Wanderers vs Boston River• Primera División, Uruguay

#71.2:1.018:00Today · Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo0.8:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30DAFX3.40PIN23.17PINMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets74Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 12:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.26	3.44	3.18	4.8%
Dafabet	2.31	3.35	3.10	5.4%
BetVictor	2.25	3.25	3.10	7.5%
William Hill	2.20	3.20	3.10	9.0%
Betano	2.25	3.10	3.00	10.0%
1xBet	2.18	3.20	2.99	10.6%
Betfair	2.20	3.25	2.88	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.16	3.20	2.92	11.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.00	12.1%
SBO	2.16	2.97	2.84	15.2%
Best of all books	2.31	3.44	3.18	3.8%
Average	2.21	3.21	3.01	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WanderersBoston River

Last 10#7Table position#141.61Points per game1.008Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4062Defence rating3889Form rating117H2H rating9371Goals model2953Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Wanderers

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

7 Oct	A	Cerrito	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Cerro	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Albion FC	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Club Nacional	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
1 Sep	H	Cerro	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Central Espanol	3-0	W

Boston River

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	H	Juventud	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Penarol	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Fenix	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Progreso	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Racing Montevideo	2-3	L
9 Sep	H	Colón	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Cerro	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Albion FC	3-2	W

Head to head

10Wanderers wins

4draws

8Boston River wins

22 meetings · goals 31:30 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Wanderers

3 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Boston River4-1Wanderers
31 Oct 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers2-2Boston River
2 May 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River1-0Wanderers
5 Oct 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Boston River3-2Wanderers
31 Mar 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers0-2Boston River
12 Nov 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers0-2Boston River
23 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River0-1Wanderers
2 Apr 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River0-1Wanderers
24 Oct 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Boston River2-2Wanderers
6 Jun 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-2Boston River

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 10 Oct 16:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Wanderers sit 7th with 50 points from 31 games, while Boston River are 14th with 31 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	31	19	6	6	50:25	+25	62
2	Deportivo Maldonado	32	17	8	7	50:28	+22	59
3	Atletico Torque	32	17	6	9	53:37	+16	57
4	Racing Montevideo	31	14	11	6	36:25	+11	53
5	Club Nacional	31	16	4	11	47:38	+9	52
6	Liverpool Montevideo	32	13	11	8	43:31	+12	50
7	Wanderers	31	14	8	9	40:36	+4	50
8	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	32:42	-10	38
9	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	41:42	-1	37
10	Juventud	31	9	10	12	35:39	-4	37
11	Defensor Sporting	31	8	11	12	28:36	-8	35
12	Cerro Largo	31	8	9	14	29:36	-7	33
13	Cerro	31	9	6	16	23:45	-22	33
14	Boston River	31	8	7	16	29:42	-13	31
15	Danubio	32	5	14	13	26:41	-15	29
16	Progreso	31	8	4	19	27:46	-19	28

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X28%3.20230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.23 → 2.20 -1.3%X3.23 → 3.20 -0.9%22.93 → 3.00 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.72	6.4%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.06	1.70	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.87	1.91	5.8%
Average	1.81	1.88	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wanderers 45%Draw 45%Boston River 10%

The statistical model rates Wanderers at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Boston River at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Wanderers win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Wanderers are 7th (50 pts, 40-36 goals), Boston River 14th (31 pts, 29-42).

Over their last five matches, Wanderers averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Boston River averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Wanderers or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.21	3.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.87	2.06	3.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	9.05	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.63
1.5	1.33	3.07
2.5	2.06	1.70
3.5	3.68	1.24
4.5	7.42	1.06
5.5	15.3	1.02
6.5	37.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.17	4.06
1.75	1.41	2.67
2	1.54	2.31
2.25	1.80	1.92
2.75	2.34	1.52
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.21	1.27
3.75	4.50	1.13
4	6.30	1.06
4.25	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.61	1.44
-0.5	2.22	1.63
-0.25	1.91	1.83
0	1.60	2.22
+0.25	1.44	2.61
+0.5	1.36	3.13

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.05	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	5.80	1.09
-1.5	4.40	1.16
-1.25	3.97	1.21
-1	3.51	1.26
+0.75	1.23	3.78
+1	1.10	5.63
+1.25	1.08	6.20
+1.5	1.07	6.70
+1.75	1.01	8.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	4.95
6.5	1.20	3.85
7.5	1.42	2.62
8.5	1.76	1.95
9.5	2.23	1.58
10.5	3.07	1.31
11.5	4.20	1.16
12.5	6.30	1.06
13.5	5.60	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.92
5.75	1.09	4.90
6	1.08	4.72
6.25	1.19	3.72
6.75	1.30	3.00
7	1.21	3.27
7.25	1.45	2.48
7.75	1.42	2.53
8	1.48	2.42
8.25	1.59	2.15
8.75	1.82	1.88
9	1.90	1.86
9.25	2.04	1.65
9.75	2.35	1.47
10	2.42	1.47
10.25	3.44	1.23
10.75	4.18	1.14
11	3.12	1.22
11.25	5.27	1.08
12	4.20	1.11
13	5.40	1.05