Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC• MLS Next Pro, USA

#33.2:1.822:00Today · Fifth Third Stadium2.8:2.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28PINX3.75B36522.73PINMargin at best7.2%Books5Markets45Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L55.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 20:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.31	3.51	2.77	7.9%
BetVictor	2.20	3.70	2.70	9.5%
Bet365	2.15	3.75	2.70	10.2%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.42	2.66	12.3%
William Hill	2.25	3.30	2.62	12.9%
Best of all books	2.31	3.75	2.77	6.1%
Average	2.22	3.54	2.69	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlanta United IIConnecticut FC

Last 10#3Table position#71.71Points per game1.6410Form pts · last 563.2Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 52.653Attack rating4759Defence rating4167Form rating33100H2H rating052Goals model4862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:52 UTC

Atlanta United II

5W 2D 3L · goals 24:18 · per match 2.4 for, 1.8 against

20 Sep	A	Orlando City II	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Chattanooga	1-4	L
8 Sep	H	Connecticut FC	4-1	W
28 Aug	A	Inter Miami II	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Orlando City II	5-1	W
18 Aug	H	Chicago Fire II	2-1	W
14 Aug	H	New York RB II	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Chattanooga	0-1	L
31 Jul	H	Carolina Core	3-3	D
26 Jul	H	New York City II	3-2	W

Connecticut FC

6W 0D 4L · goals 26:20 · per match 2.6 for, 2.0 against

20 Sep	H	Inter Miami II	7-2	W
13 Sep	A	New York City II	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Atlanta United II	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	New York RB II	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Philadelphia Union II	4-2	W
19 Aug	A	Crown Legacy	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	FC Cincinnati II	3-2	W
9 Aug	H	New England II	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Orlando City II	4-2	W
26 Jul	H	Columbus Crew II	2-1	W

Head to head

1Atlanta United II wins

0draws

0Connecticut FC wins

1 meeting · goals 4:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Atlanta United II

8 Sep 2026MLS Next Pro

MLS Next Pro

Atlanta United II4-1Connecticut FC

MLS Next Pro tableEastern Conferenceupdated 16 Oct 14:40 UTC

In the MLS Next Pro table, Atlanta United II sit 3rd with 48 points from 28 games, while Connecticut FC are 7th with 46 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	8	67:39	+28	58
1	Austin II	28	21	7	54:21	+33	65
2	Chattanooga	28	19	9	56:39	+17	56
2	Portland Timbers II	28	19	9	37:29	+8	57
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	13	62:46	+16	48
3	Ventura County	28	18	10	58:36	+22	53
4	Columbus Crew II	28	17	11	49:43	+6	48
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	10	53:33	+20	52
5	New England II	28	16	12	47:42	+5	48
5	Minnesota United II	28	15	13	43:39	+4	45
6	New York City II	28	16	12	50:44	+6	47
6	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	14	50:48	+2	45
7	Connecticut FC	28	16	12	59:52	+7	46
7	St. Louis City II	28	14	14	42:40	+2	44
8	New York RB II	28	15	13	58:48	+10	46
8	The Town	28	14	14	51:36	+15	42
9	Huntsville City	28	14	14	49:47	+2	44
9	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	14	40:44	-4	41
10	Orlando City II	28	15	13	55:56	-1	44
10	North Texas	28	14	14	42:41	+1	40
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	14	37:40	-3	43
11	Real Monarchs	28	12	16	38:55	-17	33
12	Toronto II	28	13	15	48:56	-8	39
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	18	39:62	-23	27
13	Chicago Fire II	28	13	15	50:48	+2	39
13	Sporting KC II	28	7	21	36:75	-39	23
14	Carolina Core	28	10	18	40:53	-13	31
14	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	22	28:52	-24	21
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	21	32:62	-30	20
16	Inter Miami II	28	4	24	30:74	-44	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X26%3.53234%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.22 +3.7%X3.78 → 3.53 -6.6%22.69 → 2.68 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.54	6.5%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.46	2.53	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Average	1.38	2.68	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlanta United II 45%Draw 45%Connecticut FC 10%

The statistical model rates Atlanta United II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Connecticut FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.53 | 2.68, which imply roughly 45% for a Atlanta United II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the MLS Next Pro table: Atlanta United II are 3rd (48 pts, 62-46 goals), Connecticut FC 7th (46 pts, 59-52).

Over their last five matches, Atlanta United II averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Connecticut FC averaged 2.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atlanta United II or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.54	2.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.55	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	2.41	3.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.45	2.78	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	13.0	23.5
HT X	6.15	6.73	6.90
HT 2	21.5	14.1	4.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	18.1	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.11	5.25
2.5	1.47	2.53
3.5	2.12	1.65
4.5	3.47	1.25
5.5	6.43	1.07

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.15	4.20
2.25	1.29	3.04
2.75	1.55	2.26
3	1.70	2.02
3.25	1.91	1.80
3.75	2.39	1.50
4	2.75	1.39
4.25	2.81	1.38
4.75	4.10	1.16
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.55	1.08
6	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.59	1.43
-0.5	2.16	1.66
-0.25	1.97	1.76
0	1.70	2.03
+0.25	1.52	2.34
+0.5	1.43	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2	6.70	1.05
-1.75	4.80	1.11
-1.5	3.85	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.25	1.29
+0.75	1.28	3.08
+1	1.15	4.20
+1.25	1.13	4.55
+1.5	1.11	4.90
+1.75	1.06	6.20
+2	1.01	8.80