Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki Frontale• J-League Cup, Japan

3.5:1.00-4FTToday · Yamaha Stadium, Iwata1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50DAFX3.90DAF21.75DAFMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets70Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 04:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.40	3.95	1.76	4.9%
Pinnacle	4.28	3.87	1.75	6.3%
1xBet	4.20	3.84	1.72	8.0%
Marathonbet	4.20	3.84	1.70	8.7%
BetVictor	4.20	3.75	1.70	9.3%
Betfair	4.20	3.80	1.67	10.0%
Betano	4.00	3.60	1.72	10.9%
Bet365	4.00	3.70	1.67	11.9%
William Hill	4.00	3.50	1.70	12.4%
SBO	3.66	3.26	1.70	16.8%
Best of all books	4.40	3.95	1.76	4.9%
Average	4.11	3.71	1.71	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jubilo IwataKawasaki Frontale

Last 106Form pts · last 5103.5Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.088Attack rating130Defence rating10067Form rating3350H2H rating500Goals model10063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 08:40 UTC

Jubilo Iwata

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Consadole Sapporo	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Vegalta Sendai	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	JEF United Chiba	4-2	W
26 Sep	H	Vanraure Hachinohe	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Albirex Niigata	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Ventforet Kofu	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Kataller Toyama	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Sagamihara	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Tochigi City	3-1	W
26 Aug	H	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0-1	L

Kawasaki Frontale

7W 1D 2L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

14 Oct	A	Jubilo Iwata	4-0	W
11 Oct	H	Nagoya Grampus	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2-0	W
29 Sep	A	Roasso Kumamoto	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Kashima	3-3	D
12 Sep	A	Mito Hollyhock	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Shimizu S-pulse	3-1	W
2 Sep	A	Machida Zelvia	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	JEF United Chiba	4-2	W
26 Aug	H	Tochigi SC	3-1	W

Head to head

3Jubilo Iwata wins

5draws

10Kawasaki Frontale wins

18 meetings · goals 27:38 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Jubilo Iwata

6 Jul 2024J1 League	J1 League	Jubilo Iwata2-2Kawasaki Frontale
1 Mar 2024J1 League	J1 League	Kawasaki Frontale4-5Jubilo Iwata
25 Jun 2022J1 League	J1 League	Kawasaki Frontale1-1Jubilo Iwata
6 Apr 2022J1 League	J1 League	Jubilo Iwata1-1Kawasaki Frontale
14 Sep 2019J1 League	J1 League	Kawasaki Frontale2-0Jubilo Iwata
30 Jun 2019J1 League	J1 League	Jubilo Iwata1-3Kawasaki Frontale
1 Dec 2018J1 League	J1 League	Kawasaki Frontale2-1Jubilo Iwata
25 Feb 2018J1 League	J1 League	Jubilo Iwata0-3Kawasaki Frontale
29 Jul 2017J1 League	J1 League	Kawasaki Frontale2-5Jubilo Iwata
14 May 2017J1 League	J1 League	Jubilo Iwata0-2Kawasaki Frontale

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.54X26%3.48248%1.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.12 → 4.21 +2.2%X3.76 → 3.68 -2.1%21.71 → 1.70 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.24	5.2%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.18	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.59	2.21	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jubilo Iwata 35%Draw 35%Kawasaki Frontale 30%

The statistical model rated Jubilo Iwata at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kawasaki Frontale at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.54 | 3.48 | 1.89, which imply roughly 28.2% for a Jubilo Iwata win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Jubilo Iwata averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kawasaki Frontale averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Jubilo Iwata.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.11	3.71	1.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.00	1.18	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.16	1.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
4.36	2.32	2.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.48	15.3	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.3
1.5	1.18	4.33
2.5	1.62	2.18
3.5	2.55	1.45
4.5	4.57	1.16
5.5	8.92	1.03
6.5	18.3	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.40
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.19	3.78
2	1.25	3.40
2.25	1.45	2.57
2.75	1.78	1.96
3	2.00	1.71
3.25	2.25	1.56
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.76	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.41	1.49
+0.5	2.06	1.70
+0.75	1.83	1.89
+1	1.60	2.25
+1.25	1.45	2.54
+1.5	1.37	2.86

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.10	1.02
-1	7.90	1.02
-0.75	5.27	1.12
-0.5	4.00	1.23
-0.25	3.58	1.25
0	3.14	1.31
+1.75	1.26	3.50
+2	1.14	4.65
+2.25	1.12	5.11
+2.5	1.11	5.51
+2.75	1.04	7.08
+3	1.01	9.20
+3.5	1.02	10.3

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	5.10
7.5	1.23	3.45
8.5	1.47	2.47
9.5	1.80	1.92
10.5	2.25	1.56
11.5	2.94	1.33
12.5	3.90	1.19
13.5	5.40	1.09
14.5	7.40	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.49	2.38
9	1.62	2.21
9.25	1.68	2.06
9.75	1.87	1.81
10	2.04	1.72
10.25	2.15	1.61
10.75	2.43	1.44