Racing MontevideovsPenarol• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Racing Montevideo4th53 pts
Penarol1st59 pts
Racing Montevideo4th53 pts
Penarol1st59 ptsIn the Primera División table, Racing Montevideo sit 4th with 53 points from 30 games, while Penarol are 1st with 59 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Racing Montevideo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Penarol at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.60 | 2.98 | 2.06, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Racing Montevideo are 4th (53 pts, 36-24 goals), Penarol 1st (59 pts, 49-25).
Over their last five matches, Racing Montevideo averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Penarol averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol.
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 |
| 4 |  Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 49 |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 |
| 10 |  Juventud | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 37 |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 31 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 28 |
Confirmed Lineups
Racing Montevideo
4-4-2Coach: C. Chambian
Goalkeeper
- 12F. Varese
Defence
- 3R. Brazionis
- 4G. Cotugno
- 13Abdulkadir Ceri
- 17R. Ferreira
- 37Y. Oyarzo
Midfield
- 5Juan Bosca
- 34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
- 39Á. Vázquez
- 10E. da Silva
Attack
- 9E. da Silva
Substitutes (9)
- 20E. Bentancor
- 22Thiago Fernandez
- 30R. Gadea
- 29F. González
- 8L. Loprete
- 1F. Machado
- 21N. Sosa
- 11F. Suárez
- 27Matias Unyicio
Penarol
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Aguirre
Goalkeeper
- 29W. Aguerre
Defence
- 2G. Pezzella
- 6L. Ferreira
- 34N. Herrera
- 26Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
- 5E. Remedi
Midfield
- 21J. Trindade
Attack
- 7J. Cabrera
- 11C. Jaime
- 32L. Umpiérrez
- 19M. Arezo
Substitutes (10)
- 33J. Rodríguez
- 16T. Olase
- 27L. Hernández
- 3M. Lemos
- 80F. González
- 8N. Fernández
- 1S. Britos
- 9F. Batista
- 36B. Barboza
- 28I. Alegre
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.27
X
3.10
2
2.12
Double chance
1X
1.61
X2
1.28
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.98
No
1.73
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.42
Under 1.5
2.67
Over 2.5
2.32
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 3.5
4.20
Under 3.5
1.19
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.53
Over 4.5
8.93
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
17.75
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
50.50
Over 1.75
1.53
Under 1.75
2.34
Over 2
1.70
Under 2
2.00
Over 2.25
2.01
Under 2.25
1.74
Over 2.75
2.70
Under 2.75
1.39
Over 0.75
1.04
Under 0.75
6.80
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.05
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
3.51
Over 3
3.50
Under 3
1.22
Over 3.25
3.95
Under 3.25
1.19
Over 3.75
5.57
Under 3.75
1.09
Over 4
8.30
Under 4
1.01
Over 4.25
8.65
Under 4.25
1.01
Draw no bet
1
2.37
2
1.54
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
9.30
1st half
1
4.06
X
1.99
2
2.93
First team to score
Home
2.33
No Goal
7.50
Away
1.81
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
5.30
Under 11.25
1.07