OddsFilter

Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Alvarado• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#71.0:0.42-2FT27/09 · Salomon Boeseldin, Ramallo1.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.77PINX2.851XB23.051XBMargin at best4.0%Books7Markets34Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.422.853.059.2%
BetVictor2.552.752.9010.1%
Betfair2.552.802.8010.6%
Betano2.752.672.7010.9%
William Hill2.752.502.8012.1%
Bet3652.352.753.0012.3%
Pinnacle2.772.482.7812.4%
Best of all books2.772.853.054.0%
Average2.592.692.8610.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Defensores de Belgrano VRAlvarado
Last 10#7Table position#51.50Points per game1.699Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.042Attack rating5871Defence rating2953Form rating4750H2H rating5058Goals model4254Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Sep 15:11 UTC

Defensores de Belgrano VR

5W 2D 3L · goals 10:6 · per match 1.0 for, 0.6 against

20 SepASarmiento de La Banda2-0W
6 SepHSan Martin Formosa1-0W
30 AugA9 de Julio Rafaela0-1L
23 AugHGimnasia Chivilcoy0-1L
17 AugASportivo Belgrano2-0W
12 AugHDouglas Haig0-0D
8 AugASol de América0-1L
2 AugHBartolomé Mitre1-0W
25 JulHGimnasia Chivilcoy2-2D
13 JulA9 de Julio Rafaela2-1W

Alvarado

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

4 OctHDefensores de Belgrano VR2-0W
27 SepADefensores de Belgrano VR2-2D
20 SepHOlimpo Bahia Blanca1-1D
13 SepACipolletti0-1L
6 SepHAtenas3-2W
30 AugAKimberley Mar del Plata2-0W
23 AugHArgentino Monte Maíz1-1D
16 AugAVilla Mitre0-0D
12 AugHHuracan Las Heras1-0W
8 AugAJuventud Antoniana2-0W

Head to head

9Defensores de Belgrano VR wins
6draws
5Alvarado wins

20 meetings · goals 15:11 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Defensores de Belgrano VR

5 May 2019Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAlvarado1-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
18 Feb 2019Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAlvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
5 May 2018Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal ADefensores de Belgrano VR0-0Alvarado
29 Apr 2018Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAlvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
23 Apr 2017Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal ADefensores de Belgrano VR1-0Alvarado
22 Mar 2017Copa ArgentinaCopa ArgentinaAlvarado1-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
15 Mar 2017Copa ArgentinaCopa ArgentinaDefensores de Belgrano VR3-1Alvarado
11 Dec 2016Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAlvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
19 Nov 2016Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal ADefensores de Belgrano VR1-0Alvarado
25 Oct 2016Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AAlvarado2-1Defensores de Belgrano VR

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Defensores de Belgrano VR sit 7th with 27 points from 18 games, while Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931
2Douglas Haig1894522:15+731
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230
4San Martin Formosa1693425:19+630
5Alvarado1676319:7+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626
10Sol de América1682619:14+526
11Juventud Antoniana1674519:11+825
12Cipolletti1674519:15+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225
149 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124
16Villa Mitre1658314:8+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423
18Atenas1665512:13-123
19Huracan Las Heras1665511:13-223
20Atletico Escobar1864821:29-822
21Fundacion Amigos1649317:14+321
22Deportivo Rincon1654713:16-319
23San Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419
24Defensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719
26El Linqueño1854914:21-719
27Costa Brava1646612:13-118
28Sol de Mayo1646615:18-318
29Boca Unidos1653819:25-618
30Germinal de Rawson164667:14-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017
32Tucuman Central1652914:19-517
33Gimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617
34Guillermo Brown1645713:20-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115
36Santamarina162779:17-813
37Circulo Deportivo162778:16-813

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.76X34%2.66233%2.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3653.001.366.9%
1xBet2.851.378.1%
Pinnacle3.061.309.6%
Best of all books3.061.375.7%
Average2.971.348.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
William Hill2.381.537.4%
1xBet2.351.547.5%
BetVictor2.301.538.8%
Best of all books2.501.544.9%
Average2.381.537.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Defensores de Belgrano VR 45%Draw 45%Alvarado 10%

The statistical model rated Defensores de Belgrano VR at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alvarado at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 2.66 | 2.70, which imply roughly 36.2% for a Defensores de Belgrano VR win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Defensores de Belgrano VR are 7th (27 pts, 24-20 goals), Alvarado 5th (27 pts, 19-7).

Over their last five matches, Defensores de Belgrano VR averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Alvarado averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Defensores de Belgrano VR or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Velázquez

Defence

  • 5Mateo Ramos
  • 4A. Ponce
  • 3Franco Pezzani
  • 6Federico Gay
  • 2J. Avalos

Midfield

  • 9E. Roige
  • 10T. Bacas

Attack

  • 7E. Luna
  • 11Jeremias Bertacin

Squad

  • 8L. Gaitan

Alvarado

Coach: Pablo Martel

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Bilbao

Defence

  • 6C. Gorgerino
  • 2T. Fernández
  • 4T. Berra

Midfield

  • 3M. Perez
  • 8M. Mansilla
  • 11R. Makarte
  • 5T. Federico
  • 7L. Chiozza

Attack

  • 10S. Gutiérrez
  • 9G. Cervera

Match Statistics

Defensores de Belgrano VRAlvarado
0Yellow Cards2
59%Ball Possession41%
2Shots off Goal4
2Corner Kicks4
6Shots on Goal5
1Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
8Total Shots9

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.592.692.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.441.39

Draw no bet

12
1.761.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.381.53

1st half

1X2
3.401.813.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.005.502.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.125.55
1.51.612.16
2.52.971.34
3.56.001.10
4.513.51.02
5.517.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.144.78
11.213.75
1.251.422.61
1.751.801.89
22.231.58
2.252.591.42
2.753.421.27
34.601.16
3.255.281.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.111.32
-0.52.551.46
-0.252.071.67
01.722.03
+0.251.492.49
+0.51.362.92
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.351.14
-1.254.751.17
-14.181.20
+0.751.233.75
+11.116.10
+1.251.096.67
+1.51.076.90