PenarolvsBoston River• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Penarol1st55 pts
Boston River14th30 pts
Penarol1st55 pts
Boston River14th30 ptsIn the Primera División table, Penarol sit 1st with 55 points from 28 games, while Boston River are 14th with 30 points from 29 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Penarol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Boston River at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.09 | 6.32, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Penarol win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Penarol are 1st (55 pts, 46-23 goals), Boston River 14th (30 pts, 28-40).
Over their last five matches, Penarol averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Boston River averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.
Penarol vs Boston River — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 55 |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 |  Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 9 |  Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 34 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 33 |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 32 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 32 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 28 |
| 16 |  Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
Confirmed Lineups
Penarol
Coach: Diego Aguirre
Goalkeeper
- 29Washington Aguerre
Defence
- 2Germán Pezzella
- 15Maximiliano Olivera
- 6Lucas Ferreira
Midfield
- 26Thiago Espinosa
- 32Leandro Umpierrez
- 7Javier Cabrera
- 5Eric Remedi
- 8Nicolás Fernández
Attack
- 11Cristian Jaime
- 19Matías Arezo
Substitutes (10)
- 1Sebastián Britos
- 34Nahuel Herrera
- 28Ignacio Alegre
- 27Lucas Hernández
- 4Franco Romero
- 80Franco González
- 33Jonathan Rodríguez
- 21Jesús Trindade
- 99Abel Hernández
- 9Facundo Batista
Boston River
Coach: Ignacio Ithurralde Saez
Goalkeeper
- 1Bruno Antúnez
Defence
- 22Fredy Martínez
- 25Agustín Aguirre
- 30Martín González
- 31Juan Acosta
Midfield
- 5Rodrigo Saravia
- 10Agustín Amado
- 26Facundo Muñoa
- 15Lautaro Vazquez
- 16Leandro Suhr
Attack
- 9Francisco Bonfiglio
Substitutes (10)
- 12Juan Ignacio González
- 24Jairo O'Neil
- 6Facundo Saravia
- 4Ignacio Fernandez
- 3Marco Mancebo
- 29Andy López
- 8Leonardo Suárez
- 13Facundo Agustin Aristegui Lemos
- 20Felipe Avenatti
- 27Nicolás Siri
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.37
X
4.35
2
7.08
Double chance
1X
1.06
X2
2.80
12
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
2.01
No
1.71
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.24
Under 1.5
3.62
Over 2.5
1.78
Under 2.5
1.98
Over 3.5
2.90
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.03
Over 4.5
5.40
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
51.00
Over 5.5
10.64
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
18.75
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.15
Over 2
1.36
Under 2
2.82
Over 2.25
1.57
Under 2.25
2.26
Over 2.75
1.98
Under 2.75
1.75
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.80
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.50
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.81
Over 3
2.32
Under 3
1.54
Over 3.25
2.59
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 3.75
3.43
Under 3.75
1.23
Over 4
4.55
Under 4
1.13
Over 4.25
4.90
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 4.75
6.25
Under 4.75
1.06
Over 5
9.00
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.13
2
5.63
Asian handicap
Away 3.25
1.04
1st half
1
1.85
X
2.37
2
7.04
First team to score
Home
1.34
No Goal
11.75
Away
3.49
Corners 2-Way
Over 6.5
1.22
Under 6.5
4.00