Ventura County vs Minnesota United II• MLS Next Pro, USA

#32.4:1.202:00Tomorrow · Dignity Health Sports Park2.6:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38BVCX3.80B36522.60DAFMargin at best6.8%Books3Markets44Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.38	3.70	2.50	9.0%
Bet365	2.25	3.80	2.45	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.31	3.64	2.41	12.3%
Best of all books	2.38	3.80	2.50	8.3%
Average	2.31	3.71	2.45	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ventura CountyMinnesota United II

Last 10#3Table position#51.89Points per game1.6110Form pts · last 5132.4Goals for · last 52.61.2Goals against · last 50.648Attack rating5233Defence rating6744Form rating5625H2H rating7566Goals model3444Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

Ventura County

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

20 Sep	A	Real Monarchs	1-2	L
14 Sep	H	Tacoma Defiance	3-0	W
10 Sep	A	The Town	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Los Angeles FC II	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Colorado Rapids II	3-2	W
24 Aug	H	Portland Timbers II	2-2	D
14 Aug	A	Houston Dynamo FC II	2-0	W
1 Aug	H	North Texas	6-1	W
26 Jul	H	The Town	3-0	W
19 Jul	H	Los Angeles FC II	2-0	W

Minnesota United II

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

20 Sep	H	Los Angeles FC II	3-2	W
17 Sep	A	Real Monarchs	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Vancouver Whitecaps II	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	Colorado Rapids II	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Houston Dynamo FC II	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	North Texas	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	The Town	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Portland Timbers II	1-2	L
20 Jul	A	Sporting KC II	0-1	L
13 Jul	A	Austin II	3-2	W

Head to head

1Ventura County wins

0draws

3Minnesota United II wins

4 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Ventura County

16 Jun 2025MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Minnesota United II0-2Ventura County
12 May 2024MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Minnesota United II1-0Ventura County
25 May 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Minnesota United II3-2Ventura County
10 Apr 2023MLS Next Pro	MLS Next Pro	Ventura County1-2Minnesota United II

MLS Next Pro tableEastern Conferenceupdated 16 Oct 14:40 UTC

In the MLS Next Pro table, Ventura County sit 3rd with 53 points from 28 games, while Minnesota United II are 5th with 45 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	8	67:39	+28	58
1	Austin II	28	21	7	54:21	+33	65
2	Chattanooga	28	19	9	56:39	+17	56
2	Portland Timbers II	28	19	9	37:29	+8	57
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	13	62:46	+16	48
3	Ventura County	28	18	10	58:36	+22	53
4	Columbus Crew II	28	17	11	49:43	+6	48
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	10	53:33	+20	52
5	New England II	28	16	12	47:42	+5	48
5	Minnesota United II	28	15	13	43:39	+4	45
6	New York City II	28	16	12	50:44	+6	47
6	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	14	50:48	+2	45
7	Connecticut FC	28	16	12	59:52	+7	46
7	St. Louis City II	28	14	14	42:40	+2	44
8	New York RB II	28	15	13	58:48	+10	46
8	The Town	28	14	14	51:36	+15	42
9	Huntsville City	28	14	14	49:47	+2	44
9	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	14	40:44	-4	41
10	Orlando City II	28	15	13	55:56	-1	44
10	North Texas	28	14	14	42:41	+1	40
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	14	37:40	-3	43
11	Real Monarchs	28	12	16	38:55	-17	33
12	Toronto II	28	13	15	48:56	-8	39
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	18	39:62	-23	27
13	Chicago Fire II	28	13	15	50:48	+2	39
13	Sporting KC II	28	7	21	36:75	-39	23
14	Carolina Core	28	10	18	40:53	-13	31
14	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	22	28:52	-24	21
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	21	32:62	-30	20
16	Inter Miami II	28	4	24	30:74	-44	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X24%3.71236%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.25 → 2.33 +3.6%X3.80 → 3.71 -2.4%22.45 → 2.49 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Average	1.43	2.59	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.67	9.9%
Best of all books	1.38	2.88	7.2%
Average	1.37	2.77	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ventura County 10%Draw 45%Minnesota United II 45%

The statistical model rates Ventura County at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Minnesota United II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.71 | 2.49, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the MLS Next Pro table: Ventura County are 3rd (53 pts, 58-36 goals), Minnesota United II 5th (45 pts, 43-39).

Over their last five matches, Ventura County averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Minnesota United II averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Minnesota United II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.71	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.50	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.42	2.94

2nd half

1	X	2
2.59	2.74	2.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	14.3	22.5
HT X	6.38	6.98	6.75
HT 2	22.5	14.4	3.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	19.3	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.10	5.48
2.5	1.43	2.59
3.5	2.09	1.64
4.5	3.55	1.23
5.5	6.80	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.14	4.45
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.53	2.27
3	1.66	2.02
3.25	1.87	1.78
3.75	2.35	1.49
4	2.92	1.31
4.25	3.20	1.26
4.75	4.35	1.14
5	5.90	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.74	1.35
-0.5	2.33	1.51
-0.25	2.05	1.64
0	1.80	1.91
+0.25	1.59	2.15
+0.5	1.47	2.45

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.08
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	4.00	1.17
-1	3.58	1.21
+0.75	1.32	2.88
+1	1.18	3.86
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+1.75	1.06	6.10
+2.5	1.01	8.50