Leiston vs Coventry United• FA Cup, England

2.3:0.33-1FT03/101.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72BTNX4.501XB24.261XBMargin at best3.8%Books5Markets46Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.72	4.28	4.24	5.1%
BetVictor	1.67	3.80	4.33	9.3%
Betfair	1.65	3.90	4.20	10.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.80	4.10	11.7%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	3.90	12.2%
Best of all books	1.72	4.28	4.33	4.6%
Average	1.67	3.91	4.15	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeistonCoventry United

Last 106Form pts · last 562.3Goals for · last 51.50.3Goals against · last 50.570Attack rating3050Defence rating5054Form rating460H2H rating00Goals model058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 10:51 UTC

Leiston

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	H	Coventry United	3-1	W
29 Sep	A	Real Bedford	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Dartford	0-3	L
22 Sep	H	Peterborough Sports	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Hitchin Town	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Banbury United	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Grays Athletic	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	Grays Athletic	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	Bury Town	3-4	L
29 Aug	H	Redditch United	3-1	W

Coventry United

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

19 Sep	A	Hednesford Town	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bedworth United	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Kidsgrove Athletic	1-3	L
27 Jul	A	Redditch United	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Abbey Hulton	3-4	L
2 Aug	A	Shifnal Town FC	1-0	W
3 Aug	A	Sporting Khalsa	0-3	L
4 Aug	H	Studley	2-3	L
9 Aug	A	Highgate United	0-4	L
6 Aug	H	Highgate United	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Leiston and Coventry United on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X22%4.04223%4.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.66 -0.6%X3.91 → 4.00 +2.3%24.15 → 4.01 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.23	5.4%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.22	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.59	2.18	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leiston 45%Draw 45%Coventry United 10%

The statistical model rated Leiston at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Coventry United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 4.04 | 4.01, which imply roughly 61% for a Leiston win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Leiston averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Coventry United averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Leiston or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.91	4.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.01	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.40	4.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	14.3	2.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	13.0
1.5	1.17	4.31
2.5	1.62	2.22
3.5	2.50	1.47
4.5	4.45	1.16
5.5	8.73	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.19	3.82
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.42	2.59
2.75	1.75	1.95
3	1.92	1.71
3.25	2.20	1.57
3.75	2.85	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.70	1.36
-1.25	2.41	1.45
-1	2.13	1.60
-0.75	1.84	1.84
-0.25	1.46	2.38
0	1.28	3.08

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	6.40	1.05
-2.5	5.05	1.10
-2.25	4.75	1.12
-2	4.40	1.14
-1.75	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.10	5.05
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.40