Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema• Premier League, Ethiopia

#110-0FT10/10#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37PINX2.70BVC23.52PINMargin at best7.6%Books9Markets36Rating57 · 44

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 15:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.30	2.70	3.40	9.9%
Dafabet	2.35	2.60	3.45	10.0%
Pinnacle	2.37	2.51	3.52	10.4%
Betano	2.35	2.60	3.35	10.9%
Betfair	2.30	2.63	3.40	10.9%
1xBet	2.29	2.64	3.40	11.0%
Bet365	2.30	2.62	3.30	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.32	2.51	3.42	12.2%
William Hill	2.30	2.45	3.40	13.7%
Best of all books	2.37	2.70	3.52	7.6%
Average	2.32	2.58	3.40	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Welayta DichaFasil Ketema

Last 10#11Table position#121.00Points per game1.008Form pts · last 590Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model057Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:24 UTC

Welayta Dicha

4W 5D 1L · goals 9:4 · per match 0.9 for, 0.4 against

3 Jul	H	Ethiopia Bunna	0-0	D
28 Jun	A	Adama Kenema	2-0	W
22 Jun	H	Mebrat Hayl	1-2	L
16 Jun	A	Bahardar	2-0	W
4 Jun	H	Negelle Arsi	0-0	D
19 May	A	Ethiopian Medhin	0-0	D
14 May	H	Kedus Giorgis	0-0	D
10 May	A	Arba Minch Kenema	3-2	W
4 May	H	Hadiya Hosaena	1-0	W
29 Apr	A	Sheger Ketema	0-0	D

Fasil Ketema

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

1 Jul	H	Ethiopian Medhin	1-0	W
26 Jun	A	Kedus Giorgis	0-1	L
22 Jun	H	Arba Minch Kenema	2-0	W
15 Jun	A	Hadiya Hosaena	1-0	W
29 May	H	Sheger Ketema	0-1	L
20 May	A	Ethiopia Bunna	1-2	L
16 May	H	Adama Kenema	3-1	W
10 May	A	Mebrat Hayl	1-3	L
6 May	H	Bahardar	0-2	L
30 Apr	A	Negelle Arsi	0-0	D

Head to head

6Welayta Dicha wins

5draws

8Fasil Ketema wins

19 meetings · goals 20:20 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Welayta Dicha

14 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Welayta Dicha0-1Fasil Ketema
30 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Fasil Ketema1-1Welayta Dicha
4 Jun 2025Premier League	Premier League	Fasil Ketema0-3Welayta Dicha
26 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Welayta Dicha1-1Fasil Ketema
29 Jun 2024Premier League	Premier League	Welayta Dicha0-0Fasil Ketema
7 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Fasil Ketema0-2Welayta Dicha
2 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Fasil Ketema2-1Welayta Dicha
4 Dec 2022Premier League	Premier League	Welayta Dicha1-0Fasil Ketema
2 May 2022Premier League	Premier League	Fasil Ketema3-1Welayta Dicha
4 Dec 2021Premier League	Premier League	Welayta Dicha0-0Fasil Ketema

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Welayta Dicha sit 11th with 1 points from 1 games, while Fasil Ketema are 12th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Halaba Ketema	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
2	Adama Kenema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
3	Sheger Ketema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
4	Ethiopian Medhin	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
5	Mekelakeya	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
7	Bahardar	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	Negelle Arsi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Kedus Giorgis	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Welayta Dicha	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Mebrat Hayl	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
14	Awassa Kenema	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Ethiopia Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Hadiya Hosaena	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.32X35%2.58226%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.30 → 2.32 +0.9%X2.68 → 2.58 -3.7%23.34 → 3.40 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.25	1.33	6.0%
BetVictor	3.30	1.30	7.2%
1xBet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Marathonbet	3.28	1.25	10.5%
Best of all books	3.30	1.33	5.5%
Average	3.18	1.30	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.50	1.45	9.0%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.56	1.41	10.0%
Best of all books	2.56	1.52	4.9%
Average	2.47	1.46	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Welayta Dicha 45%Draw 45%Fasil Ketema 10%

The statistical model rated Welayta Dicha at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fasil Ketema at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 2.58 | 3.40, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Welayta Dicha win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Welayta Dicha are 11th (1 pts, 0-0 goals), Fasil Ketema 12th (1 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Welayta Dicha averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Fasil Ketema averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Welayta Dicha or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	2.58	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.49	1.40

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.47	1.46

1st half

1	X	2
3.22	1.73	4.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	4.40	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.13	4.82
1.5	1.73	1.96
2.5	3.18	1.30
3.5	6.87	1.06
4.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.19	3.92
1	1.25	3.36
1.25	1.50	2.38
1.75	1.98	1.73
2	2.43	1.47
2.25	2.82	1.36
2.75	3.86	1.19
3	5.50	1.09
3.25	5.91	1.07
3.75	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.84	1.35
-0.5	2.33	1.54
-0.25	1.94	1.77
0	1.54	2.28
+0.25	1.36	2.80
+0.5	1.26	3.43

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	6.70	1.05
-1.5	5.08	1.10
-1.25	4.58	1.13
-1	4.10	1.18
+0.75	1.15	4.33
+1	1.04	7.13
+1.25	1.02	7.65
+1.5	1.02	8.20