Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20• Paulista - U20, Brazil

#52.8:1.01-0FTToday1.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83WHX3.70B36524.621XBMargin at best3.3%Books4Markets59Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.86	3.45	3.55	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.60	11.0%
William Hill	1.83	3.50	3.60	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.45	3.46	12.2%
Best of all books	1.86	3.50	3.60	10.1%
Average	1.84	3.47	3.55	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guarani U20Sfera U20

Last 10#5Table position#143.00Points per game0.0010Form pts · last 592.8Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.461Attack rating3958Defence rating4253Form rating4750H2H rating5085Goals model1561Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:52 UTC

Guarani U20

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

9 Oct	A	Sfera U20	1-2	L
25 Sep	H	União Suzano U20	4-1	W
18 Sep	A	União Suzano U20	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Gremio Prudente U20	5-1	W
4 Sep	H	XV de Jaú U20	3-0	W
21 Aug	H	Ituano U20	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Capivariano U20	1-1	D
12 Aug	A	RB Bragantino U20	0-2	L
7 Aug	H	Água Santa U20	2-0	W
31 Jul	A	Referencia U20	1-0	W

Sfera U20

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

9 Oct	H	Guarani U20	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	XV de Piracicaba U20	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	XV de Piracicaba U20	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Palmeiras U20	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Ituano U20	5-2	W
28 Aug	H	Gremio Prudente U20	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Referencia U20	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	XV de Jaú U20	2-1	W
31 Jul	A	Água Santa U20	3-1	W
24 Jul	H	Osasco Audax U20	0-1	L

Head to head

1Guarani U20 wins

0draws

1Sfera U20 wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Guarani U20

9 Oct 2026Paulista - U20	Paulista - U20	Sfera U202-1Guarani U20
3 Jul 2026Paulista - U20	Paulista - U20	Guarani U202-0Sfera U20

Paulista - U20 tableU20 Paulista 2026, Group 3updated 16 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Paulista - U20 table, Guarani U20 sit 5th with 3 points from 1 games, while Sfera U20 are 14th with 0 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Água Santa U20	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6
2	RB Bragantino U20	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
3	Ituano U20	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Capivariano U20	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Guarani U20	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
6	Palmeiras U20	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
7	Flamengo SP U20	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
8	XV de Jaú U20	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
9	Tanabi SP U20	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
10	Osasco Audax U20	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
11	Mauá U20	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
12	Gremio Prudente U20	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
13	Porto Football U20	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1
14	Sfera U20	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
15	Referencia U20	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.62X25%3.58220%4.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.65 +0.6%X3.60 → 3.61 +0.3%24.24 → 4.32 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.00	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.65	2.12	7.8%
Average	1.63	2.08	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guarani U20 45%Draw 45%Sfera U20 10%

The statistical model rated Guarani U20 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sfera U20 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.58 | 4.50, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Guarani U20 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Paulista - U20 table: Guarani U20 are 5th (3 pts, 4-0 goals), Sfera U20 14th (0 pts, 2-4).

Over their last five matches, Guarani U20 averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sfera U20 averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guarani U20 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.47	3.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.78	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.23	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.21	2.50	3.72

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.79	15.5	33.5
HT X	5.10	5.85	9.05
HT 2	20.0	16.5	5.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	12.6	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.19	3.76
2.5	1.72	2.00
3.5	2.74	1.35
4.5	5.10	1.10
5.5	10.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.86	1.76
3	2.17	1.55
3.25	2.46	1.43
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.94	1.32
-1	2.62	1.40
-0.75	2.07	1.66
-0.5	1.85	1.95
-0.25	1.62	2.06
0	1.39	2.59

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.75	1.04
-2.25	5.30	1.09
-2	5.95	1.07
-1.75	4.20	1.15
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.30	2.97
+1	1.05	6.65
+1.5	1.03	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.27
6.5	1.14	4.18
7.5	1.36	2.77
8.5	1.67	2.09
9.5	2.10	1.65
10.5	2.77	1.36
11.5	3.91	1.17
12.5	5.92	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.03	6.66
7	1.19	3.74
8	1.46	2.46
9	1.90	1.86
10	2.48	1.45
11	3.56	1.21
12	5.50	1.06