Atletico Torque vs Danubio• Primera División, Uruguay

#31.6:1.420:00Today · Estadio Charrúa , Montevideo0.8:1.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.89DAFX3.60PIN24.28PINMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets77Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.93	3.60	3.95	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.58	4.20	4.9%
BetVictor	1.83	3.40	4.00	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	3.30	4.00	9.4%
Betano	1.82	3.35	3.95	10.1%
1xBet	1.83	3.30	3.90	10.6%
Betfair	1.80	3.40	3.90	10.6%
Bet365	1.80	3.30	3.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.30	3.80	11.9%
SBO	1.82	3.07	3.64	15.0%
Best of all books	1.93	3.60	4.20	3.4%
Average	1.84	3.36	3.92	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico TorqueDanubio

Last 10#3Table position#151.74Points per game0.945Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3353Defence rating4758Form rating4250H2H rating5068Goals model3258Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Atletico Torque

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

5 Oct	A	Club Nacional	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	Penarol	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
24 Sep	H	Atenas	3-3	D
21 Sep	A	Central Espanol	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	Cienciano	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Liverpool Montevideo	3-1	W
11 Sep	A	Cienciano	0-2	L
4 Sep	H	Cerro Largo	2-1	W
1 Sep	H	Danubio	2-0	W

Danubio

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	H	Cerro Largo	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Defensor Sporting	0-1	L
24 Sep	H	Penarol	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Wanderers	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Juventud	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Penarol	0-4	L
1 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Progreso	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Atenas	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Racing Montevideo	0-0	D

Head to head

4Atletico Torque wins

4draws

7Danubio wins

15 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Atletico Torque

1 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Atletico Torque2-0Danubio
24 Jul 2026Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Torque1-0Danubio
4 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Danubio1-1Atletico Torque
28 Sep 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Danubio2-0Atletico Torque
7 Jun 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Danubio3-2Atletico Torque
30 Mar 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Atletico Torque1-1Danubio
20 Aug 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Danubio0-1Atletico Torque
16 Jun 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Danubio1-0Atletico Torque
5 Feb 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Atletico Torque1-1Danubio
19 Aug 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Danubio3-2Atletico Torque

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 9 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Primera División table, Atletico Torque sit 3rd with 54 points from 31 games, while Danubio are 15th with 29 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	31	19	6	6	50:25	+25	62
2	Deportivo Maldonado	31	17	7	7	49:27	+22	58
3	Atletico Torque	31	16	6	9	52:37	+15	54
4	Racing Montevideo	31	14	11	6	36:25	+11	53
5	Club Nacional	31	16	4	11	47:38	+9	52
6	Wanderers	31	14	8	9	40:36	+4	50
7	Liverpool Montevideo	31	13	10	8	42:30	+12	49
8	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	32:42	-10	38
9	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	41:42	-1	37
10	Juventud	31	9	10	12	35:39	-4	37
11	Defensor Sporting	31	8	11	12	28:36	-8	35
12	Cerro Largo	31	8	9	14	29:36	-7	33
13	Cerro	31	9	6	16	23:45	-22	33
14	Boston River	31	8	7	16	29:42	-13	31
15	Danubio	31	5	14	12	26:40	-14	29
16	Progreso	31	8	4	19	27:46	-19	28

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.83X27%3.35223%3.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.83 -2.7%X3.31 → 3.35 +1.2%23.79 → 3.94 +4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.06	1.78	4.7%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.98	1.71	9.0%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.06	1.78	4.7%
Average	2.00	1.74	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betano	1.88	1.83	7.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.88	1.91	5.5%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Torque 45%Draw 45%Danubio 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico Torque at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Danubio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.35 | 3.94, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Atletico Torque win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Atletico Torque are 3rd (54 pts, 52-37 goals), Danubio 15th (29 pts, 26-40).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Torque averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Danubio averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Torque or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.36	3.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.85	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.11	4.56

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	8.75	2.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.63
1.5	1.31	3.18
2.5	2.00	1.74
3.5	3.49	1.27
4.5	6.92	1.07
5.5	14.7	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.17	4.01
1.75	1.40	2.73
2	1.52	2.37
2.25	1.77	1.96
2.75	2.28	1.56
3	2.74	1.35
3.25	3.06	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.01	1.34
-1	2.61	1.45
-0.75	2.11	1.66
-0.5	1.84	1.94
-0.25	1.60	2.21
0	1.36	2.93

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.07
-2.25	6.50	1.07
-2	6.10	1.09
-1.75	4.19	1.18
-1.5	3.41	1.27
+0.25	1.31	3.28
+0.5	1.24	4.03
+0.75	1.13	4.95
+1	1.05	7.33
+1.25	1.05	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	5.59
6.5	1.11	4.57
7.5	1.29	3.04
8.5	1.57	2.24
9.5	1.93	1.79
10.5	2.49	1.46
11.5	3.45	1.24
12.5	3.77	1.15
13.5	4.85	1.07

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.05	5.89
6	1.05	5.37
6.25	1.13	4.37
6.75	1.22	3.46
7	1.14	3.82
7.25	1.35	2.80
7.75	1.28	3.14
8	1.33	2.78
8.25	1.40	2.64
8.75	1.56	2.25
9	1.75	2.01
9.25	1.77	1.98
9.75	1.94	1.70
10	2.14	1.63
10.25	2.95	1.31
10.75	3.52	1.21
11	2.75	1.34
11.25	4.34	1.13
11.75	5.35	1.07
12	3.55	1.17
12.25	6.89	1.02
13	4.69	1.08