Triglav vs Nafta• Cup, Slovenia

15:30Today · Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.25DAFX3.60BFR22.07DAFMargin at best6.9%Books7Markets43Rating38 · 63

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.25	3.60	2.07	6.9%
BetVictor	3.13	3.50	2.05	9.3%
1xBet	3.14	3.42	2.01	10.8%
Betano	3.10	3.35	2.05	10.9%
Betfair	3.00	3.60	2.00	11.1%
Bet365	3.10	3.40	2.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	3.06	3.42	1.99	12.2%
Best of all books	3.25	3.60	2.07	6.9%
Average	3.11	3.47	2.02	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TriglavNafta

Last 1013Form pts · last 5100Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating038H2H rating620Goals model038Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:31 UTC

Triglav

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:5 · per match 2.0 for, 0.5 against

16 Oct	H	Dekani	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Krško	2-0	W
4 Oct	H	Jesenice	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Primorje	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Slovan Ljubljana	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Brežice	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Rudar	0-2	L
4 Sep	H	Bistrica	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Dravinja	4-1	W
14 Aug	A	Tabor Sežana	0-1	L

Nafta

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Mura	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Bravo	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Koper	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Radomlje	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Maribor	2-3	L
21 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Celje	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	Aluminij	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Mura	5-2	W

Head to head

1Triglav wins

6draws

4Nafta wins

11 meetings · goals 6:11 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Triglav

22 May 20262. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta1-1Triglav
14 Nov 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav0-2Nafta
3 May 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav1-2Nafta
15 Oct 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta0-0Triglav
7 Apr 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav1-0Nafta
8 Nov 2022Cup	Cup	Nafta1-1Triglav
23 Sep 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta2-0Triglav
19 Mar 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav0-0Nafta
4 Sep 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta1-1Triglav
15 May 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav0-1Nafta

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.11X26%3.49245%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
BetVictor	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Triglav 0%Draw 50%Nafta 50%

The statistical model rates Triglav at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Nafta at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.11 | 3.49 | 2.02, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Triglav averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Nafta averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nafta.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.11	3.47	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.28	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.34	1.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
3.67	2.20	2.60

2nd half

1	X	2
3.32	2.54	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.08	14.0	21.3
HT X	7.58	5.63	5.48
HT 2	28.5	14.1	3.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.19	13.4	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.3
1.5	1.19	3.89
2.5	1.69	2.03
3.5	2.76	1.36
4.5	5.17	1.10
5.5	10.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.65
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.30	2.97
2.25	1.49	2.34
2.75	1.85	1.79
3	2.14	1.57
3.25	2.44	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.63	1.38
0	2.31	1.51
+0.25	1.93	1.76
+0.5	1.67	1.95
+0.75	1.50	2.30
+1	1.31	2.92

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.55	1.05
-1	5.60	1.08
-0.75	3.80	1.19
+1.25	1.25	3.28
+1.5	1.20	3.70
+1.75	1.16	4.50
+2	1.04	6.85
+2.5	1.02	7.70

Next Cup matches

23 Oct	Bistrica – Bilje
23 Oct	Tabor Sežana – Koper
23 Oct	Brežice – Aluminij

All Cup fixtures and the table