Cerrito vs
Tacuarembo• Segunda División, Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 12:51 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 6.9% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 9.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.39 | 3.82 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.10 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.25 | 3.78 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.25 | 3.68 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 12.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 3.45 | 4.10 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.86 | 3.29 | 3.84 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC
Cerrito
3W 3D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against
| 7 Oct | H | Wanderers | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Plaza Colonia | 3-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | La Luz | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Wanderers | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | CA River Plate | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Atenas | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Sep | A | Cerro | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Paysandu | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Deportivo Maldonado | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Sportivo Huracan | 1-2 | L |
Tacuarembo
2W 4D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against
| 3 Oct | H | Atenas | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Paysandu | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Sportivo Huracan | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Uruguay Montevideo | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Oriental | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Colón | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Fenix | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Rentistas | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | Miramar | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | CA River Plate | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
22 meetings · goals 23:19 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Cerrito
| 5 Jul 2026Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo0-0Cerrito |
| 29 Mar 2026Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo1-1Cerrito |
| 24 Aug 2025Segunda División | Segunda División | Cerrito1-1Tacuarembo |
| 3 Jun 2025Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo2-0Cerrito |
| 16 Nov 2024Segunda División | Segunda División | Cerrito3-1Tacuarembo |
| 27 Jul 2024Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo0-2Cerrito |
| 26 Nov 2023Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo0-1Cerrito |
| 15 Jul 2023Segunda División | Segunda División | Cerrito2-1Tacuarembo |
| 12 Mar 2023Segunda División | Segunda División | Cerrito0-2Tacuarembo |
| 10 Nov 2020Segunda División | Segunda División | Tacuarembo1-1Cerrito |
Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 10 Oct 15:13 UTC
In the Segunda División table, Cerrito sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games, while Tacuarembo are 14th with 3 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 1.68 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.67 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.04 | 1.67 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.12 | 1.70 | 6.0% |
| Average | 2.08 | 1.67 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.83 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 1.90 | 1.78 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 1.81 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 1.78 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.83 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.89 | 1.79 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Cerrito at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tacuarembo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.29 | 3.84, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Cerrito win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Cerrito are 8th (9 pts, 8-8 goals), Tacuarembo 14th (3 pts, 5-9).
Over their last five matches, Cerrito averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Tacuarembo averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Cerrito or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 3.29 | 3.84 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.89 | 1.79 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 2.05 | 4.46 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 8.15 | 2.58 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.61 |
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 2.93 |
| 2.5 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 3.73 | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 7.50 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 18.0 | 1.02 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 3.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.56 |
| 2 | 1.56 | 2.23 |
| 2.25 | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| 2.75 | 2.37 | 1.49 |
| 3 | 3.01 | 1.31 |
| 3.25 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.68 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.07 | 1.30 |
| -1 | 2.68 | 1.39 |
| -0.75 | 2.13 | 1.61 |
| -0.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| -0.25 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 0 | 1.37 | 2.80 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.70 | 1.03 |
| -2 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
| -1.5 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| +0.25 | 1.30 | 3.11 |
| +0.5 | 1.31 | 3.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| 9 | 2.00 | 1.80 |