Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo• Primera División, Uruguay

#21.8:0.223:00Today · Maldonado1.4:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.48PINX3.25BFR22.91PINMargin at best5.5%Books10Markets74Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.51	3.24	2.94	4.7%
Dafabet	2.47	3.30	2.90	5.3%
BetVictor	2.40	3.20	2.88	7.6%
William Hill	2.45	3.00	2.88	8.9%
Betano	2.37	3.05	2.85	10.1%
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.75	10.6%
1xBet	2.35	3.05	2.74	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.05	2.74	11.8%
Bet365	2.35	3.00	2.75	12.3%
SBO	2.29	2.97	2.66	14.9%
Best of all books	2.51	3.30	2.94	4.2%
Average	2.38	3.11	2.81	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool Montevideo

Last 10#2Table position#71.87Points per game1.5812Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.40.2Goals against · last 51.256Attack rating4486Defence rating1455Form rating4540H2H rating6063Goals model3758Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

Deportivo Maldonado

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

3 Oct	H	Central Espanol	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Cerro Largo	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Defensor Sporting	0-1	L
9 Sep	H	Wanderers	4-1	W
5 Sep	H	Wanderers	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Juventud	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Penarol	0-0	D

Liverpool Montevideo

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

3 Oct	H	Progreso	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Central Espanol	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Colón	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Racing Montevideo	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Boston River	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Boston River	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Cerro Largo	1-1	D
27 Aug	A	Fenix	2-0	W
21 Aug	H	Cerro	4-0	W

Head to head

5Deportivo Maldonado wins

2draws

8Liverpool Montevideo wins

15 meetings · goals 21:26 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Deportivo Maldonado

5 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Liverpool Montevideo0-2Deportivo Maldonado
15 Sep 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Deportivo Maldonado0-1Liverpool Montevideo
3 Mar 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo1-2Deportivo Maldonado
3 Dec 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Deportivo Maldonado0-2Liverpool Montevideo
3 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo3-2Deportivo Maldonado
7 May 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo4-2Deportivo Maldonado
28 Aug 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Liverpool Montevideo1-1Deportivo Maldonado
23 Jul 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo3-1Deportivo Maldonado
4 Mar 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado1-0Liverpool Montevideo
13 Sep 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Liverpool Montevideo1-0Deportivo Maldonado

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primera División table, Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd with 58 points from 31 games, while Liverpool Montevideo are 7th with 49 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	31	19	6	6	50:25	+25	62
2	Deportivo Maldonado	31	17	7	7	49:27	+22	58
3	Atletico Torque	31	16	6	9	52:37	+15	54
4	Racing Montevideo	31	14	11	6	36:25	+11	53
5	Club Nacional	31	16	4	11	47:38	+9	52
6	Wanderers	31	14	8	9	40:36	+4	50
7	Liverpool Montevideo	31	13	10	8	42:30	+12	49
8	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	32:42	-10	38
9	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	41:42	-1	37
10	Juventud	31	9	10	12	35:39	-4	37
11	Defensor Sporting	31	8	11	12	28:36	-8	35
12	Cerro Largo	31	8	9	14	29:36	-7	33
13	Cerro	31	9	6	16	23:45	-22	33
14	Boston River	31	8	7	16	29:42	-13	31
15	Danubio	31	5	14	12	26:40	-14	29
16	Progreso	31	8	4	19	27:46	-19	28

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.39X29%3.09233%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Betano	2.07	1.72	6.4%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.05	1.71	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.79	1.91	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Maldonado 45%Draw 45%Liverpool Montevideo 10%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Maldonado at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Liverpool Montevideo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.09 | 2.79, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Deportivo Maldonado win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd (58 pts, 49-27 goals), Liverpool Montevideo 7th (49 pts, 42-30).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Maldonado averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Liverpool Montevideo averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.11	2.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.49	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.04	2.05	3.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	8.50	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.42
1.5	1.33	3.09
2.5	2.05	1.71
3.5	3.68	1.24
4.5	7.42	1.06
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.18	3.91
1.75	1.43	2.64
2	1.55	2.30
2.25	1.82	1.91
2.75	2.38	1.52
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.56	1.13
4	6.40	1.05
4.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.88	1.36
-0.5	2.39	1.55
-0.25	2.05	1.70
0	1.72	2.02
+0.25	1.51	2.40
+0.5	1.40	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	9.10	1.02
-1.75	6.40	1.07
-1.5	4.87	1.13
-1.25	4.43	1.16
-1	4.01	1.20
+0.75	1.26	3.49
+1	1.13	5.21
+1.25	1.10	5.60
+1.5	1.09	6.10
+1.75	1.02	7.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	4.97
6.5	1.17	3.57
7.5	1.32	2.95
8.5	1.62	2.15
9.5	2.02	1.71
10.5	2.61	1.41
11.5	3.49	1.22
12.5	4.37	1.10
13.5	5.17	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.75
6.25	1.07	5.29
6.75	1.15	4.12
7	1.20	3.29
7.25	1.25	3.26
7.75	1.38	2.70
8	1.46	2.45
8.25	1.44	2.43
8.75	1.60	2.08
9	1.85	1.92
9.25	1.82	1.82
9.75	2.07	1.64
10	2.38	1.49
10.25	2.39	1.47
10.75	2.98	1.31
11	3.10	1.23
11.25	3.58	1.21
11.75	4.32	1.13
12	4.17	1.12
12.25	5.42	1.07
13	5.37	1.05