Mebrat Hayl vs Adama Kenema• Premier League, Ethiopia

#130-1FT09/10#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63PINX2.75BFR22.99PINMargin at best7.8%Books9Markets37Rating50 · 50 level

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 06:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.60	2.70	2.90	10.0%
Pinnacle	2.64	2.55	3.00	10.4%
Dafabet	2.60	2.60	2.95	10.8%
Betfair	2.60	2.63	2.90	11.0%
Betano	2.57	2.62	2.92	11.3%
Bet365	2.50	2.70	2.90	11.5%
1xBet	2.54	2.61	2.89	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.54	2.61	2.89	12.3%
William Hill	2.62	2.45	2.90	13.5%
Best of all books	2.64	2.70	3.00	8.2%
Average	2.58	2.61	2.92	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mebrat HaylAdama Kenema

Last 10#13Table position#20.50Points per game2.008Form pts · last 5100Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:01 UTC

Mebrat Hayl

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

9 Oct	H	Adama Kenema	0-1	L
5 Jul	A	Sidama Bunna	1-0	W
28 Jun	H	Awassa Kenema	1-1	D
22 Jun	A	Welayta Dicha	2-1	W
16 Jun	H	Mekelle Kenema	0-0	D
30 May	A	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1-2	L
20 May	H	Dire Dawa Kenema	1-1	D
16 May	A	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1-2	L
10 May	H	Fasil Ketema	3-1	W
5 May	A	Suhul Shire	0-1	L

Adama Kenema

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

9 Oct	A	Mebrat Hayl	1-0	W
2 Jul	A	Awassa Kenema	3-2	W
28 Jun	H	Welayta Dicha	0-2	L
21 Jun	A	Mekelle Kenema	0-0	D
15 Jun	H	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2-1	W
30 May	A	Sidama Bunna	0-1	L
21 May	H	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	0-0	D
16 May	A	Fasil Ketema	1-3	L
9 May	H	Suhul Shire	4-0	W
4 May	A	Mekelakeya	0-0	D

Head to head

3Mebrat Hayl wins

2draws

7Adama Kenema wins

12 meetings · goals 8:18 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Mebrat Hayl

14 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Adama Kenema0-1Mebrat Hayl
30 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl0-0Adama Kenema
28 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl0-2Adama Kenema
3 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Adama Kenema0-3Mebrat Hayl
21 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Adama Kenema2-0Mebrat Hayl
7 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl1-0Adama Kenema
5 Jun 2018Premier League	Premier League	Adama Kenema6-1Mebrat Hayl
6 Jan 2018Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl2-3Adama Kenema
19 Apr 2017Premier League	Premier League	Adama Kenema2-0Mebrat Hayl
5 Jan 2017Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl0-0Adama Kenema

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Mebrat Hayl sit 13th with 1 points from 2 games, while Adama Kenema are 2nd with 4 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Halaba Ketema	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
2	Adama Kenema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
3	Sheger Ketema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
4	Ethiopian Medhin	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
5	Mekelakeya	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
7	Bahardar	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	Negelle Arsi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Kedus Giorgis	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Welayta Dicha	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Mebrat Hayl	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
14	Awassa Kenema	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Ethiopia Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Hadiya Hosaena	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.66X37%2.45229%3.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.56 → 2.57 +0.4%X2.68 → 2.62 -2.2%22.90 → 2.91 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
BetVictor	3.13	1.33	7.1%
Pinnacle	3.23	1.29	8.5%
Betfair	3.00	1.33	8.5%
1xBet	2.97	1.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.97	1.30	10.6%
Best of all books	3.23	1.36	4.5%
Average	3.05	1.32	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.34	1.51	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.34	1.49	9.8%
William Hill	2.30	1.50	10.1%
Best of all books	2.40	1.57	5.4%
Average	2.33	1.51	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mebrat Hayl 33%Draw 33%Adama Kenema 33%

The statistical model rated Mebrat Hayl at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Adama Kenema at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 2.45 | 3.05, which imply roughly 37.6% for a Mebrat Hayl win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Mebrat Hayl are 13th (1 pts, 0-1 goals), Adama Kenema 2nd (4 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, Mebrat Hayl averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Adama Kenema averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.58	2.61	2.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.41	1.39

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.33	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.76	3.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	4.85	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.20
1.5	1.66	2.07
2.5	3.05	1.32
3.5	6.78	1.06
4.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.40
1	1.21	3.68
1.25	1.44	2.49
1.75	1.88	1.80
2	2.26	1.54
2.25	2.67	1.39
2.75	3.79	1.19
3	5.45	1.08
3.25	5.90	1.07
3.75	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.19	1.28
-0.5	2.57	1.43
-0.25	2.13	1.61
0	1.73	1.99
+0.25	1.47	2.43
+0.5	1.34	2.93

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.20	1.02
-1.5	6.05	1.06
-1.25	5.46	1.09
-1	4.90	1.11
+0.75	1.21	3.74
+1	1.06	6.00
+1.25	1.05	6.60
+1.5	1.03	7.20
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	2.01	1.74