AVS vs Moreirense• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

2.0:0.01-0FTToday · Vila das Aves0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.32MAR22.13PINMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets63Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.28	3.38	2.16	6.4%
1xBet	3.24	3.32	2.13	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.22	3.32	2.11	8.6%
BetVictor	3.40	3.13	2.10	9.0%
Bet365	3.50	3.25	1.91	11.7%
William Hill	3.10	3.00	2.10	13.2%
Best of all books	3.50	3.38	2.16	4.5%
Average	3.29	3.23	2.08	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AVSMoreirense

Last 1010Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.00.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating0100Form rating025H2H rating750Goals model026Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:41 UTC

AVS

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

9 Oct	A	Penafiel	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Sintrense	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Farense	0-0	D
7 Sep	A	Lusitânia Lourosa	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Feirense	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Chaves	2-2	D
17 Aug	A	Felgueiras 1932	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Sporting CP B	0-1	L
31 Jul	H	Trofense	1-1	D
29 Jul	H	Vianense	3-0	W

Moreirense

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

9 Oct	H	GIL Vicente	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Vitória SC	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Maritimo	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Benfica	0-4	L
4 Sep	A	FC Porto	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Casa Pia	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Arouca	0-4	L
9 Aug	H	SC Braga	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Felgueiras 1932	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Amarante	2-0	W

Head to head

0AVS wins

3draws

2Moreirense wins

5 meetings · goals 3:8 · last 5: 0W 3D 2L for AVS

18 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Moreirense2-2AVS
16 May 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Moreirense0-0AVS
3 Jan 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	AVS0-2Moreirense
17 May 2025Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	AVS0-3Moreirense
4 Jan 2025Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Moreirense1-1AVS

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.29X28%3.23244%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.13 → 3.30 +5.4%X3.22 → 3.23 +0.3%22.13 → 2.06 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.22	1.67	4.9%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.16	1.64	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.64	7.3%
BetVictor	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.22	1.67	4.9%
Average	2.17	1.65	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.81	8.2%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.79	8.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.81	7.6%
Average	1.89	1.80	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AVS 0%Draw 50%Moreirense 50%

The statistical model rated AVS at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Moreirense at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.23 | 2.08, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, AVS averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Moreirense averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Moreirense and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.29	3.23	2.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.65	1.30	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.48	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	2.06	2.72

2nd half

1	X	2
3.66	2.28	2.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.57	15.1	27.3
HT X	7.37	4.82	5.10
HT 2	35.3	14.3	3.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.33	8.15	1.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.15
1.5	1.36	2.87
2.5	2.17	1.65
3.5	3.95	1.19
4.5	8.07	1.04
5.5	19.0	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.20	3.70
1.75	1.46	2.48
2	1.61	2.15
2.25	1.90	1.83
2.75	2.49	1.46
3	3.17	1.29
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.85	1.11
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.84	1.38
0	2.44	1.52
+0.25	1.94	1.78
+0.5	1.74	2.06
+0.75	1.50	2.41
+1	1.31	3.13

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.88	1.01
-1.5	6.90	1.04
-1.25	6.45	1.05
-1	6.23	1.08
-0.75	4.14	1.18
-0.5	3.38	1.31
+1.25	1.25	3.49
+1.5	1.19	3.97
+1.75	1.12	5.13
+2	1.02	8.00
+2.25	1.03	7.40
+2.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.09
6.5	1.20	3.62
7.5	1.45	2.48
8.5	1.81	1.90
9.5	2.31	1.53
10.5	3.14	1.27
11.5	4.60	1.11
12.5	7.24	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.52
7	1.26	3.22
8	1.58	2.20
9	2.06	1.68
10	2.82	1.34
11	4.21	1.14
12	6.77	1.02