OddsFilter

San Martin Formosa vs Atenas• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#41.2:0.41-1FT04/10 · Estadio 17 de Octubre, Formosa1.2:1.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65WHX3.801XB26.20MARMargin at best3.1%Books4Markets42Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.504.077.304.9%
Betfair1.443.807.0010.0%
Betano1.423.508.0011.5%
Bet3651.403.508.5011.8%
Best of all books1.504.078.503.0%
Average1.443.727.709.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Martin FormosaAtenas
Last 10#4Table position#181.88Points per game1.448Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.20.4Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5075Defence rating2563Form rating38100H2H rating074Goals model2670Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:03 UTC

San Martin Formosa

6W 3D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

4 OctHAtenas1-1D
27 SepAAtenas1-0W
20 SepABartolomé Mitre0-0D
13 SepHSarmiento de La Banda3-0W
6 SepADefensores de Belgrano VR0-1L
23 AugH9 de Julio Rafaela2-1W
16 AugAGimnasia Chivilcoy1-1D
12 AugHSportivo Belgrano2-0W
8 AugADouglas Haig4-1W
2 AugHSol de América2-1W

Atenas

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

4 OctASan Martin Formosa1-1D
27 SepHSan Martin Formosa0-1L
20 SepAHuracan Las Heras0-1L
13 SepHJuventud Antoniana3-1W
6 SepAAlvarado2-3L
30 AugHOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-0W
23 AugACipolletti2-2D
13 AugHKimberley Mar del Plata2-1W
8 AugAArgentino Monte Maíz2-1W
2 AugHVilla Mitre0-1L

Head to head

4San Martin Formosa wins
0draws
0Atenas wins

4 meetings · goals 7:1 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for San Martin Formosa

27 Sep 2026Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAtenas0-1San Martin Formosa
16 Nov 2025Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal ASan Martin Formosa3-1Atenas
8 Nov 2025Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAtenas0-1San Martin Formosa
1 Sep 2024Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal ASan Martin Formosa2-0Atenas

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, San Martin Formosa sit 4th with 30 points from 16 games, while Atenas are 18th with 23 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931
2Douglas Haig1894522:15+731
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230
4San Martin Formosa1693425:19+630
5Alvarado1676319:7+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626
10Sol de América1682619:14+526
11Juventud Antoniana1674519:11+825
12Cipolletti1674519:15+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225
149 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124
16Villa Mitre1658314:8+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423
18Atenas1665512:13-123
19Huracan Las Heras1665511:13-223
20Atletico Escobar1864821:29-822
21Fundacion Amigos1649317:14+321
22Deportivo Rincon1654713:16-319
23San Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419
24Defensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719
26El Linqueño1854914:21-719
27Costa Brava1646612:13-118
28Sol de Mayo1646615:18-318
29Boca Unidos1653819:25-618
30Germinal de Rawson164667:14-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017
32Tucuman Central1652914:19-517
33Gimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617
34Guillermo Brown1645713:20-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115
36Santamarina162779:17-813
37Circulo Deportivo162778:16-813

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.57X27%3.37215%5.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Oct 19:014 Oct 14:011 1.58X 3.352 5.95
11.44 → 1.58 +9.7%X3.72 → 3.35 -9.9%27.70 → 5.95 -22.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.271.625.8%
Bet3652.351.576.2%
Betano2.181.5311.2%
Best of all books2.351.624.3%
Average2.271.577.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.621.447.6%
1xBet2.401.517.9%
Best of all books2.621.514.4%
Average2.511.487.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Martin Formosa 45%Draw 45%Atenas 10%

The statistical model rated San Martin Formosa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atenas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.37 | 5.97, which imply roughly 63.7% for a San Martin Formosa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: San Martin Formosa are 4th (30 pts, 25-19 goals), Atenas 18th (23 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, San Martin Formosa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Atenas averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : San Martin Formosa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

San Martin Formosa

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Humeler

Defence

  • 2O. Piris
  • 6D. Leiva
  • 3A. Griego
  • 4B. Finardi

Midfield

  • 11G. Alegre
  • 10G. Núñez
  • 5M. Bobadilla
  • 8R. Tapia

Attack

  • 9M. Siergiejuk
  • 7L. Ceratto
Substitutes (9)
  • 19A. Aquino
  • 17E. Cuevas
  • 15F. Illanes Machuca
  • 14Matias Leguizamon
  • 20A. Lopez
  • 12P. Morichi
  • 18B. Peralta
  • 16R. Riquelme
  • 13L. Sanchez

Atenas

Coach: G. Leva

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Perez

Defence

  • 2A. Arcando
  • 4G. Guzman
  • 6Augusto Suarez

Midfield

  • 5I. Castro
  • 10F. Quiroga
  • 8M. Rosales
  • 7M. Vera

Attack

  • 11N. Castro
  • 9A. Mainero

Squad

  • 3V. Duco
Substitutes (9)
  • 18E. Gomez
  • 20D. Haseney
  • 12Mateo Ledesma
  • 15M. Martínez
  • 19P. Oballes
  • 13T. Pagliaricci
  • 16M. Rivadero
  • 17F. Schiavoni
  • 14J. Barrera

Match Statistics

San Martin FormosaAtenas
4Shots on Goal5
0Red Cards0
11Shots off Goal3
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks4
0Free Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
0Blocked Shots0
15Total Shots8

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.443.727.70

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.481.21

Draw no bet

12
1.115.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.511.48

1st half

1X2
2.012.047.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.50
1.51.442.65
2.52.271.57
3.54.261.19
4.58.401.04
5.512.01.01
6.521.0–
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.251.293.43
1.751.542.32
21.701.95
2.252.051.76
2.752.701.41
3.253.981.20
3.755.401.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.621.46
-1.252.291.60
-11.871.85
-0.751.692.13
-0.51.452.68
-0.251.343.12
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.756.251.12
-2.55.331.14
-2.254.891.17
-24.401.19
-1.753.191.33
01.175.08
+0.251.164.60
+11.0110.5