Penafiel vs Leça• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

2.0:1.00-1FTToday · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X3.77PIN25.05MARMargin at best6.2%Books6Markets71Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.63	3.75	5.02	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.75	5.05	8.6%
BetVictor	1.62	3.75	4.80	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.70	4.95	9.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	4.00	11.5%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.60	12.9%
Best of all books	1.67	3.75	5.05	6.3%
Average	1.63	3.68	4.74	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PenafielLeça

Last 1010Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:41 UTC

Penafiel

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

9 Oct	H	AVS	1-2	L
25 Sep	H	Deportivo La Coruna	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Oliveirense	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Felgueiras 1932	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Academica	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	FC Porto B	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sporting CP B	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Torreense	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Portimonense	0-1	L
24 Jul	H	Leganes	0-2	L

Leça

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	AD Marco 09	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Mortágua	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Trofense	4-1	W
6 Sep	H	Fafe	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Paredes	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Guimaraes B	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
29 Jul	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-0	D
15 Jul	A	Santa Clara	0-4	L
10 Jun	H	Vitória de Sernache	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Penafiel and Leça on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X25%3.68219%4.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.94	5.6%
1xBet	1.75	1.99	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.99	7.4%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.99	2.9%
Average	1.80	1.95	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.80	1.97	6.3%
Average	1.76	1.94	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penafiel 10%Draw 45%Leça 45%

The statistical model rated Penafiel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leça at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.68 | 4.74, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Penafiel averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Leça averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Leça.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.63	3.68	4.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.16	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.26	5.13

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.59	4.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	15.4	40.0
HT X	4.37	5.73	11.0
HT 2	22.3	16.0	8.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	11.2	2.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.90
1.5	1.23	3.62
2.5	1.80	1.95
3.5	2.92	1.35
4.5	5.54	1.11
5.5	11.6	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.70
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.11	4.89
1.75	1.28	3.21
2	1.36	2.80
2.25	1.57	2.25
2.75	1.97	1.75
3	2.28	1.53
3.25	2.53	1.43
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.60	1.42
-1.25	2.36	1.52
-1	2.06	1.70
-0.75	1.79	1.92
-0.5	1.61	2.23
-0.25	1.41	2.64

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.33	1.07
-2.5	4.95	1.13
-2.25	4.60	1.15
-2	4.20	1.17
-1.75	3.09	1.30
0	1.23	3.63
+0.25	1.18	4.07
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.09	5.97
+1.5	1.02	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.64
7.5	1.21	3.52
8.5	1.45	2.48
9.5	1.81	1.95
10.5	2.25	1.56
11.5	2.98	1.31
12.5	4.22	1.14
13.5	6.39	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	5.14
8	1.27	3.15
9	1.58	2.21
10	2.01	1.71
11	2.69	1.38
12	3.87	1.17
13	5.97	1.05