OddsFilter

Cerrito vs Tacuarembo• Segunda División, Uruguay

#81.2:1.219:00Today · Montevideo1.0:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BTNX3.45DAF24.10BVCMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets41Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 12:51 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.893.454.006.9%
Betano1.913.303.809.0%
Pinnacle1.873.393.829.2%
BetVictor1.833.304.109.3%
Betfair1.853.303.8010.7%
1xBet1.863.253.7811.0%
Bet3651.803.303.8012.2%
Marathonbet1.843.253.6812.3%
William Hill1.853.103.8012.6%
Best of all books1.913.454.105.7%
Average1.863.293.8410.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CerritoTacuarembo
Last 10#8Table position#141.50Points per game0.508Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.455Attack rating4554Defence rating4663Form rating3850H2H rating5073Goals model2758Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Cerrito

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

7 OctHWanderers2-2D
4 OctAPlaza Colonia3-1W
27 SepHLa Luz1-2L
23 SepAWanderers3-1W
20 SepHCA River Plate1-1D
13 SepAAtenas0-0D
10 SepACerro2-0W
5 SepHPaysandu1-2L
2 SepHDeportivo Maldonado0-2L
29 AugASportivo Huracan1-2L

Tacuarembo

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

3 OctHAtenas0-1L
28 SepAPaysandu2-2D
20 SepHSportivo Huracan1-1D
12 SepAUruguay Montevideo2-2D
6 SepHOriental0-1L
29 AugAColón0-1L
22 AugHFenix0-2L
16 AugARentistas1-0W
9 AugAMiramar1-1D
2 AugHCA River Plate1-0W

Head to head

12Cerrito wins
4draws
6Tacuarembo wins

22 meetings · goals 23:19 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Cerrito

5 Jul 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo0-0Cerrito
29 Mar 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo1-1Cerrito
24 Aug 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCerrito1-1Tacuarembo
3 Jun 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo2-0Cerrito
16 Nov 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCerrito3-1Tacuarembo
27 Jul 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo0-2Cerrito
26 Nov 2023Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo0-1Cerrito
15 Jul 2023Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCerrito2-1Tacuarembo
12 Mar 2023Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCerrito0-2Tacuarembo
10 Nov 2020Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónTacuarembo1-1Cerrito

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 10 Oct 15:13 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Cerrito sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games, while Tacuarembo are 14th with 3 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Oriental64118:5+313
2Plaza Colonia63309:2+712
3Fenix632113:7+611
4Sportivo Huracan62409:6+310
5Colón62318:5+39
6Uruguay Montevideo62317:5+29
7Rentistas62316:5+19
8Cerrito62318:809
9La Luz61415:6-17
10Miramar61233:7-45
11Paysandu61144:7-34
12Atenas61145:11-64
13CA River Plate61146:13-74
14Tacuarembo60335:9-43

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.86X28%3.29224%3.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 03:3110 Oct 14:111 1.86X 3.292 3.84
11.94 → 1.86 -4.1%X3.22 → 3.29 +2.2%23.60 → 3.84 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Pinnacle2.121.686.7%
Betano2.071.678.2%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
BetVictor2.041.678.9%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.659.1%
Best of all books2.121.706.0%
Average2.081.678.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Betano1.901.788.8%
1xBet1.861.819.0%
Marathonbet1.861.789.9%
Best of all books1.951.835.9%
Average1.891.798.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerrito 45%Draw 45%Tacuarembo 10%

The statistical model rates Cerrito at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tacuarembo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.29 | 3.84, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Cerrito win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Cerrito are 8th (9 pts, 8-8 goals), Tacuarembo 14th (3 pts, 5-9).

Over their last five matches, Cerrito averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Tacuarembo averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cerrito or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.863.293.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.801.27

Draw no bet

12
1.382.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.79

1st half

1X2
2.502.054.46

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.658.152.58

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.61
1.51.342.93
2.52.081.67
3.53.731.21
4.57.501.06
5.518.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.046.85
1.251.183.90
1.751.422.56
21.562.23
2.251.821.86
2.752.371.49
33.011.31
3.253.281.25
3.754.681.12
46.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.071.30
-12.681.39
-0.752.131.61
-0.51.851.89
-0.251.672.10
01.372.80
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.701.03
-26.751.04
-1.53.501.22
+0.251.303.11
+0.51.313.23
+0.751.124.75
+11.027.70
+1.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.742.01
92.001.80