Liverpool MontevideovsProgreso• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo7th46 pts
Progreso15th28 pts
Liverpool Montevideo7th46 pts
Progreso15th28 ptsIn the Primera División table, Liverpool Montevideo sit 7th with 46 points from 30 games, while Progreso are 15th with 28 points from 30 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Liverpool Montevideo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Progreso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.63, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Liverpool Montevideo win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Liverpool Montevideo are 7th (46 pts, 39-28 goals), Progreso 15th (28 pts, 25-43).
Over their last five matches, Liverpool Montevideo averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Progreso averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw.
Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 58 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 |  Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 9 |  Juventud | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 10 |  Defensor Sporting | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 35 |
| 11 |  Albion FC | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 28 |
| 16 |  Danubio | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.63
X
3.60
2
4.81
Double chance
1X
1.14
X2
2.13
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.80
No
1.89
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.43
Over 2.5
1.87
Under 2.5
1.87
Over 3.5
3.12
Under 3.5
1.31
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 4.5
5.88
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.50
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
21.25
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.33
Under 1.75
2.89
Over 2
1.44
Under 2
2.54
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.10
Over 2.75
2.12
Under 2.75
1.65
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.50
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
7.80
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.46
Over 3
2.55
Under 3
1.45
Over 3.25
2.80
Under 3.25
1.37
Over 3.75
3.89
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 4
5.30
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.70
Under 4.25
1.08
Draw no bet
1
1.24
2
3.70
Asian handicap
Away 2.75
1.05
1st half
1
2.18
X
2.21
2
5.24
First team to score
Home
1.50
No Goal
10.50
Away
2.85
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.25
5.94
Under 12.25
1.05