Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#271.4:0.818:30Tomorrow · Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico0.6:0.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.751XBX2.80BFR23.10DAFMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets34Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	2.80	3.10	7.2%
1xBet	2.75	2.70	2.75	9.8%
BetVictor	2.63	2.80	2.75	10.1%
Betfair	2.55	2.80	2.80	10.6%
Betano	2.50	2.70	2.95	10.9%
Bet365	2.55	2.62	2.80	13.1%
Best of all books	2.75	2.80	3.10	4.3%
Average	2.59	2.74	2.86	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Costa BravaVilla Mitre

Last 10#27Table position#161.13Points per game1.4410Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 50.270Attack rating3020Defence rating8063Form rating38100H2H rating057Goals model4353Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Costa Brava

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Sol de Mayo	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Santamarina	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Rincon	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Juventud Unida Univ.	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Circulo Deportivo	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Guillermo Brown	1-0	W
12 Aug	A	Fundacion Amigos	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Germinal de Rawson	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	San Martín Mendoza	2-2	D
25 Jul	H	Deportivo Rincon	0-1	L

Villa Mitre

3W 5D 2L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

20 Sep	H	Kimberley Mar del Plata	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Argentino Monte Maíz	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Huracan Las Heras	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Juventud Antoniana	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Alvarado	0-0	D
12 Aug	A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	Cipolletti	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Atenas	1-0	W
26 Jul	A	Sol de Mayo	3-3	D
12 Jul	H	Guillermo Brown	3-0	W

Head to head

1Costa Brava wins

0draws

0Villa Mitre wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Costa Brava

20 Jul 2025Torneo Federal A

Torneo Federal A

Costa Brava1-0Villa Mitre

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Costa Brava sit 27th with 18 points from 16 games, while Villa Mitre are 16th with 23 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X33%2.74232%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.59 -0.4%X2.75 → 2.74 -0.4%22.88 → 2.86 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.75	1.39	8.3%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.75	1.40	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.27	1.58	7.3%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
BetVictor	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Best of all books	2.38	1.58	5.3%
Average	2.30	1.56	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Costa Brava 45%Draw 45%Villa Mitre 10%

The statistical model rates Costa Brava at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Villa Mitre at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 2.74 | 2.86, which imply roughly 38.6% for a Costa Brava win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Costa Brava are 27th (18 pts, 12-13 goals), Villa Mitre 16th (23 pts, 14-8).

Over their last five matches, Costa Brava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Villa Mitre averaged 0.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Costa Brava or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	2.74	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.42	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.30	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.82	3.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	5.50	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.60
1.5	1.60	2.19
2.5	2.75	1.40
3.5	5.55	1.12
4.5	12.5	1.02
5.5	17.0	–

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.89
1	1.20	4.00
1.25	1.39	2.75
1.75	1.76	1.94
2	2.06	1.68
2.25	2.40	1.50
2.75	3.30	1.28
3	4.40	1.17
3.25	5.02	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.35	1.30
-0.5	2.68	1.45
-0.25	2.28	1.59
0	1.81	1.91
+0.25	1.54	2.36
+0.5	1.40	2.85

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.00	1.11
-1.25	5.63	1.13
-1	4.95	1.15
+0.75	1.27	3.55
+1	1.14	5.33
+1.25	1.12	5.95
+1.5	1.10	6.50