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Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#10.8:0.82-1FT27/09 · Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Buenos Aires1.0:0.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.30B36529.351XBMargin10.4%Books4Markets39Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 20:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.413.609.709.0%
BetVictor1.363.7011.09.6%
Betfair1.333.7510.511.4%
Bet3651.333.5012.012.1%
Best of all books1.413.7512.05.9%
Average1.363.6410.810.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Olimpo Bahia BlancaGimnasia Chivilcoy
Last 10#1Table position#61.94Points per game1.508Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 50.044Attack rating560Defence rating10032Form rating680H2H rating090Goals model1055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:03 UTC

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

4 OctAGimnasia Chivilcoy2-1W
27 SepHGimnasia Chivilcoy2-1W
20 SepAAlvarado1-1D
6 SepHCipolletti1-1D
30 AugAAtenas0-1L
23 AugHKimberley Mar del Plata1-0W
16 AugAArgentino Monte Maíz1-1D
12 AugHVilla Mitre2-0W
8 AugAHuracan Las Heras1-0W
2 AugHJuventud Antoniana0-0D

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

4 OctHOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-2L
27 SepAOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-2L
20 SepADouglas Haig0-0D
11 SepHSol de América2-0W
6 SepABartolomé Mitre1-0W
30 AugHSarmiento de La Banda1-0W
23 AugADefensores de Belgrano VR1-0W
16 AugHSan Martin Formosa1-1D
12 AugA9 de Julio Rafaela0-1L
1 AugHSportivo Belgrano0-0D

Head to head

1Olimpo Bahia Blanca wins
0draws
0Gimnasia Chivilcoy wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Olimpo Bahia Blanca

27 Sep 2026Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AOlimpo Bahia Blanca2-1Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st with 31 points from 16 games, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th with 27 points from 18.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931
2Douglas Haig1894522:15+731
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230
4San Martin Formosa1693425:19+630
5Alvarado1676319:7+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626
10Sol de América1682619:14+526
11Juventud Antoniana1674519:11+825
12Cipolletti1674519:15+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225
149 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124
16Villa Mitre1658314:8+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423
18Atenas1665512:13-123
19Huracan Las Heras1665511:13-223
20Atletico Escobar1864821:29-822
21Fundacion Amigos1649317:14+321
22Deportivo Rincon1654713:16-319
23San Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419
24Defensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719
26El Linqueño1854914:21-719
27Costa Brava1646612:13-118
28Sol de Mayo1646615:18-318
29Boca Unidos1653819:25-618
30Germinal de Rawson164667:14-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017
32Tucuman Central1652914:19-517
33Gimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617
34Guillermo Brown1645713:20-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115
36Santamarina162779:17-813
37Circulo Deportivo162778:16-813

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.56X31%2.96211%7.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

26 Sep 23:1127 Sep 15:011 1.50X 3.132 8.19
11.36 → 1.50 +10.3%X3.64 → 3.13 -14.0%210.8 → 8.19 -24.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3653.001.366.9%
1xBet2.851.378.1%
Best of all books3.001.376.3%
Average2.921.377.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3656.001.116.8%
1xBet3.301.307.2%
BetVictor3.501.258.6%
Best of all books3.501.305.5%
Average4.271.225.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 10%Draw 45%Gimnasia Chivilcoy 45%

The statistical model rated Olimpo Bahia Blanca at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 2.96 | 7.97, which imply roughly 33.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (31 pts, 13-4 goals), Gimnasia Chivilcoy 6th (27 pts, 17-12).

Over their last five matches, Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gimnasia Chivilcoy and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Coach: C. Mungo

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Lungarzo

Defence

  • 2N. Moiraghi
  • 3L. Lapetina
  • 6M. Ferreyra
  • 4A. Bellone
  • 5A. Stancato

Midfield

  • 8C. Amarilla
  • 11D. Ramírez

Attack

  • 7M. Olivera
  • 9C. Ibarra
  • 10B. Guille
Substitutes (9)
  • 14C. Chimino
  • 17E. Coacci
  • 19Marco Colmenares
  • 18L. Espejo
  • 15S. Fernández
  • 12C. Geist
  • 13Leandro Hertel
  • 20J. Susvielles
  • 16M. Vargas

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Dormisch

Defence

  • 3X. D'Amelio
  • 4M. Dauria
  • 7R. Medina
  • 5A. Zarate
  • 6Lucas Samaniego

Midfield

  • 10P. Ferreira
  • 2F. Fiol
  • 8M. Gutierrez

Attack

  • 9E. Morales
  • 11M. Salvaggio
Substitutes (9)
  • 14E. Bassi
  • 17V. Fernandez
  • 13Franco Flores
  • 12N. Ilchischen
  • 16J. Millan
  • 20N. Ortiz
  • 15N. Pavone
  • 18Brian Visser
  • 19Lucio Almada

Match Statistics

Olimpo Bahia BlancaGimnasia Chivilcoy
58%Ball Possession42%
0Red Cards0
1Yellow Cards1
5Shots off Goal4
5Corner Kicks3
4Shots on Goal6
0Free Kicks0
0Blocked Shots0
9Total Shots10

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.363.6410.8

Double chance

1XX212
1.032.821.22

Draw no bet

12
1.068.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
4.271.22

1st half

1X2
1.951.9413.6

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.125.35
1.51.632.16
2.52.931.37
3.56.001.10
4.512.51.02
5.517.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.144.92
11.214.00
1.251.412.69
1.751.791.90
22.131.64
2.252.501.47
2.753.421.27
34.601.16
3.255.281.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.911.35
-1.52.211.64
-1.252.011.73
-11.741.98
-0.751.522.36
-0.251.233.71
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.101.13
-2.254.581.16
-24.001.20
01.067.30
+0.251.048.50