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Real Estelí vs Managua• Primera Division, Nicaragua

#41.4:1.42-1FTToday3.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.201XBX3.481XB23.101XBMargin at best6.4%Books9Markets41Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 20:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.203.483.106.4%
Betano2.153.353.059.1%
Dafabet2.173.253.059.6%
BetVictor2.153.303.0010.1%
Betfair2.203.302.8810.5%
Pinnacle2.153.213.0410.6%
Marathonbet2.093.302.9412.2%
William Hill2.103.203.0012.2%
Bet3652.103.302.9012.4%
Best of all books2.203.483.106.4%
Average2.153.303.0010.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real EstelíManagua
Last 10#4Table position#11.69Points per game2.695Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 51.032Attack rating6842Defence rating5828Form rating7271H2H rating2934Goals model6644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 12:02 UTC

Real Estelí

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

18 OctAWalter Ferretti1-3L
16 OctHJalapa1-1D
11 OctAMatagalpa4-1W
8 OctAUNAN Managua0-1L
11 SepAManagua1-1D
6 SepARancho Santana1-1D
3 SepHSan Marcos2-0W
30 AugAH&H Export5-0W
27 AugACD Marathon0-3L
23 AugHDiriangén0-2L

Managua

8W 2D 0L · goals 32:11 · per match 3.2 for, 1.1 against

18 OctHMatagalpa4-1W
15 OctHSan Marcos3-2W
11 OctAJalapa1-0W
3 OctARancho Santana6-1W
11 SepHReal Estelí1-1D
6 SepAWalter Ferretti3-2W
3 SepHDiriangén3-3D
31 AugAUNAN Managua2-0W
22 AugHH&H Export6-1W
10 AugAMatagalpa3-0W

Head to head

34Real Estelí wins
15draws
15Managua wins

64 meetings · goals 99:63 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Real Estelí

11 Sep 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua1-1Real Estelí
9 Apr 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí2-1Managua
8 Feb 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua0-2Real Estelí
7 Dec 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua0-2Real Estelí
1 Dec 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí0-2Managua
23 Oct 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua2-1Real Estelí
11 Aug 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí1-0Managua
25 May 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionReal Estelí1-1Managua
18 May 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua2-0Real Estelí
27 Apr 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionManagua1-2Real Estelí

Primera Division tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 01:00 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Real Estelí sit 4th with 22 points from 13 games, while Managua are 1st with 35 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Managua13112041:13+2835
2Diriangén1393126:13+1330
3UNAN Managua1373317:13+424
4Real Estelí1364323:12+1122
5Walter Ferretti1462630:23+720
6H&H Export1252514:21-717
7San Marcos1433814:22-812
8Matagalpa133197:29-2210
9Jalapa1323811:19-89
10Rancho Santana14131010:28-186

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.14X27%3.30230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 12:0125 Oct 06:301 2.14X 3.302 3.02
12.48 → 2.14 -13.7%X3.31 → 3.30 -0.3%22.48 → 3.02 +21.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
1xBet1.861.906.4%
Pinnacle1.881.876.7%
Betano1.821.907.6%
BetVictor1.821.859.0%
Marathonbet1.821.859.0%
Best of all books1.881.954.5%
Average1.841.897.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
1xBet1.662.059.0%
Betano1.652.059.4%
Marathonbet1.662.0110.0%
Best of all books1.702.106.4%
Average1.672.058.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Estelí 10%Draw 45%Managua 45%

The statistical model rated Real Estelí at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Managua at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.30 | 2.99, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Real Estelí are 4th (22 pts, 23-12 goals), Managua 1st (35 pts, 41-13).

Over their last five matches, Real Estelí averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Managua averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Managua.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.153.303.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.611.27

Draw no bet

12
1.602.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.05

1st half

1X2
2.722.153.56

2nd half

1X2
2.462.443.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4214.030.3
HT X5.375.177.07
HT 224.715.55.02

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7811.02.17

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.35
1.51.243.38
2.51.841.89
3.52.981.31
4.55.431.11
5.513.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.60
1.751.293.05
21.382.66
2.251.622.12
2.752.081.67
32.441.45
3.252.771.38
3.753.811.21
45.051.10
4.255.501.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.461.46
-0.52.121.65
-0.251.861.86
01.652.17
+0.251.432.58
+0.51.342.98
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.701.01
-27.901.02
-1.54.051.16
-1.253.581.21
-13.191.27
+0.751.223.67
+11.095.40
+1.251.125.15
+1.51.066.35
+2.51.019.90

Latest Primera Division results

25 OctDiriangén 3-1 H&H Export
25 OctJalapa 2-0 UNAN Managua
25 OctWalter Ferretti 4-1 Rancho Santana
19 OctRancho Santana 0-1 Diriangén
18 OctWalter Ferretti 3-1 Real Estelí
18 OctH&H Export 1-4 Jalapa