Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City• Indian Super League, India

#32-1FT11/10 · Fatorda Stadium, Margao#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.57PINX3.60B36522.02BTNMargin at best5.3%Books8Markets47Rating33 · 67

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 15:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.57	3.44	2.01	6.8%
Betfair	3.50	3.50	2.00	7.1%
Betano	3.40	3.45	2.02	7.9%
Dafabet	3.40	3.50	2.00	8.0%
1xBet	3.40	3.34	1.95	10.6%
Bet365	3.20	3.60	1.91	11.4%
Marathonbet	3.32	3.34	1.93	11.9%
William Hill	3.40	3.20	1.95	11.9%
Best of all books	3.57	3.60	2.02	5.3%
Average	3.40	3.42	1.97	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Churchill BrothersMumbai City

Last 10#3Table position#113.00Points per game0.009Form pts · last 570Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating00H2H rating1000Goals model033Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 11:50 UTC

Churchill Brothers

4W 5D 1L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

6 Apr	A	Real Kashmir	1-1	D
30 Mar	H	Inter Kashi	2-2	D
23 Mar	H	Sreenidi Deccan	1-1	D
19 Mar	A	Dempo	3-1	W
7 Mar	H	Shillong Lajong	6-1	W
1 Mar	H	Rajasthan United	3-1	W
24 Feb	A	Namdhari	1-1	D
17 Feb	A	Aizawl	0-3	L
11 Feb	H	Delhi FC	2-2	D
7 Feb	H	Gokulam	2-1	W

Mumbai City

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

21 May	A	Minerva Punjab	2-0	W
15 May	A	Mohammedan	4-0	W
5 May	H	East Bengal II	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Bengaluru	0-0	D
18 Apr	A	Goa	0-2	L
9 Apr	A	Jamshedpur	1-1	D
5 Apr	H	Odisha	1-0	W
20 Mar	A	ATK Mohun Bagan	1-0	W
15 Mar	A	Inter Kashi	2-1	W
8 Mar	H	SC Delhi	2-2	D

Head to head

0Churchill Brothers wins

0draws

1Mumbai City wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Churchill Brothers

11 Apr 2023AIFF Super Cup

AIFF Super Cup

Mumbai City2-1Churchill Brothers

Indian Super League tableSuper leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:01 UTC

In the Indian Super League table, Churchill Brothers sit 3rd with 3 points from 1 games, while Mumbai City are 11th with 0 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kerala Blasters	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
2	Bengaluru	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
3	Churchill Brothers	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
4	Minerva Punjab	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
5	NorthEast United	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Chennaiyin	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
7	Goa	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	East Bengal II	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	SC Delhi	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
10	Odisha	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Mumbai City	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	ATK Mohun Bagan	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
13	Inter Kashi	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.46X25%3.64255%1.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.88	5.8%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.90	1.85	6.7%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.88	1.86	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.71	2.00	8.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.97	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.74	1.99	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Churchill Brothers 0%Draw 50%Mumbai City 50%

The statistical model rated Churchill Brothers at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Mumbai City at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.46 | 3.64 | 1.67, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Indian Super League table: Churchill Brothers are 3rd (3 pts, 2-1 goals), Mumbai City 11th (0 pts, 1-2).

Over their last five matches, Churchill Brothers averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mumbai City averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mumbai City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

Churchill BrothersMumbai City

4Shots on Goal1

3Shots off Goal4

10Total Shots8

3Blocked Shots3

2Shots insidebox6

8Shots outsidebox2

9Fouls10

4Corner Kicks9

1Offsides1

42%Ball Possession58%

2Yellow Cards0

1Goalkeeper Saves2

318Total passes436

243Passes accurate358

76%Passes %82%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.40	3.42	1.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.29	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.47	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
3.95	2.15	2.56

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	11.3	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.56
1.5	1.27	3.41
2.5	1.88	1.86
3.5	3.16	1.31
4.5	6.02	1.10
5.5	12.1	1.03
6.5	20.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.13	4.55
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.42	2.62
2.25	1.64	2.11
2.75	2.11	1.64
3	2.53	1.45
3.25	2.81	1.33
3.75	3.85	1.18
4	5.25	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08
5	9.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.91	1.36
0	2.52	1.47
+0.25	2.01	1.71
+0.5	1.80	1.99
+0.75	1.56	2.28
+1	1.37	2.85

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.98	1.01
-1.5	7.40	1.03
-1.25	6.93	1.06
-1	6.47	1.07
-0.75	4.18	1.18
-0.5	3.13	1.36
+1.25	1.29	3.28
+1.5	1.23	3.63
+1.75	1.14	4.63
+2	1.06	6.87
+2.25	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	7.80