Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI• Piauiense - 2, Brazil

1.4:1.222:00Today1.6:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40WHX3.50BFR22.70DAFMargin at best7.3%Books6Markets38Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 16:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.37	3.25	2.70	10.0%
Betfair	2.30	3.50	2.60	10.5%
Betano	2.40	3.20	2.65	10.7%
Bet365	2.30	3.40	2.60	11.4%
1xBet	2.28	3.32	2.62	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.32	2.62	12.1%
Best of all books	2.40	3.50	2.70	7.3%
Average	2.32	3.33	2.63	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Comercial PIFlamengo PI

Last 107Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5345Defence rating5541Form rating5933H2H rating6774Goals model2647Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 17:51 UTC

Comercial PI

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

1 Oct	A	Flamengo PI	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Caicara	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	River AC	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	4 de Julho	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Picos	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Flamengo PI	2-1	W
26 Oct	A	Corí-Sabbá	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Corí-Sabbá	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Flamengo PI	0-1	L
8 Oct	A	Corí-Sabbá	1-2	L

Flamengo PI

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

1 Oct	H	Comercial PI	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Picos	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Caicara	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	River AC	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	4 de Julho	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Comercial PI	1-2	L
26 Oct	H	Teresina Esporte Club	0-0	D
22 Oct	A	Teresina Esporte Club	2-3	L
18 Oct	A	Comercial PI	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Caicara	0-0	D

Head to head

1Comercial PI wins

0draws

1Flamengo PI wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Comercial PI

6 Sep 2026Piauiense - 2	Piauiense - 2	Comercial PI2-1Flamengo PI
18 Oct 2025Piauiense - 2	Piauiense - 2	Comercial PI0-1Flamengo PI

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X27%3.30234%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.03 → 2.33 +14.8%X3.25 → 3.30 +1.5%23.17 → 2.63 -17.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.10	1.60	10.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.14	1.62	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Average	1.85	1.81	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Comercial PI 10%Draw 45%Flamengo PI 45%

The statistical model rates Comercial PI at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Flamengo PI at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.30 | 2.63, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Comercial PI averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Flamengo PI averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo PI.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	3.33	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.49	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
3.03	2.04	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	9.25	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.35
1.5	1.33	2.83
2.5	2.14	1.62
3.5	4.05	1.16
4.5	7.80	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.18	3.90
1.75	1.43	2.46
2	1.58	2.12
2.25	1.84	1.80
2.75	2.46	1.43
3	3.20	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
4	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.78	1.34
-0.5	2.02	1.78
-0.25	1.99	1.67
0	1.74	1.97
+0.25	1.51	2.26
+0.75	1.25	3.28

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.35	1.01
-1.5	5.15	1.10
-1.25	4.60	1.13
-1	4.05	1.16
+1	1.10	5.05
+1.5	1.06	6.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.95	1.85