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Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab• Indian Super League, India

#71.0:2.511:3025/10 · Margao1.5:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90WHX3.40BFR22.18BTNMargin at best0.9%Books8Markets50Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 13:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betfair4.003.601.856.8%
Pinnacle4.123.561.837.0%
Betano3.953.651.827.7%
Dafabet3.903.551.7810.0%
1xBet3.913.461.7810.7%
Bet3653.753.601.7511.6%
Marathonbet3.823.461.7611.9%
William Hill3.903.251.8012.0%
Best of all books4.123.651.855.7%
Average3.923.521.809.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Churchill BrothersMinerva Punjab
Last 10#7Table position#31.50Points per game2.006Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.52.5Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6029Defence rating7143Form rating5762H2H rating380Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

Churchill Brothers

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

18 OctHEast Bengal II0-4L
11 OctHMumbai City2-1W
6 AprAReal Kashmir1-1D
30 MarHInter Kashi2-2D
23 MarHSreenidi Deccan1-1D
19 MarADempo3-1W
7 MarHShillong Lajong6-1W
1 MarHRajasthan United3-1W
24 FebANamdhari1-1D
17 FebAAizawl0-3L

Minerva Punjab

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

19 OctHMumbai City1-1D
14 OctHOdisha2-1W
4 OctAATK Mohun Bagan0-0D
30 SepAEast Bengal II1-0W
27 SepACalcutta Customs7-0W
29 AugHHorley Town0-2L
21 MayHMumbai City0-2L
16 MayAOdisha3-2W
11 MayAEast Bengal II0-0D
6 MayHChennaiyin1-0W

Head to head

5Churchill Brothers wins
3draws
1Minerva Punjab wins

9 meetings · goals 14:8 · last 9: 5W 3D 1L for Churchill Brothers

1 Mar 2023I-LeagueI-LeagueMinerva Punjab3-1Churchill Brothers
16 Dec 2022I-LeagueI-LeagueChurchill Brothers0-0Minerva Punjab
3 May 2022I-LeagueI-LeagueChurchill Brothers2-1Minerva Punjab
4 Mar 2022I-LeagueI-LeagueMinerva Punjab2-2Churchill Brothers
27 Mar 2021I-LeagueI-LeagueChurchill Brothers3-2Minerva Punjab
19 Jan 2021I-LeagueI-LeagueMinerva Punjab0-1Churchill Brothers
1 Dec 2019I-LeagueI-LeagueChurchill Brothers3-0Minerva Punjab
5 Jan 2019I-LeagueI-LeagueChurchill Brothers2-0Minerva Punjab
28 Oct 2018I-LeagueI-LeagueMinerva Punjab0-0Churchill Brothers

Indian Super League tableSuper leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Indian Super League table, Churchill Brothers sit 7th with 3 points from 2 games, while Minerva Punjab are 3rd with 4 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1NorthEast United22005:1+46
2Bengaluru22005:2+36
3Minerva Punjab21103:2+14
4East Bengal II11004:0+43
5ATK Mohun Bagan21012:203
6Kerala Blasters21013:4-13
7Churchill Brothers21012:5-33
8Goa10101:101
9Odisha20112:3-11
10Mumbai City20112:3-11
11Chennaiyin20111:3-21
12Inter Kashi20111:3-21
13SC Delhi20023:5-20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.28X28%3.30245%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 15:0123 Oct 03:011 3.28X 3.302 2.05
13.92 → 3.28 -16.3%X3.52 → 3.30 -6.3%21.80 → 2.05 +13.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Pinnacle1.901.885.8%
Betano1.881.876.7%
1xBet1.841.839.0%
Marathonbet1.841.839.0%
Best of all books1.901.905.3%
Average1.871.867.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Betano1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.751.929.2%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.832.102.3%
Average1.761.948.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Churchill Brothers 10%Draw 45%Minerva Punjab 45%

The statistical model rates Churchill Brothers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Minerva Punjab at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.28 | 3.30 | 2.05, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Indian Super League table: Churchill Brothers are 7th (3 pts, 2-5 goals), Minerva Punjab 3rd (4 pts, 3-2).

Over their last five matches, Churchill Brothers averaged 1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Minerva Punjab averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Minerva Punjab.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.923.521.80

Double chance

1XX212
1.891.211.25

Draw no bet

12
2.961.36

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.94

1st half

1X2
4.492.192.38

2nd half

1X2
3.992.502.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.7315.324.3
HT X8.785.334.61
HT 239.015.02.76

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5111.41.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.27
1.51.273.39
2.51.871.86
3.53.131.31
4.55.911.10
5.511.81.03
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.80
11.018.30
1.251.134.61
1.751.312.98
21.422.64
2.251.642.11
2.752.091.64
32.501.46
3.252.791.35
3.753.821.19
45.201.10
4.255.551.08
59.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.941.35
+0.252.251.57
+0.51.971.81
+0.751.702.03
+11.482.48
+1.251.362.87
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.801.01
-1.258.301.01
-17.531.05
-0.754.931.13
-0.53.891.24
-0.253.401.27
+1.51.303.19
+1.751.193.97
+21.095.80
+2.251.086.18
+2.51.076.63

Next Indian Super League matches

23 OctInter Kashi – East Bengal II
24 OctOdisha – NorthEast United
25 OctKerala Blasters – Mumbai City
26 OctATK Mohun Bagan – Chennaiyin

All Indian Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Indian Super League results

19 OctMinerva Punjab 1-1 Mumbai City
18 OctNorthEast United 4-1 Kerala Blasters
17 OctInter Kashi 1-1 Odisha
16 OctSC Delhi 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan
14 OctMinerva Punjab 2-1 Odisha
12 OctNorthEast United 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan