Tacuarembo vs Atenas• Segunda División, Uruguay

#141.0:1.40-1FT03/100.8:0.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.59PINX3.401XB22.141XBMargin at best4.0%Books7Markets38Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.08	3.37	2.34	4.9%
Betano	3.15	2.95	2.30	9.1%
Pinnacle	3.12	2.99	2.29	9.2%
Betfair	3.10	3.00	2.20	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.97	3.02	2.20	12.2%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.25	12.3%
Bet365	3.00	3.00	2.15	13.2%
Best of all books	3.15	3.37	2.34	4.2%
Average	3.05	3.05	2.25	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TacuaremboAtenas

Last 10#14Table position#120.50Points per game0.673Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4436Defence rating6427Form rating7315H2H rating8545Goals model5535Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Tacuarembo

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	H	Atenas	0-1	L
28 Sep	A	Paysandu	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Uruguay Montevideo	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Oriental	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Colón	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Fenix	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Rentistas	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Miramar	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	CA River Plate	1-0	W

Atenas

3W 5D 2L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	A	Tacuarembo	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Plaza Colonia	0-0	D
24 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	La Luz	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Cerrito	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	CA River Plate	3-2	W
2 Sep	H	Penarol	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Paysandu	0-2	L
26 Aug	A	Danubio	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	Sportivo Huracan	0-0	D

Head to head

7Tacuarembo wins

11draws

9Atenas wins

27 meetings · goals 23:24 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Tacuarembo

27 Jun 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas2-0Tacuarembo
18 Apr 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas1-0Tacuarembo
15 Nov 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas2-2Tacuarembo
9 Nov 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-1Atenas
28 Sep 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas1-0Tacuarembo
5 Jul 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-0Atenas
4 May 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-0Atenas
8 Sep 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas1-0Tacuarembo
26 May 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo2-0Atenas
15 Oct 2023Segunda División	Segunda División	Atenas1-0Tacuarembo

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 11 Oct 22:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Tacuarembo sit 14th with 3 points from 6 games, while Atenas are 12th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.41X29%3.11244%2.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.05 → 3.38 +10.8%X3.05 → 3.08 +1.0%22.25 → 2.07 -8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.27	1.62	5.8%
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.32	1.58	6.4%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Betano	2.15	1.55	11.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.62	4.3%
Average	2.26	1.57	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Betano	1.85	1.75	11.2%
Best of all books	1.92	1.80	7.6%
Average	1.90	1.77	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tacuarembo 10%Draw 45%Atenas 45%

The statistical model rated Tacuarembo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atenas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 3.11 | 2.07, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Tacuarembo are 14th (3 pts, 5-9 goals), Atenas 12th (4 pts, 5-11).

Over their last five matches, Tacuarembo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Atenas averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atenas and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.05	3.05	2.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.31	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.18	1.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	1.99	2.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	6.90	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.10
1.5	1.40	2.70
2.5	2.26	1.57
3.5	4.12	1.18
4.5	7.97	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.24	3.58
1.75	1.50	2.34
2	1.69	2.03
2.25	1.99	1.75
2.75	2.65	1.39
3	3.46	1.25
3.25	3.90	1.19
3.75	5.00	1.14
4	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.05	1.34
-0.25	2.57	1.42
0	2.16	1.61
+0.25	1.79	1.92
+0.5	1.60	2.28
+0.75	1.39	2.66

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.90	1.04
-1.25	5.75	1.07
-1	5.80	1.07
-0.75	3.76	1.19
+1	1.21	3.68
+1.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	9.90