia

3-4-3

Coach: J. Herdman

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Audero

Defence

  • 2K. Diks
  • 20E. Baggott
  • 23Justin Quincy Hubner

Midfield

  • 8L. Vickery
  • 14J. Pelupessy
  • 11R. Oratmangoen
  • 17C. Verdonk

Attack

  • 10O. Romeny
  • 9M. Lee Baker
  • 19T. Haye
Substitutes (12)
  • 13N. Argawinata
  • 4Jordi Amat
  • 6R. Eka Pratama
  • 15R. Hannan
  • 21D. James
  • 18I. Jenner
  • 3D. Markx
  • 7E. Maulana
  • 12M. Paes
  • 16S. Pattynama
  • 5R. Ridho
  • 22N. Tjoe-A-On

Thailand

4-1-4-1

Coach: Anthony Hudson

Goalkeeper

  • 20S. Anuin

Defence

  • 21S. Bureerat
  • 4M. Bihr
  • 2N. Sayriya
  • 12N. Mickelson

Midfield

  • 9S. Chaided
  • 7K. Khamyok
  • 6S. Yooyen
  • 15K. Kaman
  • 18C. Songkrasin

Attack

  • 14T. Poeiphimai
Substitutes (12)
  • 8P. Chamrasamee
  • 13W. Choolthong
  • 1P. Khammai
  • 3C. Otton
  • 23K. Phatomakkakul
  • 19T. Pruetong
  • 22S. Ratree
  • 16I. Sanron
  • 10S. Sarachat
  • 17Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell
  • 11A. Yodsangwal
  • 5P. Akkratum

Match Statistics

IndonesiaThailand
391Passes accurate202
9Shots insidebox10
9Shots outsidebox4
6Blocked Shots7
18Free Kicks11
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
7Shots off Goal4
445Total passes252
18Total Shots14
1Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks2
0Red Cards1
11Fouls21
64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.063.453.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.671.29

Draw no bet

12
1.532.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.732.03

1st half

1X2
2.692.163.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.077.50
1.51.313.22
2.51.951.80
3.53.281.30
4.56.661.06
5.512.01.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.532.38

Latest FIFA Asean Cup results

5 OctMalaysia 1-0 Vietnam
3 OctHong Kong 2-0 Cambodia
2 OctVietnam 4-2 Pakistan
2 OctThailand 1-2 Philippines
1 OctIndonesia 9-2 Bangladesh
1 OctMalaysia 6-0 Singapore