Academica vs Amarante• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

4.0:1.03-2FTToday · Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98PINX3.50B36523.741XBMargin at best5.8%Books6Markets65Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.94	3.38	3.74	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.38	3.72	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.98	3.28	3.56	9.1%
BetVictor	1.91	3.40	3.60	9.5%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.50	11.8%
William Hill	1.95	3.20	3.25	13.3%
Best of all books	1.98	3.50	3.74	5.8%
Average	1.92	3.36	3.56	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AcademicaAmarante

Last 106Form pts · last 574.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating10050Form rating5029H2H rating710Goals model047Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:41 UTC

Academica

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	União de Leiria	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Real	4-1	W
11 Sep	H	Benfica B	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Penafiel	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Tondela	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Feirense	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Chaves	4-1	W
1 Aug	A	Caldas	2-2	D
31 Jul	A	União Santarém	0-0	D

Amarante

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	Portimonense	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Ponte da Barca	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	União de Leiria	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Leixoes	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Benfica B	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Vizela	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Tondela	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Moreirense	0-2	L
22 Jul	A	Chaves	1-2	L

Head to head

0Academica wins

2draws

1Amarante wins

3 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for Academica

12 Apr 2026Liga 3	Liga 3	Academica1-1Amarante
29 Mar 2026Liga 3	Liga 3	Amarante1-1Academica
22 Oct 2023Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Amarante1-0Academica

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.92X27%3.36226%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.92 +3.8%X3.47 → 3.36 -3.2%23.66 → 3.56 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.91	5.5%
1xBet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.86	1.88	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.04	4.6%
Average	1.72	1.99	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Academica 10%Draw 45%Amarante 45%

The statistical model rated Academica at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Amarante at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.36 | 3.56, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Academica averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Amarante averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Amarante.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.36	3.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.77	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	2.13	4.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.45	3.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	14.3	37.0
HT X	4.83	5.10	8.37
HT 2	26.3	15.1	6.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	11.1	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.2
1.5	1.24	3.52
2.5	1.86	1.88
3.5	3.10	1.31
4.5	6.30	1.08
5.5	14.0	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.12	4.75
1.75	1.29	3.11
2	1.40	2.67
2.25	1.62	2.15
2.75	2.04	1.67
3	2.42	1.47
3.25	2.72	1.37
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.45	1.08
4.75	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.78	1.39
-0.75	2.19	1.59
-0.5	1.92	1.83
-0.25	1.66	2.06
0	1.41	2.64
+0.25	1.31	3.08

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2.25	6.97	1.06
-2	6.53	1.07
-1.75	4.43	1.16
-1.5	3.47	1.25
-1.25	3.13	1.32
+0.5	1.30	3.45
+0.75	1.15	4.60
+1	1.05	7.27
+1.25	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.84	1.84
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03