Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#61.0:0.41-2FT04/10 · Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy1.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.66PINX2.891XB23.75B365Margin10.3%Books3Markets13Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.77	3.22	2.63	5.2%
Betfair	2.63	2.90	2.63	10.5%
Betano	2.62	2.95	2.57	11.0%
Best of all books	2.77	3.22	2.63	5.2%
Average	2.67	3.02	2.61	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gimnasia ChivilcoyOlimpo Bahia Blanca

Last 10#6Table position#11.50Points per game1.947Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5067Defence rating3356Form rating440H2H rating10087Goals model1359Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:50 UTC

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

4 Oct	H	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Douglas Haig	0-0	D
11 Sep	H	Sol de América	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Bartolomé Mitre	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sarmiento de La Banda	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	San Martin Formosa	1-1	D
12 Aug	A	9 de Julio Rafaela	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	Sportivo Belgrano	0-0	D

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

4 Oct	A	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Alvarado	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Cipolletti	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Atenas	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Argentino Monte Maíz	1-1	D
12 Aug	H	Villa Mitre	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Huracan Las Heras	1-0	W
2 Aug	H	Juventud Antoniana	0-0	D

Head to head

0Gimnasia Chivilcoy wins

0draws

1Olimpo Bahia Blanca wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Gimnasia Chivilcoy

27 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A

Torneo Federal A

Olimpo Bahia Blanca2-1Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 6th with 27 points from 18 games, while Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st with 31 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.49X36%2.52228%3.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 2.47 -7.5%X3.02 → 2.51 -16.9%22.61 → 3.32 +27.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.48	1.52	6.1%
Best of all books	2.48	1.52	6.1%
Average	2.48	1.52	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Best of all books	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Average	2.10	1.67	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 35%Draw 35%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 30%

The statistical model rated Gimnasia Chivilcoy at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 2.52 | 3.28, which imply roughly 40.2% for a Gimnasia Chivilcoy win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th (27 pts, 17-12 goals), Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1st (31 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Gimnasia Chivilcoy or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

Gimnasia ChivilcoyOlimpo Bahia Blanca

5Shots off Goal5

0Red Cards0

1Yellow Cards4

5Shots on Goal9

4Corner Kicks2

53%Ball Possession47%

0Free Kicks0

0Blocked Shots0

10Total Shots14

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	3.02	2.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.40	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.93	3.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.96
1.5	1.50	2.39
2	1.85	1.80
2.5	2.48	1.52
3.5	4.84	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.88	1.82
+1.5	1.11	5.25