Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Al Nejmeh• Premier League, Lebanon

#120-2FTToday#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

112.71XBX4.75B36521.30WHMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets44Rating25 · 75

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 08:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	11.0	4.50	1.30	8.2%
William Hill	12.0	3.90	1.30	10.9%
1xBet	12.7	4.45	1.24	11.0%
Betano	10.3	4.40	1.27	11.2%
Bet365	8.00	4.75	1.28	11.7%
Betfair	11.0	4.75	1.22	12.1%
Marathonbet	11.8	4.45	1.23	12.3%
Pinnacle	8.86	4.41	1.27	12.7%
BetVictor	9.00	3.90	1.20	20.1%
Best of all books	12.7	4.75	1.30	5.8%
Average	10.5	4.39	1.26	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al Akhaa Al AhliAl Nejmeh

Last 10#12Table position#10.00Points per game3.003Form pts · last 5100Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating025H2H rating750Goals model025Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 13:52 UTC

Al Akhaa Al Ahli

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

17 Mar	H	Bourj	1-2	L
10 Mar	A	Al Hikma	1-2	L
4 Mar	A	Salam Zgharta	0-0	D
24 Feb	H	Safa	2-2	D
19 Feb	H	Tadamon Sour	0-0	D
12 Feb	H	Tripoli SC	4-0	W
4 Feb	A	Tripoli SC	1-3	L
27 Jan	A	Safa	0-1	L
21 Jan	H	Al Hikma	0-1	L
15 Jan	A	Tadamon Sour	0-2	L

Al Nejmeh

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

2 Aug	H	Al Ansar	1-2	L
28 Jul	H	Al Ahed	2-1	W
24 Jul	H	Jwaaya FC	2-1	W
20 Jul	A	Al Ansar	1-1	D
16 Jul	A	Al Ahed	2-0	W
12 Jul	A	Jwaaya FC	0-0	D
8 Jul	H	Al Hikma	2-0	W
3 Jul	A	Al Hikma	1-0	W
29 Jun	H	Racing	5-0	W
25 Jun	H	Tadamon Sour	1-0	W

Head to head

2Al Akhaa Al Ahli wins

5draws

11Al Nejmeh wins

18 meetings · goals 12:33 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Al Akhaa Al Ahli

18 Sep 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-2Al Nejmeh
19 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-0Al Nejmeh
11 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-3Al Nejmeh
20 Feb 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-0Al Nejmeh
18 Apr 2021Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-0Al Nejmeh
7 Nov 2020Premier League	Premier League	Al Nejmeh1-1Al Akhaa Al Ahli
16 Mar 2019Premier League	Premier League	Al Nejmeh1-4Al Akhaa Al Ahli
6 Oct 2018Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-4Al Nejmeh
1 Apr 2018Premier League	Premier League	Al Nejmeh3-0Al Akhaa Al Ahli
23 Sep 2017Premier League	Premier League	Al Akhaa Al Ahli0-1Al Nejmeh

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 8 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Premier League table, Al Akhaa Al Ahli sit 12th with 0 points from 1 games, while Al Nejmeh are 1st with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Nejmeh	1	1	0	2:0	+2	3
2	Al Ansar	1	1	0	2:1	+1	3
3	Tadamon Sour	1	1	0	1:0	+1	3
4	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Tripoli SC	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Safa	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Al Mabarrah	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Reyady Abaseya	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Jwaaya FC	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Al Hikma	1	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Shabab Al Sahel	1	0	1	0:1	-1	0
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	1	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg18%10.7X19%4.69273%1.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.26 → 10.5 +67.9%X3.90 → 4.39 +12.6%21.43 → 1.26 -11.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.76	7.6%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.76	3.3%
Average	1.99	1.68	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.75	1.38	8.8%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.75	1.36	9.9%
BetVictor	2.30	1.30	20.4%
Best of all books	2.75	1.44	5.8%
Average	2.61	1.38	11.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Akhaa Al Ahli 0%Draw 50%Al Nejmeh 50%

The statistical model rated Al Akhaa Al Ahli at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Al Nejmeh at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.71 | 4.69 | 1.23, which imply roughly 21.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Al Akhaa Al Ahli are 12th (0 pts, 0-2 goals), Al Nejmeh 1st (3 pts, 2-0).

Over their last five matches, Al Akhaa Al Ahli averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Al Nejmeh averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Nejmeh.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.5	4.39	1.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.16	1.04	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
6.15	1.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.61	1.38

1st half

1	X	2
10.1	2.22	1.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.83	7.70	1.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.43
1.5	1.30	3.02
2.5	1.99	1.68
3.5	3.45	1.24
4.5	7.25	1.07
5.5	14.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.30
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.37	2.69
2	1.52	2.28
2.25	1.69	1.89
2.75	2.22	1.54
3	2.70	1.37
3.25	2.98	1.30
4	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.72	1.43
+1	2.31	1.48
+1.25	2.01	1.65
+1.5	1.79	1.80
+1.75	1.63	2.05
+2	1.43	2.49

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	6.25	1.06
0	8.80	1.01
+0.25	4.70	1.12
+2.25	1.34	2.80
+2.5	1.28	3.05
+3	1.10	5.10
+3.5	1.07	5.80