Kedus Giorgis vs Negelle Arsi• Premier League, Ethiopia

#71-1FT10/10#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.76PINX2.71MAR22.83PINMargin at best8.5%Books9Markets36Rating80 · 20

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 15:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.70	2.70	2.80	9.8%
Dafabet	2.70	2.70	2.80	9.8%
Pinnacle	2.76	2.57	2.83	10.5%
Betano	2.67	2.67	2.77	11.0%
Bet365	2.60	2.70	2.80	11.2%
Betfair	2.63	2.70	2.75	11.4%
1xBet	2.59	2.71	2.72	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.59	2.71	2.72	12.3%
William Hill	2.70	2.50	2.75	13.4%
Best of all books	2.76	2.71	2.83	8.5%
Average	2.66	2.66	2.77	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kedus GiorgisNegelle Arsi

Last 10#7Table position#101.00Points per game1.009Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating080H2H rating200Goals model080Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:10 UTC

Kedus Giorgis

5W 4D 1L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against

10 Oct	H	Negelle Arsi	1-1	D
2 Jul	A	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1-1	D
26 Jun	H	Fasil Ketema	1-0	W
22 Jun	A	Suhul Shire	0-0	D
14 Jun	H	Mekelakeya	3-0	W
28 May	A	Dire Dawa Kenema	2-1	W
20 May	H	Awassa Kenema	1-0	W
14 May	A	Welayta Dicha	0-0	D
9 May	H	Mekelle Kenema	1-0	W
5 May	A	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0-2	L

Negelle Arsi

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Kedus Giorgis	1-1	D
1 Jul	A	Mekelle Kenema	0-3	L
26 Jun	H	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2-0	W
20 Jun	A	Sidama Bunna	1-1	D
15 Jun	H	Awassa Kenema	2-1	W
4 Jun	A	Welayta Dicha	0-0	D
21 May	H	Suhul Shire	0-0	D
14 May	A	Mekelakeya	0-4	L
11 May	H	Dire Dawa Kenema	3-0	W
6 May	A	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2-1	W

Head to head

1Kedus Giorgis wins

1draws

0Negelle Arsi wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Kedus Giorgis

3 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Kedus Giorgis0-0Negelle Arsi
29 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Negelle Arsi0-1Kedus Giorgis

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 14:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Kedus Giorgis sit 7th with 1 points from 1 games, while Negelle Arsi are 10th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ethiopian Medhin	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
2	Mekelakeya	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
3	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
4	Adama Kenema	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
5	Bahardar	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Sheger Ketema	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
7	Kedus Giorgis	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
9	Halaba Ketema	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Negelle Arsi	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Welayta Dicha	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Awassa Kenema	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
14	Mebrat Hayl	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Ethiopia Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Hadiya Hosaena	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.66X34%2.66232%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.66 +2.3%X2.70 → 2.66 -1.5%22.80 → 2.77 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
BetVictor	3.10	1.33	7.4%
Pinnacle	3.17	1.30	8.5%
1xBet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Best of all books	3.17	1.36	5.1%
Average	3.01	1.33	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
William Hill	2.30	1.53	8.8%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.32	1.52	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kedus Giorgis 50%Draw 50%Negelle Arsi 0%

The statistical model rated Kedus Giorgis at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Negelle Arsi at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 2.66 | 2.77, which imply roughly 37.6% for a Kedus Giorgis win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Kedus Giorgis are 7th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), Negelle Arsi 10th (1 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Kedus Giorgis averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Negelle Arsi averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kedus Giorgis or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.66	2.66	2.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.39	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.32	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.49	1.79	3.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	5.05	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.40
1.5	1.64	2.09
2.5	3.01	1.33
3.5	6.50	1.06
4.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.75
1	1.18	3.92
1.25	1.42	2.57
1.75	1.85	1.83
2	2.23	1.55
2.25	2.60	1.41
2.75	3.59	1.21
3	5.15	1.10
3.25	5.56	1.08
3.75	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.28	1.26
-0.5	2.67	1.40
-0.25	2.21	1.57
0	1.80	1.91
+0.25	1.52	2.32
+0.5	1.38	2.78

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.40	1.01
-1.5	6.15	1.06
-1.25	5.60	1.08
-1	5.05	1.10
+0.75	1.23	3.50
+1	1.08	5.50
+1.25	1.06	6.11
+1.5	1.05	6.70
+1.75	1.01	8.85