Jagiellonia vs Suduva Marijampole• Friendlies Clubs, World

1.0:0.25-0FT29/092.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85B365X4.311XB24.001XBMargin at best2.3%Books6Markets45Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 08:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.73	3.88	4.16	7.6%
Betfair	1.87	3.60	3.40	10.7%
Betano	1.75	3.90	3.55	11.0%
Bet365	1.85	4.00	3.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.72	3.98	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.53	3.72	15.8%
Best of all books	1.87	4.00	4.16	2.5%
Average	1.75	3.77	3.65	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JagielloniaSuduva Marijampole

Last 103Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.00.2Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6791Defence rating957Form rating430H2H rating00Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:40 UTC

Jagiellonia

4W 0D 6L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Gornik Zabrze	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Suduva Marijampole	5-0	W
20 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olympiakos Piraeus	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Wisla Krakow	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Slask Wroclaw	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Lech Poznan	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Raków Częstochowa	5-2	W
27 Aug	A	FC Iberia 1999	2-1	W

Suduva Marijampole

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

29 Sep	A	Jagiellonia	0-5	L
20 Sep	A	Hegelmann Litauen	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Kauno Žalgiris	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	TransINVEST Vilnius	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Šiauliai	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Panevėžys	2-0	W
17 Aug	A	Džiugas Telšiai	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	Banga	3-0	W
20 Jul	H	Hegelmann Litauen	5-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Jagiellonia and Suduva Marijampole on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X24%3.73225%3.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.76 +0.6%X3.77 → 3.73 -1.1%23.65 → 3.58 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.21	11.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.75	3.0%
Average	1.46	2.41	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Average	1.49	2.37	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia 35%Draw 35%Suduva Marijampole 30%

The statistical model rated Jagiellonia at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Suduva Marijampole at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.73 | 3.58, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Jagiellonia win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia averaged 1 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Suduva Marijampole averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.77	3.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.10	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.42	4.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	20.0	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.0
1.5	1.14	4.70
2.5	1.47	2.41
3.5	2.23	1.54
4.5	3.78	1.19
5.5	6.70	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.00
2	1.18	3.88
2.25	1.34	2.76
2.75	1.61	2.05
3	1.79	1.85
3.25	1.99	1.68
3.75	2.57	1.39
4	3.10	1.28
4.25	3.48	1.22
5	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.35	1.57
-1.25	2.19	1.60
-1	2.04	1.65
-0.75	1.86	1.80
-0.5	1.77	1.94
-0.25	1.48	2.35

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.95	1.02
-3	7.55	1.04
-2.5	5.10	1.10
-2	4.40	1.14
-1.75	3.13	1.30
0	1.28	3.01
+0.25	1.22	3.48
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.50