Chabab Mohammédia vs 
USM Oujda• Botola 2, Morocco
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 14:54 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.18 | 3.36 | 4.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.25 | 11.9% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 2.83 | 3.16 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.29 | 3.18 | 3.36 | 4.9% |
| Average | 2.23 | 2.93 | 3.22 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:41 UTC
Chabab Mohammédia
1W 3D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against
| 4 Oct | H | USM Oujda | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Yacoub El Mansour | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Jul | H | KAC Kenitra | 4-3 | W |
| 27 Jun | A | Raja Beni Mellal | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Jun | H | Stade Marocain | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Jun | H | Widad Témara | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Jun | A | Chabab Atl. Khenifra | 0-1 | L |
| 23 May | H | Riadi Salmi | 2-2 | D |
| 15 May | H | Chabab Ben Guerir | 0-3 | L |
| 10 May | A | Mouloudia Oujda | 0-0 | D |
USM Oujda
5W 1D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against
| 27 Sep | H | Mouloudia Oujda | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Jul | A | Widad Témara | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Jun | H | Chabab Atl. Khenifra | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Jun | A | Riadi Salmi | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Jun | H | Union Sportive Boujaad | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Jun | A | Mouloudia Oujda | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Racing de Casablanca | 3-1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Moghreb Tetouan | 0-2 | L |
| 2 May | H | Wydad Fès | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Stade Marocain | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Chabab Mohammédia
| 1 Mar 2026Botola 2 | Botola 2 | Chabab Mohammédia1-0USM Oujda |
| 5 Oct 2025Botola 2 | Botola 2 | USM Oujda1-1Chabab Mohammédia |
Botola 2 tableGNEF 2updated 11 Oct 17:01 UTC
In the Botola 2 table, Chabab Mohammédia sit 15th with 0 points from 2 games, while USM Oujda are 2nd with 7 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ittihad Khemisset | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 9 |
| 2 | USM Oujda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Wydad Fès | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 | Yacoub El Mansour | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Olympique Safi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | El Massira | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Olympique Khouribga | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mouloudia Oujda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Olympique Dcheïra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chabab Ben Guerir | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade Marocain | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | KAC Kenitra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Riadi Salmi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Chabab Mohammédia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 1.47 | 6.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 1.44 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 1.41 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.47 | 6.2% |
| Average | 2.59 | 1.44 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.20 | 1.60 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 1.62 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 1.60 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.62 | 7.2% |
| Average | 2.14 | 1.61 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Chabab Mohammédia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and USM Oujda at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 2.91 | 3.12, which imply roughly 34.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Botola 2 table: Chabab Mohammédia are 15th (0 pts, 0-3 goals), USM Oujda 2nd (7 pts, 4-2).
Over their last five matches, Chabab Mohammédia averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; USM Oujda averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : USM Oujda.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 2.93 | 3.22 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.14 | 1.61 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.09 | 1.88 | 4.12 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 6.00 | 2.38 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 6.47 |
| 1.5 | 1.53 | 2.36 |
| 2.5 | 2.59 | 1.44 |
| 3.5 | 5.29 | 1.11 |
| 4.5 | 11.0 | 1.01 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| 1 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.33 | 3.06 |
| 1.75 | 1.64 | 2.02 |
| 2 | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| 2.25 | 2.26 | 1.56 |
| 2.75 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 3 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.80 | 1.19 |
| -0.75 | 2.66 | 1.37 |
| -0.25 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 0 | 1.56 | 2.21 |
| +0.25 | 1.37 | 2.66 |
| +0.75 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| -1.25 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| +1 | 1.05 | 6.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 7.70 |